[blam]

I think the Juan Williams episode has even helped the conservatives.

[ElkGroveDan]

If odds makers knew anything about voters and campaigns, they’d quit their jobs as odds makers and make millions running campaigns.

[paul544]

Would be interesting... If Reid loses but the Dems keep control, would it be Schumer or Durbin that would take control? I think either one of those nut cases only helps us in 2012.

[yldstrk]

it’s not the f8cking gop nerd, it’s anybody but the establishment kapish?

[Freddd]

The Teanami tide can’t be stopped.

It’s still coming!

[GAB-1955]

Keep the pressure on! We can’t slack off until the government is under control again.

[fortheDeclaration]

The Senate is going to go GOP as well.

[eyedigress]

I know it has. The blue dogs in my circle of friends are not pleased at all with the political situation of the far left. They see the Tsunami coming and are running from lefty beach.

[justlurking]

FYI, the graph in the original posting (and the "prediction") is from InTrade. The 90% probability is based on how people are willing to bet their money, not any kind of statistical analysis.

The idea is that bettors have the same information and are making informed bets. But, emotion always figures into betting, and drags the actual "percentage" up or down.

A better statistical analysis is the Monte Carlo simulations that Nate Silver does for the NY Times:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

After 100,000 simulations, it predicts that there's only a 20% chance that the Democrats will control the House in 2011.

I can't link in the graph for the Senate, but the prediction is an 81% chance the Democrats will control at least 50 seats in the Senate (with Biden, that's enough).

[OldPossum]

I’m not too concerned about the Senate. It’s the House where the bills involving finance originate and that’s the most important concern I have.

[Vince Ferrer]

The GOP Has A Death Grip On The House

If it were Democrats winning, it would read, "Utopia upon us. Forecast: Rainbows for the next 100 years." Have Democrats ever, in the minds of editors, had a "deathgrip" on anything?

[luvbach1]

Tonight’s 60 minutes episode, which featured the plight of the educated long-term unemployed, could further damage Demonrat fortunes except among those who still blame GW Bush for everything.

[Melian]

We should be careful. The leftist media may be exaggerating our lead to cause many of us not to bother voting. This may be a red herring.

We have to keep working very hard to get out message out. There were no PUMAs in the last election. It was a trick.

Now add in the numbers of those who will cheat and try to steal the election. We must not be complacent.

[raybbr]

Ninety percent is NOT a “death grip”. A “death grip” would be 100%. A ten percent chance is still a chance.

[Senator Goldwater]

“I think the Juan Williams episode has even helped the conservatives.”

Yes, I’ve been thinking the Whoppi/Behar/NPR combination coming in the final weeks is having a crystalizing effect on the attitudes of the public out there.

These lefties are angry that their power is being challenged, discredited and thoroughly defeated.

[Cacique]

btt