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Sarah Palin's 2012 Opportunity
US News and World Report's Washington Whispers ^ | September 28, 2010 | Paul Bedard and Caitlin Huey-Burns

Posted on 09/28/2010 8:55:19 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

The odds-on favorite to win the GOP presidential nod in 2012 is none other than Sarah Palin, according to a statistical formula developed by Villanova University Prof. Lara Brown. The professor's figuring is bad news for presumed hopefuls like Rep. Mike Pence, Sen. Jim DeMint, ex-Gov. Mitt Romney, former Speaker Newt Gingrich, Gov. Haley Barbour, and former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton. Many simply joined the game too late, says Brown, author of the new book Jockeying for the American Presidency: The Political Opportunism of Aspirants, which studies every election since the founding. Others, like DeMint, are still brewing but won't be ready until 2016. As for Newt? "I don't think the GOP can forgive him," she says.

The book devises an "opportunism variable" based on the candidate's résumé to explain who wins the presidency and why. Palin has an advantage because she has been elected both mayor and governor. She also was a major party vice presidential nominee, giving her an enviable breadth of political experience. According to Brown, candidates who take risks and run for a variety of offices do well. It's even better if they lose a presidential race or two. "It takes about a run and a half to get there," Brown says. Pols "may think they can get it done in six months or a year, but [winning] will actually take them running, losing, and planting seeds," she says.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; congress; cultofpalin; demint; gingrich; iampalinhearmeroar; iquitarod; jonestownredux; mittromney; obama; odonnell; palin; palinbotsassemble; palinkoolaidfactory; palinlovefest; pdsfoundhere; rabstrollsagain; rino; romney; romney4romney; sarahmcpalin; sarahpalin; teaparty
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To: EveningStar
I don't have a candidate.

How much time do you spend on FR every week trying to resurrect stale, debunked, DNC arguments against Palin? And now you're pretending you have no motive for doing so?

161 posted on 09/28/2010 11:08:02 PM PDT by death2tyrants
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To: death2tyrants

Why don’t you try discussing the topic for a change? You’re awfully late to this insult party, your abysmal attempts at being offensive don’t even measure up to your usual lame efforts.


162 posted on 09/28/2010 11:09:36 PM PDT by mkjessup (Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
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To: mkjessup
Work on your comprehension skills.

Oh, I comprehend just fine. That was clearly a challenge and a threat, tough guy. Don't try to weasel out of it, now.

163 posted on 09/28/2010 11:11:04 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: EveningStar
I’ve just become disillusioned in politicians in general over the years. That’s all.

Okay. I can dig that. I have too.

But Palin has revived my interest significantly. Why?

Because I think she is the most conservative candidate that could possibly be elected as POTUS, and even more importantly, would be the only one to actually do what was necessary to inspire Americans and shift this country to the right and address some of the real problems we have.

Maybe I'll be disappointed, but I really doubt there will be another like this for a generation at least, and all the signs like the Tea Party, and Obama and his failures, are such that, right now, is a very good time for her prospects and that change.

164 posted on 09/28/2010 11:11:29 PM PDT by militanttoby
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To: Zakeet

Bad form. She needs to keep her head down and eyes focused on the ball. Otherwise, she could just hit a foul ball.


165 posted on 09/28/2010 11:11:33 PM PDT by tdscpa
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To: Windflier
Why don't you honestly study everything else Sarah Palin has said and done, then put your question into that informed perspective?

Why can't you just answer the original question, which was:

OK, so was Sarah lying about McCain being a "real conservative", or did she really believe that he was?

No need for either one of us to 'study' anything. Just tell us how you would answer the above question. It's not difficult, is it?
166 posted on 09/28/2010 11:11:46 PM PDT by mkjessup (Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
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To: EveningStar
Surely you're tongue is planted in your cheek.

And your brain is planted in your ***.

167 posted on 09/28/2010 11:12:50 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Windflier
Work on your comprehension skills.
Oh, I comprehend just fine. That was clearly a challenge and a threat, tough guy. Don't try to weasel out of it, now.


Grow up.
168 posted on 09/28/2010 11:12:53 PM PDT by mkjessup (Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
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To: death2tyrants

She is a troll, this is what she does.


169 posted on 09/28/2010 11:13:29 PM PDT by ansel12 ([fear of Islam.] Once you are paralyzed by fear of Mohammedanism...you have lost the battle.)
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To: smoothsailing

OMG! That first image has me in stitches! LOL!


170 posted on 09/28/2010 11:15:39 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: mkjessup
No need for either one of us to 'study' anything. Just tell us how you would answer the above question. It's not difficult, is it?

Why don't you read and 'study" the article, and come back with some comments relating to it rather than trying to hijack the thread with something else.

171 posted on 09/28/2010 11:20:53 PM PDT by militanttoby
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To: EveningStar
My disagreements are mainly with Palin's rabid followers, who insist on putting her on a pedestal.

They truly believe that someone who quit after half a term as governor of the 4th least populous state is qualified to be POTUS.

That's it? That's all you've got?

Sheeesh...I thought you had a real case set up against Sarah. What you just said doesn't even rise to the level of liberal Democrat talking points from 2008!

Hard to believe that you're cluttering up the forum with so much anti-Sarah wallowing, when all it's based on is thoroughly discredited moonbat slop.

Seriously, that doesn't even deserve a rebuttal. Here's a nice picture for you, instead.



172 posted on 09/28/2010 11:29:01 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: rabscuttle385

and how would electing Ron Paul not be throwing the election? Ron Paul is not as popular as Sarah. Ron Paul is like a backseat general who snipes from a distance without getting dirty.I wouldn’t mind a Sarah Palin/Ron Paul ticket to be honest


173 posted on 09/28/2010 11:29:52 PM PDT by 4rcane
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To: mkjessup
Why don’t you try discussing the topic for a change?

I'm waiting for you to amuse me. Do something funny again. You've already demonstrated your absurdity on this thread by foolishly accusing a well respected Freeper of making death threats. And you'll notice by the replies that you have received, you were being mocked for your foolishness. Now do something else that's funny. I'm waiting.

174 posted on 09/28/2010 11:30:37 PM PDT by death2tyrants
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To: ansel12

She is a troll, this is what she does.
*****************************************

‘She’ asserts being an outie:

“In spite of my nickname, I’m a heterosexual male”

Also has a cool link at the bottom of his about page - Lech Walesa and Ronald Reagan. Our squabbles don’t gain any ground. I am trying to reform, but it is hard. This thread was really, really hard. Not as bad as a Bush thread, but still . . .


175 posted on 09/28/2010 11:33:26 PM PDT by Psalm 144 (Detente with the GOP nomenklatura - trust, but verify.)
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To: EveningStar
I don't need to rev them up. They're already doing just fine on this thread. I'm just joking with them.

Heh... Don't try to fool an old hard nose from the hood. I know a call for back-up when I see it.

176 posted on 09/28/2010 11:35:17 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Gargantua

She is a genius. Her critics can just not accept that.


177 posted on 09/28/2010 11:36:03 PM PDT by SarahPalinForPresident2012 (She's runnin')
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To: mkjessup; rabscuttle385
Insults are all you’ve got.

I have three words for you and the rest of your Palin hating pals on this forum.

1) hy·poc·ri·sy noun

plural hy·poc·ri·sies

Definition of HYPOCRISY

1: a feigning to be what one is not or to believe what one does not; especially : the false assumption of an appearance of virtue or religion

2: an act or instance of hypocrisy

That one should be evident unless you're in denial, which would not surprise me.

2) ju·ve·nile adj

Definition of JUVENILE

1a : physiologically immature or undeveloped : young b : derived from sources within the earth and coming to the surface for the first time —used especially of water and gas

2: of, relating to, characteristic of, or suitable for children or young people

3: reflecting psychological or intellectual immaturity : childish

Number 3 seems to apply here, IMO.

3) mi·sog·y·ny noun

Definition of MISOGYNY

: a hatred of women

IMO, this seems to be the underlying issue with most of you Palin haters, whether you choose to admit it or not.

In other words, your childish and juvenile hatred of Mrs. Palin seems to stem from a hatred of women in authority, in my humble opinion. Correct analysis or not, you and the rest of your Palin hating Pals are acting Juvenile and are Hypocrites, and that opinion was derived from your immature posts on this thread alone.
178 posted on 09/28/2010 11:36:18 PM PDT by Pox (Good Night. I expect more respect tomorrow.)
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To: Psalm 144

What is it that you keep trying to post to me?

I couldn’t make heads nor tails of either of your posts to me, is there something that you are trying to say, or to tell me?


179 posted on 09/28/2010 11:40:26 PM PDT by ansel12 ([fear of Islam.] Once you are paralyzed by fear of Mohammedanism...you have lost the battle.)
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To: militanttoby; Windflier
No need for either one of us to 'study' anything. Just tell us how you would answer the above question. It's not difficult, is it?
Why don't you read and 'study" the article, and come back with some comments relating to it rather than trying to hijack the thread with something else.


You can join Windflier over there in the circle marked "can't quite come up with an honest answer, to an honest question."
180 posted on 09/28/2010 11:41:23 PM PDT by mkjessup (Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
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