Posted on 10/30/2010 12:43:03 PM PDT by kristinn
Only reason that doesn’t make sense, though, is that they’d be playing up how close it is now if that was the plan. If they’re saying she’s down by 10 and it turns out that she loses by less than that, they can’t claim that Obama saved anything.
That's exactly what I've been thinking. I hope the people of Delaware realize this and 'answer the call'. Let's pray they all encompass the Spirit of Paul Revere and shout out a Call to Vote!
My lib little sister in DE said it best: “Christine puts Delaware in the national spotlight and the people here seem to like it.”
“I have been following this race closely since before the Primary, which is probably why I am more bullish on Christine O’Donnell’s prospects than many Freepers are. There are several reasons.”
Great analysis Brices!
“It’s not a stretch. You would have thought the same thing when Reagan won 49 states in 1984. The difference here is poking Obama in the eye is much better than Mondale.”
USA Today finally mentioned the possibility of a fifty state sweep the day of the 1984 election. Up until then the mantra was that Mondale was coming back. Surprise, surprise..
Good analysis, as is post 30. I would add that it’s not just DE Senate. Similar dynamics are in play in Maine for Governor. (Most of the tea party dynamic works like that too). The Indie candidate is doing as well as the Democrat. Some Republicans like him, even though he worked for Jimmy Carter, and his experience consists of being a partner in a famous law firm, and running that law firms Bejing, China office. They are impressed by how smart he must be in order to get that impressive job. Because that law firm job for big law firm is “better”, Cutler would be the “better” governor. That’s how some Republicans think. Not a lot, but some, and there are likely some in Delaware who think like that. Yale Law School is the best law school lawyers make the laws, therefore Coons, to them would be the best.
In Maine, the Conservative Republican tea party candidate is winning big. He’s holding on to most Republicans (71%). He was one of something like 10 kids. He was homeless when he was a kid. French Catholic. Not elite. He’s picking up 13% of Democrats, against 2 other candidates with Democrat backgrounds. 30% of Indies. His voters are more enthusiastic - 70% to the other 2, who have 40% enthusiastic. They are modeling a 40/35 split R/D.
This type of good stuff is happening all over the place with the tea party candidates.
I personally agree with you on the looks part. 100%. Back when Reid called Gilly “hot”, some found that sexist or something, might’ve been the Christine campaign, actually I think it was. So, that put a damper on it. I did enjoy posting pix of Christine in the summer. Now, I guess some might find it inappropriate, so I’m not. But yes, the best looking Senator ever. And that’s a good thing. Both women and men buy magazines with pretty women on the cover. Good looking women sell.
A whole bunch of reporters running around Delaware, reporters from overseas, all that, that helps the economy.
O'Donnell wins; Delaware will continue to get lots of attention. Coons wins; Delaware falls back into obscurity for decades to come...
There are 6 seats that are believed to be safe Democrat.
Vermont, New York, New York, Maryland, Hawaii, Oregon.
Has Obama been going there? I don’t know. If he has, that would support the theory of “going to where the Dem will win”.
I think that Obama is going where there are close races, in states where the candidate does want him there, in states where he isn’t clearly unpopular.
WV is close, as well, but Obama would not be able to help, as he’s unpopular there, and Manchin is running away from him. Coons isn’t running away from Obama as much as other candidates in other states.
Something delicious to contemplate. If Christine wins, guess who gets to swear her in?
None other than Vice President Biden. And right after the election as she would take office immediately.
Ann Coulter was on Lou Dobbs tonight. It could have been from Friday. I do not real like her anymore after she attacked birthers - she did say that Christine was very impressive in her debates. She said Coons su*ked.
DE Ping!
Reagan Democrats. Macomb County in Michigan was said to have a lot of Reagan Democrats. Clinton 92 studied them and tried to appeal to them with at least some success.
The post regarding Palin has been updated. She will not be showing up tomorrow in DE.
“she did say that Christine was very impressive in her debates. She said Coons su*ked.”
Just in terms of pure forensic political skills, there is a wider gap between Christine O’Donnell and Chris Coons than any other Senate adversaries this cycle.
She is a really talented candidate; poised, engaging and likable, but very smart and aggressive.
He is unattractive, physically and in his demeanor. He is humorless and dour, at once cowardly and condescending in debates. The guy is just not likable at all. No wonder he was chosen by the Dems to lose to Castle.
Many of the non ideological voters in DE (and there are quite a few if the polls are to be believed; moderates are the largest group, slightly larger than Conservatives; lib s are by far the smallest) are going to vote for O’Donnell because she is such a nice, bright attractive person and Coons is a colorless, dour gray flannel apparatchik.
The post just said Palin was not coming to New Jersey; it makes no mention of DE. I think it would help if Palin came tO DE but I think the momentum is clearly with COD so maybe it is not necessary.
Interesting.
BC,
Just sent your analysis to two top Washington editors. You, my friend, are a genius.
Carter
Hardly. Just an observer. But thanks anyway.
Since we are speaking about turnout (and intensity) let me turn to Facebook. For the last full week of the campaign, Chistine O’Donnell’s trajectory on Facebook has reached its apex. She now has 27,670 (Coons is struggling to reach 10,000-—now has 9963). Between October 23 and today, October 30, Christine O’Donnell has gained 1146 Faceboook fans to only 219 for Coons, more than a 5-1 superiority, which is about twice the clip (2.6-1) she was maintaining two weeks ago. I have never seen such a phenomenal advantage, since I began observing these trends four months ago.
Her campaign is cresting right at the end, and it is a gigantic wave. Coons is going to be swamped by the turnout.
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