Posted on 10/14/2010 4:56:08 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Incumbent Democrat Barbara Boxer continues to hold the slightest of leads over Republican challenger Carly Fiorina in California’s U.S. Senate race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in California shows Boxer with 49% support and Fiorina with 46%. Two percent (2%) prefer another candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The race remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Looks like a stale mate. Nobody moving.
Turnout will be the deciding factor.
This is a mixed bag. Carly Fiorina is getting closer to Barbara Boxer, but Boxer is getting closer to the 50% mark.
That a career dimwit like Boxer is polling over 30%, much less nearly 50%, says an awful lot about the state of California politics, I’m afraid. Especially in this year.
I hope Fiorina pulls it out.
Maybe the topic of your posting will put Fiorina over the top.
Carly’s a “D”? Who knew!
True, and I think the pros are probably having a hard time estimating who will actually show up at the polls this year. I live at ground zero for lefty politicking in San Francisco and I have never seen an election so dead. We're going to be voting for Governor and Senator in less than three weeks and there are no parties, no signs, no events, no flyers, nothing. I know conservatives will turn out and vote. Here's hoping that the leftists stay home.
“That a career dimwit like Boxer is polling over 30%, much less nearly 50%, says an awful lot about the state of California politics, I’m afraid. Especially in this year.”
It’s just the knee-jerk Dem vote from the SF Bay, LA and Coastal voters that push these polls. It will all hinge on turnout like every other election. I’d say the momentum is on the right this cycle. I’m having trouble seeing much support for Boxer except in isolated sections of my area.
Granted I’m from the Conservative communities east of Sacramento, however I don’t see any of the normal level of support for the Dems one would expect even here.....
Interesting, and encouraging. I appreciate the info on the local situation, Forty-Niner.
If there is any justice in this world...
BTW why are only 750 likely voters being called up on all these polls this year? I read once upon a time that any poll with less than 1200 respondents was worthless...
“I read once upon a time that any poll with less than 1200 respondents was worthless...”
Maybe so in California, not so much in Nevada.
I guess that larger samples are more expensive to poll and there are an unusually high number of competitive races.
Well, we’ll soon see how accurate they are...
If Moonbean Brown and Box of Rocks Boxer win on November 2, California will be beyond saving; it will be finished. The f***ing idiots there will have destroyed paradise.
If Moonbean Brown and Box of Rocks Boxer win on November 2, California will be beyond saving; it will be finished. The f***ing idiots there will have destroyed paradise.
Sorry for the double post. Don’t know how that happened.
Amen Brother Amen!
CA will come down to turnout. If partisan turnout is as expected by Ras’s likely-voter model (which was fairly close to 2006 and 2008 D-R-I last I checked), then Boxer will probably win narrowly. But if turnout is more Republican and less Democrat than those years (as I expect), the Fiorina will probably win. Being behind by 49%-46% with leaners is actually pretty good if the sample is tilted a bit towards the opposing party.
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