This is lousy reporting. She has not gained 8 points, because they are comparing results from different pollsters. She has actually LOST GROUND since Rasmussen last polled this race.
So what was the margin the last time Rasmussen polled it?
She is unchanged from the last Ras poll.
The poll you are thinking about was a three way race. In the old poll of just the two against the new poll against just the two ODonnell has gained big time!
It definitely won’t help her to have “Rove” moments no matter what the intention. We need this seat, let’s get the positive out there and help her get over the line.
I know, someone’s going to come back and ask if I just want to put my head in the sand and ignore the facts, my answer is yes. I don’t want to hear negatives on this race, we’ve heard enough. Save the bad news for the Democrats and let’s get behind our candidates.
If Delaware voters are smart they'll vote for her just so they have at least one Senator who is awake and part of the majority ruling party.
From Rassmussen today: “Democrat Chris Coons holds an 11-point lead over Republican Christine O’Donnell in Delaware’s U.S. Senate race following the candidates’ debate Wednesday night.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Delaware shows Coons earning 51% of the vote, while O’Donnell draws 40% support. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)”
And from the Monmouth Poll: “The numbers: Coons 57%, O’Donnell 38%. The survey of likely voters has a ±3.5% margin of error.”
Please get your facts straight before you piss on someone’s thread. It really kills any enthusiasm we are trying to generate.
Please disregard my last post. I misunderstood you post. I am guessing the reason the article used the Monmouth poll was that it was done right before the debate as opposed to the previous Rassmussen poll is that the most recent one was done Sept. 16th nearly a month ago right. It could be that Christine suffered from direct attacks by Coons in the intervening month and is now making a comeback.
| Poll | Date | Sample | Coons (D) | O'Donnell (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 10/8 - 10/14 | -- | 54.6 | 37.0 | Coons +17.6 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 10/14 - 10/14 | 500 LV | 51 | 40 | Coons +11 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/11 - 10/12 | 2355 LV | 54 | 33 | Coons +21 |
| CNN/Time | 10/8 - 10/12 | 834 LV | 57 | 38 | Coons +19 |
| Monmouth University | 10/8 - 10/11 | 790 LV | 57 | 38 | Coons +19 |
| Magellan Strategies (R) | 10/10 - 10/10 | 928 LV | 54 | 36 | Coons +18 |
| FOX News/POR-Rasmussen | 10/9 - 10/9 | 1000 LV | 54 | 38 | Coons +16 |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | 9/27 - 10/3 | 801 LV | 53 | 36 | Coons +17 |
| CNN/Time | 9/17 - 9/21 | 703 LV | 55 | 39 | Coons +16 |
| FOX News/POR-Rasmussen | 9/18 - 9/18 | 1000 LV | 54 | 39 | Coons +15 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 9/15 - 9/15 | 500 LV | 53 | 42 | Coons +11 |
| PPP (D) | 9/11 - 9/12 | 958 LV | 50 | 34 | Coons +16 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 9/2 - 9/2 | 500 LV | 47 | 36 | Coons +11 |
| Daily Kos/PPP (D) | 8/7 - 8/8 | 620 RV | 44 | 37 | Coons +7 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 8/5 - 8/5 | 500 LV | 46 | 36 | Coons +10 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 7/14 - 7/14 | 500 LV | 39 | 41 | O'Donnell +2 |
In Ras last poll, he included the possibility that Castle could do a write-in, and Castle got 5%, Coons 49 and O'Donnell 40.
This time round, no Castle, Coons 51, O'Donnell 40, some other candidate 5 and undecided 4%. The MoE is 4.5% - so on the high side of the MoE here - O'Donnell could be as close as 2 points down - but let's just say she might be within 5 or 6 points.
This is still a stunning development given Coons was supposed to pummel her and given the national media's obsession with this race. Over/under that the national media will become more obsessive with taking her down and as they do, her support will grow.
This is a remarkably similar pattern to what happened in the primary, actually.
Go Christine.
http://www.christine2010.com
http://www.christine2010.com/1mill1trill/
Check it out... and Rush is right 99.6% of the time. She gained bigtime.
LLS
The only poll that matters is on Nov. 2. My money is on Christine. America needs her.