Rothenberg isn’t a bad analyst. Most of them appear to me to be a little too favorable to the rats. (Their wishful thinking hopefully rather than mine).
I think the House will turn. I wouldn’t be shocked if more seats are netted than in 1994 or 1946.
The Senate is interesting. The GOP is sure to come close but getting over the top will require some good fortune in the tossup races. It’s not uncommon for most of the close races to break to one party. In 2000 and 1986 the rats won most close races.
How about 2006, when Webb beat Allen in VA in some kind of last second "run" in the vote count? Plus, there were a few other close ones that year. When 'Rats win by less than 2%, you can be almost sure that cheating and fraud were decisive!!!