Posted on 06/22/2010 12:11:38 PM PDT by Galactic Overlord-In-Chief
A Victory Enterprises poll conducted on June 17, 2010 shows State Senator Brad Zaun (R-Urbandale) leading Congressman Leonard Boswell by 9 points. When asked, “If the general election were held today for whom would you vote?” 41% said Zaun, 31.8% said Boswell with 26.8% being undecided.
Also only 28.6% of those surveyed said that Boswell deserves to be re-elected, with 52.3% saying it’s time to give somebody else a chance.
While there is still a large percentage of people who are undecided, this polling doesn’t bode well for Boswell in a year where the Democrat brand has been damaged due to overspending and Obamacare and an anti-incumbent tone. Zaun is well positioned to be extremely competitive.
What should make this polling even more troubling for the Boswell campaign is the demographic breakdown:
The respondents were 43% Democrat, 38% Republican and 19% Independent. In addition, 48% were male and 52% female. 66% of the respondents were from Polk County with the remaining 34% balanced, according to previous off-year turnout models, from the remaining eleven counties that make-up the 3rd District. Age breakouts were as follows:
18-34 – 13.3% 35-49 – 25.8% 50-63 – 32.0% 64+ – 29.0%
With more Democrats being polled than Republicans, and more women than men it Boswell should be concerned that he trails by 9 points at this point in the race.
This is internal polling commissioned by the Zaun campaign, but I did say earlier after the primary, that I would never doubt his internal polling again since it was pretty dead on. I’m keeping my word.
(Excerpt) Read more at caffeinatedthoughts.com ...
Our “experts” have no idea the size of tsunami that is comming in November.
Yep. It's going to be an "unexpected" sweep of the House, and even some Senate seats.
Iowa is not liberal as much as it is a swing state. Chester Culver won in 2006 because of his famous name(his father was Senator) and because it was a Democrat year. The economy has declined since and there has been constant scandal in the Culver administration.
I wonder how the flap over Zaun’s youthful indiscretion will affect the race.
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