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U.S. Invasion of Afghanistan Now as Long as Russia’s, With as Few Results
Death and Taxes Magazine ^ | Friday, August 20, 2010 | Stephen Blackwell

Posted on 08/21/2010 2:24:38 PM PDT by Pan_Yan

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1 posted on 08/21/2010 2:24:40 PM PDT by Pan_Yan
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To: Pan_Yan
Google “What happens if we win in Afghanistan?” and you will not find an answer.

Well gee whiz, if it ain't on Google, then it just ain't...

2 posted on 08/21/2010 2:28:12 PM PDT by DTogo (High time to bring back the Sons of Liberty !!)
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To: Pan_Yan
Actually, not a good analysis. First, the goal was never "winning" in "Afghanistan." The goal was the total destruction of al-Qaeda; the removal of bases with which they could attack the U.S.; and if possible the capture or death of OBL. But the REAL underlying goal was to break the back of Islamic fundamentalism and terrorism.

I would argue that G.W. Bush has a STERLING success in the latter. First, Libya "voluntarily" defanged itself after we invaded Iraq. Second, Saddam and all threats---real or potential---he presented are gone and a functioning democracy in place. Third, Iran is now bookended by U.S. operating positions. This is supremely important. If IRAN---as almost everyone has said for a decade---is the final piece on the chessboard, then Afghanistan is essential to taking Iran.

Fourth, almost ALL guerrilla wars take between five and ten years, and 70% have been won by the "government" (i.e., us). The exceptions were China and Vietnam, and in neither case did we utilize even remotely all our war-making capabilities.

Finally, I think Bush should be credited with enormous success in wiping out the guts of the worldwide terrorist movement. He first pushed it off U.S. shores---there has not been a successful outside-in attack since 9/11. Then he forced the radical Muzzies to fight in Afghanistan and Iraq, and sucked in thousands from all over the world to kill them there. We NEVER could have invaded 20 countries, so they played right into his hands, so to speak, by going to Iraq and Afghanistan. Since then, the major successful attacks have been in London and Spain, not here. And since 2005, there have been almost no major bombings or al-Qaeda attacks anywhere.

3 posted on 08/21/2010 2:33:24 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Yes yes and yes.


4 posted on 08/21/2010 2:36:07 PM PDT by lonestar67 (I remember when unemployment was 4.7 percent)
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To: Pan_Yan
suggesting any war waged on Afghan soil will be a war against Islam

The war against Islam must be won.

This is a powerful video. Three Things About Islam

5 posted on 08/21/2010 2:39:59 PM PDT by FatherofFive (Islam is evil and must be eradicated)
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To: Pan_Yan

Stupid article.

The U.S. hasn’t been 9/11’d again, so on that basis alone knocking the Taliban out of power in Afghanistan has been a succes.

Fight them “over there” instead of “over here” and all that...

For another reason, Iran is encircled by U.S. forces, with our forces in Afghanistan closing the ring.


6 posted on 08/21/2010 2:44:54 PM PDT by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: LS

I think your analysis is sound. Unfortunately, we do not have a continuity of leadership or goals. Our problem is not what we did for the first seven years in Afghanistan or why. Our problem is what do we do now and why.

I think the price of staying will be high. I think the price of leaving would be catastrophic.


7 posted on 08/21/2010 2:46:38 PM PDT by Pan_Yan
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To: Pan_Yan
“openly supporting a dictatorial Islamic regime,” as military historian Major James T. McGhee put it.

Yep, no doubt about it. As opposed to allowing a dictatorial Soviet puppet regime.

There's a reason why certain Majors never get to be Colonels.

8 posted on 08/21/2010 2:50:47 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: LS

Well stated. Afghanistan and, even in bigger measure, Iraq were mousetraps, flytraps and roach motels that attracted jihadists from all over to where we had the most capabilities and overwhelming power to kill or capture them; al-Qaeda was essentially destroyed in Iraq.

As well we removed financing and recruiting capabilities and incentives of state regimes (Taliban and Saddam) and demoralized future potential recruits and recruitment efforts.

And many people simply don’t take the time to look at the map if they don’t see that Iran is between the Iraq and the “hard place” (Afghanistan).


9 posted on 08/21/2010 2:55:32 PM PDT by CutePuppy (If you don't ask the right questions you may not get the right answers)
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To: DTogo
Google “What happens if we win in Afghanistan?” and you will not find an answer.

Fortunately, there are a plenty of easy answers to the question “What happens if we leave or lose in Afghanistan?”.

10 posted on 08/21/2010 2:59:33 PM PDT by CutePuppy (If you don't ask the right questions you may not get the right answers)
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To: Pan_Yan
"we do not have a continuity of leadership or goals"

BINGO!

you see that we already won in Iraq. Even Obama can't avoid tacitly admitting that. But he is already screwing up Afghanistan---which was a low-level war, but not unsuccessful, under Bush. Now Afghanistan will threaten to bleed back to Iraq.

11 posted on 08/21/2010 3:01:56 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Pan_Yan
Who the heck is rewriting this stuff anyhow?

The American invasion of Afghanistan was a solid punch to the Taliban back in 2001.

Kabul was rid of the Taliban, schools were opened, a new government formed, women could actually go outside without having to don a GP Small.

In the last couple of years suddenly the American military is getting its ass kicked? How? Why?

What changed?

Winston Smith don't taste good.

12 posted on 08/21/2010 3:04:19 PM PDT by Radix ("..Democrats are holding a meeting today to decide whether to overturn the results of the election.")
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To: LS

The other day we passed a grim milestone. There have been more American troops lost in Afghanistan under 19 months of President Obama than under 7 years of President Bush. The only article I could find about it on Free Republic was some guy pimping his blog. It should be breaking news on every forum, network and paper.


13 posted on 08/21/2010 3:10:27 PM PDT by Pan_Yan
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To: LS
"Actually, not a good analysis."

You are very, very kind, LS. The author equates burning of cities and crops by the Russians with a few civilian deaths from the American drone strikes. He equates, tacitly, the invaders' aims: colonization of Afghanistan by the Russian, and our strike at al Qaeda with a promised withdrawal upon success. How much more disingenuous can the author be. Even his phrase, "immoral methods," is from 1960s.

He is an anti-War '60s fellow, and does not bother with truth or logic to promulgate his point of view.

14 posted on 08/21/2010 3:16:44 PM PDT by TopQuark
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To: TopQuark
He is an anti-War '60s fellow,

Actually, I looked through his article archives and I think he's relatively young.

Stephen H. Blackwell
Associate Professor of Russian
PhD, Indiana University, 1995

Doesn't make his perspective valid, but your guess about his history was incorrect.

15 posted on 08/21/2010 3:23:24 PM PDT by Pan_Yan
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To: Pan_Yan
"He is an anti-War '60s fellow,"

I did not mean that literally. The '60s radicals made it "cool" to be anti-establishment for several generations. When calling him such I referred to his outlook: America can do no right; all the world problems stem from America's misdeeds.

Michelle Obama is not a '60s radical either, but she reveals the same mindset when she refers to America as a "mean country."

16 posted on 08/21/2010 3:27:04 PM PDT by TopQuark
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To: LS

Great post.


17 posted on 08/21/2010 3:27:44 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (/)
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To: TopQuark

Agreed.


18 posted on 08/21/2010 3:28:04 PM PDT by Pan_Yan
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To: LS

I read the article, and felt the steam rising from my collar. Before I could crack my knuckles and begin typing like mad, I read your post, and...no need for me to restate what you so efficiently stated. Good job, LS...:)


19 posted on 08/21/2010 3:46:20 PM PDT by rlmorel (America: Why should a product be deemed a failure if you ignore assembly and operation instructions?)
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To: LS

Well and truly stated ... as usual, Sir.


20 posted on 08/21/2010 3:47:54 PM PDT by MHGinTN (Dem voters, believing they cannot be deceived, it is impossible to convince them when deceived.)
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