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Can Republicans Win the Hispanic Vote?
Townhall.com ^ | June 14, 2010 | Star Parker

Posted on 06/14/2010 7:45:04 AM PDT by Kaslin

New Census data shows the continued trend that the United States is becoming a nation increasingly less white.

According to this latest report, 48.6% of children born in the U.S. between July 2008 and July 2009 were “non-white minorities.” That’s up two percentage points from two years earlier, and soon the figure will cross the 50% mark.

The largest growth demographic is Hispanics, who accounted for almost 55% of our population growth. And, most of this growth – two thirds – came from births, not from immigration.

Aside from the knowledge that the country is becoming more colorful, an obvious thing we’ve got to be thinking about is what this means politically. Given that Democrats have been getting the majority of Hispanic and black votes – the two largest minorities – the straightforward conclusion appears to be that demographic trends favor the Democrat Party.

In the 2008 elections, white voters, for the first time ever, accounted for less than 75% of the total vote. It’s been noted that if each ethnic group voted as it did in 2008, but made of up the same percentage of the electorate as it did 20 years ago, John McCain would be our president today.

Clearly, demographic realities present real challenges to the Republican Party and the values that it is supposed to be championing – limited government and free markets.

Most recent polling from Gallup shows Hispanics generically favoring Democrats over Republicans by 2 to 1.

Republicans have got to make headway with this population.

We need them for building the political consensus to make the critical changes to fix our country - cutting the massive growth in government that Democrats have put in motion, cutting spending to eliminate trillion dollar deficits, reducing our now massive $13 trillion dollar debt, and to come up with creative solutions to the $100 trillion in unfunded liabilities we’re now looking at in our major entitlement programs – Social Security and Medicare. And, of course, holding the line on taxes.

Otherwise stated, if Republicans cannot start pulling in a bigger chunk of this Hispanic vote, it will be tough to be optimistic that we’ll be able to reverse the direction that Democrats have initiated – transformation of our country into a European style social welfare state.

Can Republicans reverse this political trend?

I say yes. The reason is that it is in the interests of our Hispanic citizens to support what Republicans are trying to do.

We’ve got in front of us right now two contrasting snapshots of what America’s future could look like. These two snapshots happen to be our two states with the nation’s largest Hispanic populations. California and Texas.

California today is America’s Greece. Over-governed, over-taxed, over-regulated, over-unionized, with excessive spending and impossible entitlements commitments. If you want to know the path that our federal government is now on, just look at California.

In a recent survey by Chief Executive magazine, CEOs rated California as the worst state in the country for doing business. It is the only state they awarded a grade of “F” in the category of “Taxation and Regulation.”

Over the last year and half, California lost over a million jobs and its overall level of employment is down where it was ten years ago. Its unemployment rate is several points above the national average.

Texas, on the other hand, was rated number one by CEOs. A low tax, low regulation, right-to-work state, unemployment in Texas is several points below the national average. And Texas has had net positive job creation through the recent recession.

Hispanics who think California is model for America’s future can keep voting for Democrats. But my guess is most will prefer the Texas model.

If Republicans make this choice clear to these folks, political change has got to happen.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: aliens
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To: Kaslin

Why SURE!! You know...by using the McCain approach. That ALWAYS works well. Attack your party base and pander to people who depend on MSNBC for FACTS!!!


21 posted on 06/14/2010 7:56:39 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
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To: Kaslin

http://www.collinsreport.net/2010/05/12/if-conservatives-oppose-amnesty-hispanics-will-punish-them-in-november-the-numbers-say-otherwise/

Better to go down fighting and refusing to hand the country to invading illegal aliens and their supporters than to roll over and play dead.


22 posted on 06/14/2010 7:57:33 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: avacado

We shouldn’t be playing identity politics. Republicans should work for the votes of those who value self-determination, equal opportunity, a strong and financially solvent nation, preservation of our market economy, freedom, individual rights, and opposition to socialism. It shouldn’t matter what race or group they belong to.


23 posted on 06/14/2010 7:57:41 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: Kaslin

I think the GOP has a shot at older Hispanics but most of the younger Hispanics I see are hopelessly liberal and will probably remain so until they hit 40 or so.


24 posted on 06/14/2010 7:59:38 AM PDT by exist
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To: Kaslin

Hispanics have a poor record of voter turnout in areas where they are NOT already the majority.

If SB1070 really rolls across the country, Hispanics will become very apathetic to voting and their power will wane.

Mexico is a good example. Mexico NEVER changes because the people just don’t care. They don’t try to change anything. TOTAL APATHY.

In Cali and selected municipalities it could be different because Hispanics are already majority.


25 posted on 06/14/2010 7:59:44 AM PDT by NeverForgetBataan
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To: Kaslin

they cannot win any vote where the preponderance of the group are “takers”, and frankly they shouldn’t try.


26 posted on 06/14/2010 7:59:46 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Kaslin

Republican leadership better figure out which side the bread is buttered on and start courting the people who ARE the Republican party.... then they will not have to go ‘hat-in-hand’ to every disaffected and fickle minority under the sun.

There are MORE than enough ROCK SOLID Republicans to get us into the WH from now until Doomsday, if the party leadership would just concentrate on the basics. (I am so sick of how simple and fundamental the ‘basics’ are that I don’t even want to talk about that anymore)

Pandering to all the insatiable and un-American elements in this country will only alienate Republican candidates from the Conservative rank and file, splinter the vote and lose them the election as well!


27 posted on 06/14/2010 8:00:04 AM PDT by SMARTY ("What luck for rulers that men do not think." Adolph Hitler)
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To: Kaslin

The legal hispanic vote? Yes

The illegal hispanic vote by illegal aliens? No


28 posted on 06/14/2010 8:00:30 AM PDT by meyer (Big government is the enemy of freedom.)
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To: raybbr

“Who cares if they can “win” the hispanic vote? Why not see if the GOP can win the “proud American citizen” vote?”

because there less and less “Proud American Citizens” by the day
sad but i am afraid true
oh and i am not speaking of race here, most anti-American sleazes i know of are white middle to upper class kids.


29 posted on 06/14/2010 8:01:07 AM PDT by DM1
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To: Kaslin
"Can Republicans Win the Hispanic Vote?"

If the Republicans can send the illegal ones back home, and stop the election fraud, they won't need the Hispanic vote.
30 posted on 06/14/2010 8:02:47 AM PDT by FrankR (Standing against tyranny must start somewhere, or the future belongs to the tyrants.)
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To: Kaslin

Why should they even care about racial groups.
Appeal to those who are here legally and are targeted for destruction by the dimrat party. The dims already have the illegal alien vote courtesy of motor-voter.


31 posted on 06/14/2010 8:02:49 AM PDT by Texas resident (Outlaw fisherman)
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To: Americanexpat

Stop killing our babies and we will not have to worry about it, or about having to hire foreign nationals to work in this country.

*********************

Exactly. Every western nation has a declining European descent population because of embracing anti-family, even anti-species, leftist secular dogma.


32 posted on 06/14/2010 8:04:38 AM PDT by Psalm 144 (Let me be clear. The voluntary pancipation of Cinco de Quatro is mandated in all 57 states.)
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To: Kaslin

The Hispanic vote? So race does matter. What about the white vote? This ‘demographic change’ that many write about as if it is a naturally occurring event is not a force of nature. It is happening through purposeful anti-white, anti Western European government policy. It is happening as a direct result of the 1965 immigration law and our federal government specifically avoiding enforcing our immigration law. The invasion across our southern border is neither an accident or an oversight. BOTH the GOP and Democrats have been involved in this. If the GOP supports Hispanics that support the invasion and the likes of LaRaza and the Hispanics Caucus I sure don’t support them. Why would I support what is destroying our culture and nation? That is affecting my community, family and way of life? The GOP can go to hell if they insist on supporting our destruction.


33 posted on 06/14/2010 8:06:35 AM PDT by Altura Ct.
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To: Kaslin

Texas, on the other hand, was rated number one by CEOs. A low tax, low regulation, right-to-work state, unemployment in Texas is several points below the national average. And Texas has had net positive job creation through the recent recession.

Hispanics who think California is model for America’s future can keep voting for Democrats. But my guess is most will prefer the Texas model.


Texas is changing one baby at a time. I read one Hispanic lady quoted as saying “we’re taking Texas back one baby at a time”.

The following is from a recent article in the San Antonio Express-News regarding secondary school enrollment in Texas.

http://www.mysanantonio.com/news/School_enrollments_foreshadow_Texas_future_93903929.html?showFullArticle=y
....
Statewide, Hispanic schoolchildren make up slightly less than half — and white children almost exactly one-third — of the pre-K through 12th grade public school enrollment of 4.8 million this year, according to the Texas Education Agency.

The gap grows every year and is wider in the early elementary grades, where Hispanic children now make up a small majority. White children are 32 percent of this year’s kindergarten class......

...
The sheer number of school districts in rural areas means more districts have white majorities than Hispanic majorities. But even that is changing. Across Texas, 349 districts are majority Hispanic, up from 245 a decade ago. The state’s 670 white-majority school districts are 97 fewer than 10 years ago.

The number of white students in Texas public schools peaked at 1,756,966 for the 1995-96 school year. Today, there are 141,507 fewer of them....

end snips


34 posted on 06/14/2010 8:06:51 AM PDT by deport
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To: Kaslin; ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas; stephenjohnbanker; DoughtyOne; genetic homophobe; FromLori; ...
RE :”Most recent polling from Gallup shows Hispanics generically favoring Democrats over Republicans by 2 to 1. Republicans have got to make headway with this population....We need them for building the political consensus to make the critical changes to fix our country - cutting the massive growth in government that Democrats have put in motion, cutting spending to eliminate trillion dollar deficits, reducing our now massive $13 trillion dollar debt, and to come up with creative solutions to the $100 trillion in unfunded liabilities we’re now looking at in our major entitlement programs – Social Security and Medicare. And, of course, holding the line on taxes. ..Otherwise stated, if Republicans cannot start pulling in a bigger chunk of this Hispanic vote, it will be tough to be optimistic that we’ll be able to reverse the direction that Democrats have initiated – transformation of our country into a European style social welfare state. Can Republicans reverse this political trend? I say yes.

Short term I don't see this happening. All the measures required to fix this country are painful, political poison. Certainly the Bush minority homeownership initiatives backfired as many Hispanics lost their houses to forclosure, as did immigration reform backfire. Right now they see Obama as their saviour.

Republicans best bet longer term is to make democrats own the economy and tell minorities over and over that Democrats replaced their jobs with welfare checks. Also point out how the government class lives like kings at their expense. There is no quick fix to this political problem.

35 posted on 06/14/2010 8:08:47 AM PDT by sickoflibs ( "It's not the taxes, the redistribution is the federal spending=tax delayed")
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To: DM1
because there less and less “Proud American Citizens” by the day sad but i am afraid true

It doesn't matter. The hispanic vote is NOT going to carry any election. Except in the most gerrymandered districts. And, that should prove once and for all that hispanics NEVER vote conservative as a block. Every hispanic gerrymandered district has a friggin' socialist dem in it and they get elected without any palpable opposition.

36 posted on 06/14/2010 8:10:37 AM PDT by raybbr (Someone who invades another country is NOT an immigrant - illegal or otherwise.)
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To: Kaslin

They could try the Bob McDonnell methodology. Reach out to them and focus on a broad array of issues that matter to Americans as a whole.

Engage them on the more conservative social issues that matter — most don’t want homosexual marriage, for instance — the CA vote in 2008 bore that out.

Push the message (and yes it’ll take some convincing) that smaller government is the better path. A strong communicator will be able to have the best chance of success. Compare and contrast the Reagan successes vs. the Carter/Obama failures.

Keep the immigration issue in a perspective that it’s but one of many issues out there. Re: immigration the GOP could attack it from a different angle. Remind Hispanics — and everyone else — the need for strong border security is for EVERYONE’s benefit — a higher level of safety from the drug cartels who are murdering their cousins in Mexico.

Emphasize the GOP values them and what they bring to the American mosiac. Remind them (those who are legal) America prizes their presence here and doesn’t want to see it sullied by those who, unlike them, didn’t earn their way here.

Will it work? It sure as hell can’t hurt to give it a shot. If the Hispanics don’t have a reason to turn from the dems, we probably won’t see another non-dem president or congress after 2020.


37 posted on 06/14/2010 8:13:26 AM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: Kaslin

Are the said “Hispanics” law abiding, family oriented, salt of the earth type folks?

Then of course the can vote republican, It is the leftists biggest fear.


38 posted on 06/14/2010 8:15:05 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: raybbr

“NEVER vote conservative as a block”

your probably right but i was making kind of a swipe at snotty suburban college age kids that vote for libs without a second thought based on your Patriotic American comment. heck i had an out and out socialist working for me last year. what a hoot that was.


39 posted on 06/14/2010 8:15:33 AM PDT by DM1
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To: deport

The number of white students in Texas public schools peaked at 1,756,966 for the 1995-96 school year. Today, there are 141,507 fewer of them....

May have more to do with the public schools than demographics.


40 posted on 06/14/2010 8:17:21 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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