Overall, not great news. This is the 50th or 51st Senate seat. We'd need to take CA, DE or CT to make up for losing WV (not likely).
Full internals are here for you polling geeks out there.
We still could pick up CA. Barbara Boxer has low approval ratings.
Isn’t PPP a rat poll?
Only thing I noticed is that there may be a slight oversampling of Democrats in PPP’s survey.
PPP has the D breakdown: 55D-34R-11I. Early voting so far is 54D-36R-10I.
That could narrow it to within three or so (closer to where Rasmussen has the race).
Many Democrats are going to be voting GOP this election.
Well, Manchin will have to defend this seat in 2012. By that time, he is not going to be so popular, so it may well be winnable in 2012.
A vote for Manchin is a vote for Baraq Hussein Obama. Unfortunately, you can’t fix stupid.
Can anyone explain what’s going on in West Virginia? I thought for sure Republicans had this in the bag.
Nuts.
27% of conservatives supposedly APPROVE of a guy who did a John kerry on Obamacare .... being for it for he was a against it ... and that weathervane is *popular*?
the media is working overtime to destroy conservatives, and conservatives dont make it any easier when they are fall for non-conservatives lying to them about who they are and what they represent.
Boo hoo.
I’ll wait for election night.
“Overall, not great news.”
PPP always oversamples Ds. Anyhow, Ras had Raese -3 from +7 in about 1 week - too much chatter. Will need to wait for Tues. for reality.
Patriots don’t poll very swell on weekends.
PPP is DNC BS.
I don’t get this change in the polls. I was standing in line at the courthouse in Huntington WV the other day (to pay taxes) - I heard the two men in front of me talking. One of them said he had been a registered Democrat his whole life, but he would never vote Democrat again. The other man agreed.
The man behind me told me his house was being foreclosed and he was having to cash in his 401K - he was ticked off too. Everyone there was furious at ALL levels of government - there were several business owners in line, one said they were barely hanging on & they saw people swiping food stamp cards to buy T-bone steaks, while they were having to buy macaroni and cheese.
There’s a palpable anger rising up among hard-working people - I just don’t see Manchin winning there.
Don't believe the polls. I know that most of the people don't want Manchin in DC. The Unions do... and so does Bammie!
We’ll see. They think only 43% of the voters will be conservative, 57% moderate/liberal. Seems to me the West Virginia electorate will be quite a bit more conservative, and Raese is winning conservatives handily.
Raese has this won and squandered his lead with crappy TV ads. Manchin’s were among the best in the nation. I pray Raese can still pull it out, because otherwise Manchin will be there for the next 50 yrs.
If Manchin wins, it will only be because he has discovered Conservatism. If that really is true, then we have not lost this election, if false, he will be gone in the future.
The good side of this election is that he has finally understood his mistakes and hopefully won’t make them again.
Of course the bad side is that he is a false prophet and he will again go along with the Democrats. His choice, but it will be his decision whether to be for his voters or for the Democrats - tough choice. His future is limited to his choices!
Maybe the most we can hope for here is that a bunch of Reagan Republicans and their heirs (namely members of coal miner unions) are reluctant to tell a pollster they intend to vote for the Republican because they are concerned the “pollster” is a Union operative.
49 or 50 Republicans and a few scared Democrats (Nelson, Webb, and maybe more) in the Senate might even be better than a majority of Republicans in both houses. The less Obama can plausibly (plausibly for independents) blame Republicans for the mess he is making the better when the socialist hater of white folks stands for reelection in two years.