Posted on 09/02/2010 11:19:07 PM PDT by Chet 99
SurveyUSA: Whitman 47%, Brown 40%; Fiorina 48%, Boxer 46%
(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...
I notice they have 17% in 18-29. If Prop 19 drives up turnout with that age group, that’s more likely to hurt Fiorina than Whitman, as Whitman is stronger with that age group than Fiorina is.
Talking about a poll not turnout and only 2 months out you'd think they'd only be polling likely voters?
My concern is that if both Whitman and Fiorina win, the RATS will have the courts overturn the results. They are good at that.
Fun to see (having a senior moment) the guy from Ohio that just got out of jail running as an independent...Beam me up Scotty....
Damn getting old sucks. The alternative is not too inviting either..
Damn getting old sucks. The alternative is not too inviting either..
~~~
LMAO,,,Roger Dat!!!
I look at it this way,,,
O’Bammy et al have stomped on tooooo many toes to win,,,
America is Pissed at all of them...
we have a shot at picking up 14 govs.
over and under on house is 60
(though some say 80)
and the senate is definitely in play.
LOL yep thats him and its also the picture I had in my mind but couldn’t come up with his name.....thanks
The only good thing is I just have old timers disease...If it was Alzheimer's, it would never float up into consciousness, it would be gone forever... thank you Jesus:O)
How can all states that have major difficulties in even electing Republicans, finally, break this ongoing political trend, and how can all states that elect RINOS over conservative Republicans, finally, break that ongoing political trend? Can RINOS ever really become conservative Republicans? How can Republicans, finally, get majorities with minority groups and in cities, for the long-term? How can Republicans, in general, really be prevented from ever morphing into leftists again, and what do conservatives do next if Republicans, in general, do become leftists, yet again?
Remember, at least 5% to 10% of Republicans tell the pollsters they are voting Democrat.
yitbos
Likely voters are used as a measure to determine what most likely will happen in the final votes is far more reliable on a statistical basis than just anyone you find in a phone book. That is why the most reliable pollsters like Rasmussen uses likely voters and then weights that to the statisitcal makeup of the areas polled to arrive at a reasonably accurate prognostication.
It is also a statistical given for elections, that a result for just anyone will be far more progressive leaning than one comprised of likely voters.
So in these Survey USA results that polled 1000 adults, 844 were registered to vote so right away the results are questionable. Of all of them only 569 were likely voters so again the error potentional was again increased.
A typical liberal poll will us the results from the full count for PR purposes because it is known that not using only likely voters will skew a poll to the liberal side.
So your response was not appropriate to say that 57% would show up. That was not the implied point. The point was this poll is most likely wildly innacurate with weight given to the liberal candidate, which, makes the chances of a R win more likely.
I looked at the tables at the site and it appears only likely voters were used to arrive at those percentages. I have no idea why they would include the number of “adults”, “registered voters”, and likely voters though if they were only using the results from the survey of likely voters. It’s a little confusing.
“I believe they are both heading toward leads, but based on some extremely accurate private surveys I have seen this week, these numbers are a tad bit too rosy right now”
Can you expand on that? Not your sources of course but the degree of rosiness involved in this poll.
How can Republicans, in general, really be prevented from ever morphing into leftists again, and what do conservatives do next if Republicans, in general, do become leftists, yet again?
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
The answer is: us. Next election cycle will be Presidential and we need to keep the pressure up in primaries against RINO’s regardless. Cycle after that will likely be a Republican president and hopefully a Republican Congress and Senate. We need to keep the pressure up against RINO’s in primaries regardless. The conservative base gets stirred up and active and then . . . when victory is within its grasp . . . the conservative base relaxes and lets the political “professionals” take control again. See, the professionals get a paycheck from it so they never give up and work every day.
Hijack the party positions and put conservatives in them : )
That's EX senator Boxer to you.
Big keys are that Fiornia gets the indy vote 58 to 35 - she also gets over 49 vote by over 50% - the big deal is the inland counties - Fiorina gets 60+ and they are going to vote because of WATER!!
Whitman and Fiorina both illegal alien lovers . Yea , right , The Republicrats are going to save America .
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