You think ’10 was tough? Check out ’12

The Hill ^ | 11/3/2010 | J Taylor Rushing

[Radix]

The people here in Mass. who voted for Scott Brown are not the folks that he can count on anymore after his brief record in the Senate.

He has to go even further left if he wants to get reelected.

Does not look good for Mr. Brown from here, but the polls say he is the most popular politician in the Commonwealth.

[HearMe]

What happens in Blue States is that Republican candidates are so demonized that they are not likely to win.

But when they do win- examples- Pataki, Giuliani, Cristie, Reagan, many others, when the public sees the real governance, and not the defamation from the Democrats and the media, they become popular enough to win again.

Brown is popular and may fit that template.

[deport]

Class 1 Senators who's terms expire in Jan. 2013.

Democrats

Republicans

Akaka, Daniel K. (D-HI) Bingaman, Jeff (D-NM) Brown, Sherrod (D-OH) Cantwell, Maria (D-WA) Cardin, Benjamin L. (D-MD) Carper, Thomas R. (D-DE) Casey, Robert P., Jr. (D-PA) Conrad, Kent (D-ND) Feinstein, Dianne (D-CA) Gillibrand, Kirsten E. (D-NY) Goodwin, Carte P. (D-WV) Klobuchar, Amy (D-MN) Kohl, Herb (D-WI) McCaskill, Claire (D-MO) Menendez, Robert (D-NJ) Nelson, Ben (D-NE) Nelson, Bill (D-FL) Stabenow, Debbie (D-MI) Tester, Jon (D-MT) Webb, Jim (D-VA) Whitehouse, Sheldon (D-RI)

Barrasso, John (R-WY) Brown, Scott P. (R-MA) Corker, Bob (R-TN) Ensign, John (R-NV) Hatch, Orrin G. (R-UT) Hutchison, Kay Bailey (R-TX) Kyl, Jon (R-AZ) Lugar, Richard G. (R-IN) Snowe, Olympia J. (R-ME) Wicker, Roger F. (R-MS) Independents Lieberman, Joseph I. (ID-CT) Sanders, Bernard (I-VT)

[GailA]

They still will in Memphis! Along with the nursing home patients to senile to know what they are signing.

[cgbg]

This article explains one reason why the Democrats will never allow the current President to be their nominee.

They just can’t risk having another election like this one.

[justice14]

I've been thinking about this and here are my thoughts. Here me out. Maybe it was a good thing that we didn't sweep both Senate and House. We didn't win as much as I would have wanted but we won enough to create a block on Obama’s policies.

By not winning as big as expected (to some pundits) Pres. Obama and the Dems think they continue on as normal. They don't think that America is ‘that’ upset with them. This response of no change will cause Americans to stay angry or even get more angry. If this continues I believe we will definitely keep the house in 2012 (probably picking up even more seats. Maybe not as much as 2010, but still a lot).

I also think that the lack of understanding by Pres Obama and the Dems will give us the Senate in 2012. We were close in 2010 and picked up 6 (maybe 7) seats. I believe more Dem seats are up in 2012 and we could probably pick up enough to get a majority.

That leaves us with the Presidency. This one will be extremely tough. I see no easy road with this regardless of how He preforms. But, If He ignores America enough there might be a chance we can win the Presidency as well (only if we run a good candidate of course).

With all this being said, you can see that if it plays out like this we could possibly have complete control of Congress and the Presidency in 2012. This would give us free reign to repeal Obamacare and stop spending completely.

There you go folks. This is my reasons (at least to myself) why it's a good thing that we didn't absolutely destroy them (we did destroy them, I know. I'm talking +100 house +10 Senate) election. I wanted the house and the senate Tues. I was furious on Wednesday that we did not get both. Thinking it over and praying about it, this is what I see could happen as a result of the results. Take it for what it's worth, but count me optimistic.

[MaggieCarta]

Possible (depending on candidate): ...MI...

Oh, please, please, please, let Debbie Stabenow finally be gone in 2012.

[DM1]

“HI,”

dont count out HI yet
if Lingle decides to run and the 2012 climate is at least a neutral year she could win

[Ditter]

democrats are blind to the fact that they owned the whole Congress in ‘06 and ‘08. There was a cartoon in the Houston Comical yesterday about the economy being wrecked by Republicans. They are still saying “it’s George Bush’s fault!”.

[Alberta's Child]

The 10 GOP senators facing reelection are John Barrasso (Wyo.), Scott Brown (Mass.), Bob Corker (Tenn.), John Ensign (Nev.), Orrin Hatch (Utah), Kay Bailey Hutchison (Texas), Jon Kyl (Ariz.), Richard Lugar (Ind.), Olympia Snowe (Maine) and Roger Wicker (Miss.).

Of that list, the only senator who could be considered in a “dangerous” position is Brown, who represents Massachusetts, a blue state.

I disagree a bit with the author. I think Ensign is vulnerable due to potential fallout from that scandal, and Corker might be a little vulnerable simply because he won by a razor-thin margin in 2006 and hasn't really been a prominent figure in the Senate.

[Alberta's Child]

I agree. After Chris Christie's victory in the New Jersey governor's race last year, I'd say the GOP could win New Jersey if they put up the right candidate and they run a strong, no-nonsense campaign.

The biggest problem the GOP has in New Jersey is that the kind of candidate who can mount a winning Republican campaign in this state -- a tough, no-nonsense person who doesn't care what the media may think about him/her -- is the kind of person who has no interest in serving in the U.S. Senate. Other than Christie, we have had some of the dullest, most marginal people on the planet win statewide races in New Jersey in recent years. I'll offer Jim McGreevey, Jon Corzine, Frank Lautenberg and Christy Whitman as perfect examples of this.

[Alberta's Child]

Don't be disappointed with the Senate results on Tuesday. It would have been a miracle for the GOP to win control of the Senate, based on sheer numbers alone. The Democrats went into the 2010 elections with 40 seats in the U.S. Senate that weren't even up for election, while the Republicans only had 23. This meant that the GOP had to defend a lot more seats, which made it that much more unlikely that they'd have the money and resources to win more than a few seats currently held by Democrats. The deck was very much stacked in the Democrats' favor this year simply because of the way the rotating six-year terms came up in this cycle.

2012 will be a whole different story, as this article demonstrates. In that cycle, the number of seats up for election will be overwhelmingly held by sitting Democrats, which makes their job that much harder -- especially if the economy is still in poor shape by then and Obama is a very unpopular figure.

[hosepipe]

If the House does nothing about voter fraud it is two steps forward one back.. maybe two back..

[hawgwalker]

Looking at that list there is an opportunity to cull some RINOs from the Republican side

[nhwingut]

Scott Brown got elected in a “wave year.” Personally, I think he’s good as as gone if the Democrats run a strong candidate against him.

I think you are right. Rumor has Deval Patrick running against him. And with Obama at the top of the ticket, Brown will have an uphill battle.

For those unfamiliar, Charlie Baker was the GOP dream for the past 10 years (always snubbing getting in). And he finally did, and got beat pretty bad. Mass is a cesspool of unions, academia and gubmint dependents. I had hope last January; no longer. Brown needs to move full time to his NH home and run against Shaheen in 2014. We are now a solid red state.

[nascarnation]

Lugar will be tough to take out here in Indiana.
I think he’s looked at like McCain was in AZ.

But he’ll be 80 yrs old. Time to hang it up, Dick.

[nhwingut]

Oh, please, please, please, let Debbie Stabenow finally be gone in 2012.

There's always hope. Michigan went surprisingly red this election.

[hosepipe]

[ With all this being said, you can see that if it plays out like this we could possibly have complete control of Congress and the Presidency in 2012. This would give us free reign to repeal Obamacare and stop spending completely. ]

AND...... since the T-P Caucus is growing, growing, GROWING(even in Mass.)... (Jaws theme)
All the TP newbies can start reverse engineering the federal government..

[justice14]

AND...... since the T-P Caucus is growing, growing, GROWING(even in Mass.)... (Jaws theme) All the TP newbies can start reverse engineering the federal government..

Exactly. Get back to smaller government.

[nhwingut]

Wouldn’t put NJ in the same class as those others. By the way, what about the other 5 seats?

You are aright I missed a couple of big possible pickups for the GOP: VA and OH. The others are RI (no shot), NY (depends on Giuliani or Pataki), CT (not sure what Lieberman does) and VT (If popular governor Jim Douglas gets in he could put a scare into Bernie Sanders).