Rothenberg: With 4 Months To Go, House Could Turn, Senate Probably Not

NPR ^ | July 7, 2010 | Ken Rudin

[GVnana]

Weren’t the pundits saying, six months ago, that the Senate would turn, but not the house?

[WOSG]

All this catering to the moonbat base SHOULD wake up the rest of normal American that we have a leftist loon in the White House and we need a Republican Congress to keep a short leash on him.

[Siena Dreaming]

All this catering to the moonbat base SHOULD wake up the rest of normal American

I really they are waking up as evidenced by the news this morning that Zero is at only 38% approval among indies. Things like that NASA story surely are not helping him in the middle.

I think Obama thought he could go way left now and then veer back to the middle just before Nov. I don't think it's going to work. I think he's going to be reaching just to get his base out all the way thru election day.

[Clintonfatigued]

It looks very promising.

[Little Ray]

NOT doable if the ‘Pubbies don’t start getting out a message beyond “We’re not Democrats!”

[ridesthemiles]

How many of those elections will be stolen, like in Minnesota etc.? “”

ACORN is still very busy, working on stealing another election.

NObama gave them billions for a reason.

It was a pre-purchase of services.

[Little Ray]

They are trying to raise the bar for a Republican “victory.” Anything less than a turnover in the House and Senate will be trumpted as a “victory” for Obama and an “endorsement” of his policies.

[Drango]

fyi bump

[Califelephant]

Best result for Republicans is to take the House, and win about 8 more seats in the Senate. Darrell Issa, as committee chairman, will open Sestak hearings in the House. But the Democrats will continue to get the lion’s share of the blame for the economy, because they will still have the White House and the Senate, and the economy will still stink to high heaven next year.

[TopQuark]

Events between now and November may turn the whole world upside down. Stock market, particular, appears to be pointing to something very, very negative that nobody can explicate.

I think it points to a vacuum that will be filled in a yet unknown manner. This does not appear to be far-fetched. We are perceived, correctly, to be economically weak; and our foreign policy is purposefully weak. There are therefore at least two vacua to be filled. We might have a civil war or dictatorship. If so, nobody will be counting seats in either case.

[RachelFaith]

My tag line says it every post I make.

BANK ON IT !!

[justiceseeker93]

Rothenberg is really a Democrat who bills himself as “non-partisan.” So I'd say that his prediction that the GOP “has a legitimate shot at taking back the House” can be translated into something like “the GOP would win back the House if the election were held today.” I'm sure it hurts him to say that.

[combat_boots]

Which means Franken was..........

designed to make a joke of US legislation. And, legislators.

[TNCMAXQ]

They only need to gain a couple of Senate seats in order to sustain the filibuster more easily. In some ways it might be good if Reid is reelected and Dems keep control. Make Reid and his ugly disposition the main face of congressional Dems. This will not help them in 2012. Having said that I find him to be awful and I hope he loses his own seat. But if he wins there is some silver lining at least.

At this point it looks as if Repubs take control of the House it will be by a very tiny margin. I hope they don’t have a lot of “moderate” defectors trying to side with the Dems to give them a working majority.

[TennTuxedo]

Too many voters, who believe that their representative or senator is a good guy and that it is the voters in the other states who have a bad representative and senator.

The GOP has to tie each and every Democrat to Obama in their ads and ram it down their throats. We have to play it all out- we have to go all in or else we lose.

[Alamo-Girl]

Thanks for the ping!

[nolongerademocrat]

I think at this point Karl Rove and James Carville are new BFF. Obama is going to fall flat on his ass and take most of those morons with him.

[Impy]

Rothenberg isn’t a bad analyst. Most of them appear to me to be a little too favorable to the rats. (Their wishful thinking hopefully rather than mine).

I think the House will turn. I wouldn’t be shocked if more seats are netted than in 1994 or 1946.

The Senate is interesting. The GOP is sure to come close but getting over the top will require some good fortune in the tossup races. It’s not uncommon for most of the close races to break to one party. In 2000 and 1986 the rats won most close races.

[almcbean]

The better news, long term, is that the Dems have many more seats to defend in 2012 and 2014, many of whom will be vulnerable first termers.

So if the Tea Party movement can maintain momentum, preventing the GOP from returning to stupidity form, you could have a filibuster-proof GOP majority after the 2014 elections.

[Retired COB]

Since we won’t get a veto proof majority our morst pressing need is to stop the Dems from ramming this nightmare scenario through at will.

We don't need a veto proof majority. All we need to do is win control of the House because all spending bills must originate in the House.

We can than defund every Obama program and all of the wasteful agencies (EPA, DOE, DOEd, Interior, etc) if our Republicans have enouth gumption. That's all the more reason to elect conservatives instead of RINOs.