While I tend to agree with you, it is just this type of thinking that makes an incident all the more dangerous.
How many times have you read of people dismissing something they shouldn’t have based on one or two mistaken premises? One, this looks just like something else that is non-threatening. Two, this hardly every happens and can’t be happening now.
Whether we like it or not, perfect storms do come along. That still doesn’t mean this is one. I just think there should be a whole lot less talking at this point, and a whole lot more listening for further information.
If this turns out to be exactly what you think it was in the end, I will be happy about it.
What I find frightening is the number of people who refuse to look at all the evidence. If I wake up out of a dead sleep to the sound of a crash and instantly think "Holy Crap! There's a bear breaking in one of my windows!", I'll get out of bed and start investigating, with that as my assumption. When I find that it was only the sound of my cat knocking something over in the closet, I go back to bed and go back to sleep without a care. I don't cling to my initial belief that I thought I heard a bear breaking a window, so that's what it must be, and then have to start figuring out who was working in cahoots with the bear to quickly replace the window he broke, since I can't find any broken windows.
It seems to me like there's two possibilities here. 1) A missile launch. 2) An optical illusion. An airplane contrail that has the appearance of a missile launch.
It looked to me like a missile when I first saw the video, but I'm not going to continue to see what isn't there in the face of what I see as overwhelming contradictory evidence. Looking through the threads on the subject, I'm seeing too many people clinging to the belief there's a bear in the house somewhere. They heard the sound of the window breaking. End of debate.