Posted on 07/07/2010 7:32:24 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
I agree Obama will get a lot less votes in 2012 (assuming he’s on the ballot) than he did in 2008.
But in a 3-way election scenario, he’s still got a reasonable shot at winning because the support from his “base” is rock solid.
As for the “alternative” voice to the establishment media, how did they do vis a vis Baraq in 2008?
It would be easier to convince them that OJ really WAS the killer!
Regardless of one's opinion of Sarah Palin, she is not an egomaniac of the Wallace or Perot variety. She wouldn't do it.
Reasonable shot? I’d say more like a lock. If there is a significant third party candidate in 2012, then Obama will certainly be re-elected - potentially by a landslide in terms of electoral votes.
If it’s a Tea Party candidate who can split the Republican and right-leaning Independent votes, then we might see states like South Carolina and Texas in the blue column next time. That’s the nature of plurality, winner-take-all elections.
USA Today/Gallup 1/9-11/09 - 83%
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/2009_01_09%20Topline.pdf
CNN 1/12-15/09 - 84%
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/12/24/obama.approval/index.html
Post/Post 1/13-16/09 - 80%
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/documents/postpoll011709.html
I think he’ll get on all the ballots. He’ll wave that bogus Hawaii paper around like Neville Chamberlain and they will let him on the ballot. 0bama will be “grandfathered” on those laws for all practical purposes. That’s just the way things are done now.
I was wondering about that, it just didn't seem to add up. They must be using the same numbers from before the election. Maybe we should use the weighting of conservative, liberal and moderate. ....or maybe weighting is impossible to do accurately at this point.
I’d settle for an honest one...
Forget hostile. Imagine if he had an honest media. Of course, if that were the case he would never have come remotely close to winning the presidency.
Good points about Obama’s past political experience. We are seeing his stumbling methods of dealing with opposition in several ways. There are the regulatory takeovers, the unread bills shoved through Congress, the recess appointments, the two-question “press conferences”, the closed “townhall meetings”, the faux debates like the healthcare debate, and the show trial hearings where industry “criminals” were frogmarched in front of the cameras, the executive orders, and his proxy thugs threatening recalcitrant members of his own party. He definitely doesn’t know how to deal with anyone who disagrees with him.
Wow, his approval has fallen more among the democrats than the republicans? The difference is statistically in the noise but still interesting.
Which is about where Rsmussen has his support. Funny eh? Oversampling Dims is a good way to bump up poll numbers.
You have to have a brain to have it damaged.
And yet his overall is still, according to Gallup, at 46 percent? Nah, no oversampling of Democrats here, no siree!!!
We need smarter independents.
I’m a little confused when they refer to independents. It would seem to me they are referring to people who are actually registered as “unaffiliated” (not registered with any party) rather than those registered with the independent party.
Am I missing something?
I’m a little confused when they refer to independents. It would seem to me they are referring to people who are actually registered as “unaffiliated” (not registered with any party) rather than those registered with the independent party.
Am I missing something?
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