Can Obama rescue Corzine in New Jersey governor's race?
And Obama went to Massachusetts to support Coakley for Senate against Brown where he lost again.
Obama's "gravitas" may get to zero if Coons wins. ;-)
Posted on 10/30/2010 12:43:03 PM PDT by kristinn
It’s also the only high-profile race where Obama can be safely sent without fear of his presence causing the Democrat to lose.
I mean, every other post on FR is about how Obama is setting new records for unpopularity; and yet people somehow can also believe Obama is going to Delaware because the Democrats want to help Coons win. Amazing.
It will be interesting to see what happens in Delaware.
Sort of like Hitler hearing the Allies closing in on the bunker.
They can't send Obama to Nevada because that race is actually close, and Obama's presence there could lose it for Reid.
I'm sure Reid's campaign would desperately beg Obama not to come out there.
Let’s all hope this works about as well as his last-minute campaign stop for Martha Coakley earlier this year...
Well, not everybody is a ace political analyst like you and me. :)
Because it’s one of the few places he can go and not have it backfire on him the way MASS and NJ did?
I know a lot of people want to believe she can win, and I know she’s doing her best to try and put that talking point that she has a chance but...I’m not seeing it.
Can Obama rescue Corzine in New Jersey governor's race?
And Obama went to Massachusetts to support Coakley for Senate against Brown where he lost again.
Obama's "gravitas" may get to zero if Coons wins. ;-)
You got that right. All eyes will be on the early returns there. I hope there are a lot of poll watchers, attorneys, etc, watching the ballots, and the count. I hope Delaware Voters know how important their vote is. They are voting for all of us!
“If O’Donnell is really down 10 points with four days to go, why is 0bie coming again? I’m thinking it’s much closer than that!”
Of course it is, and the Democrats know it. Obama would not be making another visit on Monday if Coons was really 10 points ahead. He is running a bit of a risk IMHO because Coons is in deep trouble and will in all likelihood lose to O’Donnell. I believe that the overthrow of the Establishment in the Primary is going to create an entirely new electorate. Many Delawareans had simply not voted because of the rigged system in Delaware promoted by the two Party Establishments who served up a choice (Castle versus Coons) that was really no choice at all or they had voted (as they did in 2008) for non-ideological reasons (Biden was the favorite son; first black President; McCain was a moderate and not that different from Obama, etc...).
As Al B. will remember from Craig Shirley’s excellent book on the 1976 Reagan campaign, in the Texas primary, President Ford, having all the Establishment backing as well as the power of the Presidency, was expecting to split the 100 delegates with Reagan in the May 1, 1976 primary. Instead Reagan won all 96 districts and 100 delegates, winning most of the 24 Congressional districts by 2-1, an unprecedented, crushing defeat that took everyone by complete surprise. Ford had an excellent operation led by Jim Baker and Senator John Tower and Ford got his vote out. The problem was later the topic of a White House memo, which said:
“the people coming to vote...are unknown and have not been involved in the Republican political system before; they vote overwhelmingly for Reagan.”
“They’re swamping us,” said the state Executive Director. At one Waco precinct, 84 people had voted in the previous GOP primary whereas over 800 showed up in 1976.
Reagan’s Revolution, Page 196
I predict that the turnout in DE is going to completely overwhelm Coons and render these polls even more inaccurate than usual (Off year election polls, like primary polls, are generally way off because no one can correctly gauge turnout).
Who were these people who turned out in 1976 to vote for Reagan. They were Democrats (Carter went on to win Texas in 1976). A number of O’Donnell Voters will come from the ranks of those who voted for favorite son Joe Biden in 2008 because he was a favorite son candidate for VP. O’Donnell will likely draw nearly all of her 2008 vote to the polls this time. (It was 140,000, which was more than Biden received (135,000) in winning reelection in the last off year election (2002).
I am in Delaware and I have received no confirmation that BO is coming back on Monday - and I am pretty well plugged in to these sorts of things. I will look for other sources of information.
Internal polls must show that this race is even, not the 10 point lead the media campaigners want us to believe. They are trying to depress conservative votes by making everyone feel that this is a lost cause and not bothering to vote.
Obama couldn’t rescue Coakley or Corzine. Neither Christie nor Scott Brown has anywhere near the star power of O’Donnell.
Having failed then, Obama will fail even more miserably in DE. Delaware is not anywhere near as liberal as Massachusetts or even New Jersey. It is small town and rural. No big urban areas.
No, DE voters are in it for DE, and that means popular “programs.”
“Internal polls must show that this race is even, not the 10 point lead the media campaigners want us to believe. They are trying to depress conservative votes by making everyone feel that this is a lost cause and not bothering to vote.”
This is exactly what they are trying to do, but the GOP’s massive early voting shows this is not working. It might even be depressing the liberal turnout.
Someone should remind them that the Bush tax cuts resulted in way more money remaining in the state than Joe Biden ever steered their way in pork.
The abuse has been limited to conservative women.
Thanks for checking. This is a bigge. My gut still tells me his visit will help Christine. He's coming there to 'beat up' on Christine? Maybe I'm shrinking it too much, but I think that's a possibility and people will stand up and defend Christine. . .
Well you may be right, but for the sake of accuracy the percentage of the population that is black is 13%
http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/00000.html
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