Posted on 10/31/2010 7:28:07 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
The Senate contest in West Virginia is between Joe Manchin's popularity and Barack Obama's unpopularity and in the end it looks as though Manchin's popularity will win out. Manchin leads John Raese 51-46 in PPP's final look at the race.
Manchin is the most popular politician we've polled on anywhere in the country this year and it's by a wide margin. On this final poll his approval rating hit the 70% mark with only 22% disapproving of him. Usually you would expect someone with those kinds of numbers to have an easy time of it but Manchin's been hampered by efforts to tie him to Barack Obama and national Democrats. Obama's approval rating in the state is only 31% with 61% of voters disapproving of him.
About a month ago it looked like there was a very real chance Manchin could lose. But three key things have put him in a position for victory:
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
Overall, not great news. This is the 50th or 51st Senate seat. We'd need to take CA, DE or CT to make up for losing WV (not likely).
Full internals are here for you polling geeks out there.
We still could pick up CA. Barbara Boxer has low approval ratings.
Isn’t PPP a rat poll?
Yes... I wouldn’t put too much stock in it since things can change in the next 48 hours that the pollsters can’t measure.
Only thing I noticed is that there may be a slight oversampling of Democrats in PPP’s survey.
PPP has the D breakdown: 55D-34R-11I. Early voting so far is 54D-36R-10I.
That could narrow it to within three or so (closer to where Rasmussen has the race).
Yeah they borrow their sauce from Zogby
We’re going to win this seat.
Yes a Dem run push poll operation and usually way off .
A poll meant to manipulate the election .
Scam poll cooked up for the Daily KOZ .
Need I say more.
They have been affiliated with Daily Kos, but at the same time, they have a pretty good track record. They were one of the most accurate pollsters in the last election cycle, nailed the Massachusetts Senate race and were one of the few to have O'Donnell winning in Delaware.
Many Democrats are going to be voting GOP this election.
Did these pollsters allow for enthusiasm? Wasn’t Scott Brown down 9 in Massachusetts?
its in the hands of the voters now...
for the life of me, I don't know how anyone with any sense would vote for any rat....they're all alike...they'll prop up the leftist punks time and time again...
and wait to see what happens when they put another idiot up for the SC....Manchin if elected will go along like a good little boy....so will Boxer....etc....
wake up people...wake up...
And why does everyone think that many of those democrats aren’t voting GOP?
Well, Manchin will have to defend this seat in 2012. By that time, he is not going to be so popular, so it may well be winnable in 2012.
Its a Red state. But people still vote Democratic down the ballot as they have for generations. And Democrats generally serve for life.
Hello . They are usually way off and pure crap.
They were wrong about Hoffman, Christie, Burns.
Pure Dem party/Daily Koz propaganda >
I’m not a polling expert but it looks to me like 54% of those surveyed identified themselves as Rats -— and the Rat leads by only 5%.
.... or am i reading it wrong?
A vote for Manchin is a vote for Baraq Hussein Obama. Unfortunately, you can’t fix stupid.
Can anyone explain what’s going on in West Virginia? I thought for sure Republicans had this in the bag.
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