Posted on 06/24/2010 5:02:03 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued
The contest for New Mexico Governor is currently a statistical dead heat with 44% of likely voters supporting Dona Ana District Attorney Susana Martinez, 43% supporting Lt. Governor Diane Denish, and 13% are undecided. The ballot test numbers are based on a Magellan Strategies survey of 542 likely New Mexico voters fielded Monday, June 21st. Looking at ballot test results by voter subgroup, we find Republican Susana Martinez doing very well among men (+17) and Democrat Diane Denish with a 12 point lead among women.
It is apparent that the Martinez Campaign has been successful appealing to 20% of Democrat voters. For the Martinez Campaign to be in a position to win, it is critical that she maintain and grow her current Democrat support of 20%. Democrats traditionally contribute 53% to the overall vote in general elections, so numerically Susana Martinez will need support from as many Democrat voters as possible.
(Excerpt) Read more at magellanstrategies.com ...
This race looks promising. If elected, Martinez will make history.
It will take a demoralized Democrat electorate to win much of anything in NM. People there really believe in “democracy.”
Susana leads by 17% with men and trails by 12% with women. Why are women (as a whole) so damn liberal?
Could be a tidal wave of new pubbie govs this fall? When the time comes to realign congressional districts after the census, Republican governors will play a huge role in the 2012 election and beyond.
“If elected, Martinez will make history.”
What’s her stand on immigration reform?
Is the current Governor not running?
Bill Richardson. His name escaped me for a moment.
Martinez supports the Arizona law.
“Why are women (as a whole) so damn liberal?”
The “government-gonna-take-care-of-me syndrome”?
Richardson is term-limited.
THanks. Couldn’t happen to a nicer guy! s/off
I hope she wins but the key issue that would prevent it in New Mexico is that the vote is stacked against her because of so much illegal immigration. New Mexico should be a solid red state but isn’t only because of an on going relentless invasion.
It’s always been democrat on the local level and a Presidential swing state.
He’s term-limited.
“Why are women (as a whole) so damn liberal?”
The result is skewed by single women, who are far more liberal than single men and married women. The gender gap is much wider among the unmarried than the married.
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