“If MerCOWski loses just 5% of those write in votes, then there is basically a tie.
If she loses 6%, Miller wins.”
Actually, Miller needs to make up approx. 4.66% across the *overall* vote total (approx. 174,000 so far.) He has write-ins (write-ins not counted for Murk help Miller directly of course - there are 8+ percent being counted that are in dispute - and about 2.75% that are not counted and disputed, or undisputed not for murk), absentees (don’t know how many have been counted yet) and military ballots (deadline 11/17 - don’t know how many there are) with which to make up approx. 10,800 votes.
If it were just up to the write in votes - he’d have to make up 11.6%. But he’s making gains in absentees and will I think make gains in the military ballots - so it’s up to the sheer numbers in those categories that makes the difference in this race.
On Nov. 3rd there was 69,797 votes for Joe Miller to date which must include the absentees he now has 82,180 the write in category had 81,000+ now there are 92,979 does that also include absentees?
In yesterdays count Murky got 98% of the write ins and Joe got only 2 votes.