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Paul Krugman: Lost Decade, Here We Come
The Business Insider ^ | 6-6-2010 | Henry Blodget

Posted on 06/06/2010 8:50:18 AM PDT by blam

Paul Krugman: Lost Decade, Here We Come

Henry Blodget
Jun. 6, 2010, 9:49 AM

Paul Krugman continues to argue that a return to "austerity"--an effort by world governments to reduce the massive deficits that have followed the financial crisis--will bury the global economy.

Just as bad, Krugman says, austerity will cause deficits and debt to balloon even more, because tax receipts will plummet.

Thus, Krugman views the G20's new focus on reducing deficits as a disaster:

The deficit hawks have taken over the G20:

“Those countries with serious fiscal challenges need to accelerate the pace of consolidation,” it added. “We welcome the recent announcements by some countries to reduce their deficits in 2010 and strengthen their fiscal frameworks and institutions”.

These words were in marked contrast to the G20’s previous communiqué from late April, which called for fiscal support to “be maintained until the recovery is firmly driven by the private sector and becomes more entrenched”.

It’s basically incredible that this is happening with unemployment in the euro area still rising, and only slight labor market progress in the US.

But don’t we need to worry about government debt? Yes — but slashing spending while the economy is still deeply depressed is both an extremely costly and quite ineffective way to reduce future debt. Costly, because it depresses the economy further; ineffective, because by depressing the economy, fiscal contraction now reduces tax receipts...

[snip]

In short, we think the pain is unavoidable. It's just a question of what form it comes in and when.

[snip]

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: debt; deficet; recession; recovery
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To: Travis McGee
It not ever Keynesian by the failed notions of Keynesian economics.

Primarily what the "Stimulus" spending does is paper over the budget cracks for State and Local Governments with Fed deficit spending so the locals don't have to make any though choices to get their budgets in line with their shrinking tax base. The "Stimulus" spending going on now has almost no is impact on future economic activity! It merely prevents the economy from fixing itself by delaying the day of reckoning for local and state Governments. All they are doing is prolonging the pain

21 posted on 06/06/2010 9:09:01 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (The problem with Socialism is eventually you run our of other peoples money. Lady Thatcher)
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To: blam
Paul Krugman and P. Diddy....Together In A Movie??
22 posted on 06/06/2010 9:09:13 AM PDT by blam
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To: dennisw

I just hope it’s a K-wave and not the dreaded K-winter.


23 posted on 06/06/2010 9:13:58 AM PDT by Travis McGee (---www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com---)
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To: blam

Krugman is a pathetic Dum shill masquerading as a columnist.


24 posted on 06/06/2010 9:14:46 AM PDT by Marty62 (marty60)
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To: blam

The man is an idiot, even in his choice of words. “Lost decade” is the standard Englishing of the Japanese description of the period of stagnation in the Japanese economy created by attempting to drag the economy out of a recession with exactly the sort of Keynsian “stimulus” policies Obama is pursuing and Krugman is defending. If there was any question about the validity of the analysis that showed that the New Deal prolonged the Great Depression, the Japanese Lost Decade should have put it to rest.


25 posted on 06/06/2010 9:17:55 AM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know. . .)
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To: Starboard
"Agree. Tax cuts would starve big government. That is why progressive elitist liberals are loathe to cut them."

10 States Where An Absurd Percentage Of The Population Works For The Government

26 posted on 06/06/2010 9:19:44 AM PDT by blam
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To: Starboard

Actually Kennedy and Reagan proved that cutting tax rates, actually increases revenue.

But for Democrats, taxes are not about revenue collection, it’s about control.


27 posted on 06/06/2010 9:21:57 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: jpl

Agreed. Classic bait and switch. Republicans had better be careful what they wish for. Big gains, and possible control of either the House or Senate, are exactly what the Dems and the current Administration want. For them it does two things: One; When collapse comes, and the riots start, they will be absolved of liability (with the help of the MSM, of course). Two; they simply move into private sector and non-profit positions, that garner them three times their current wages.


28 posted on 06/06/2010 9:32:41 AM PDT by 724th (The question is not how far, but rather, do you possess the constitution?)
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To: dfwgator

Yes, as Kennedy once proclaimed: “a rising tide lifts all boats”. This administration is trying its best to sink the boats.


29 posted on 06/06/2010 9:38:31 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: Paladin2
Krugman sticks to Kenyanesian doctrine.

"My favourite methods won't work, therefore no-one else's will." Not-Invented-Here syndrome.

30 posted on 06/06/2010 9:42:13 AM PDT by danielmryan
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To: blam

An economy must produce at least as much as it consumes over time or it will collapse . You do no need a Nobel Prize in economics to understand this.


31 posted on 06/06/2010 9:52:14 AM PDT by fhayek
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To: Travis McGee

I just know the general outlines of Kondratieff. If it’s nuclear winter we are really screwed but one thing we over the 1930s is much high level of labor saving technology. This knowledge cannot be destroyed. Only problem is most of it runs on oil and other petro-fuels. For energy independence we need to be using more coal and natural gas not faggy windmills and solar panels unless wind/solar can justify themselves on a cost/benefit basis without getting tax subsides to deploy them.

These greenies are moochers who want the USG subsidizing their schemes


32 posted on 06/06/2010 9:56:42 AM PDT by dennisw (History does not long entrust the care of freedom to the weak or the timid - Gen Eisenhower)
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To: blam
Go to H*ll Krugman, it was your patently false Keynsian policies that got us into this mess in the first place, so STFU.

"Hair of the dog that bit ya" doesn't work for hangovers, of the alcoholic or the fiscal sort.

Stupid liberal




33 posted on 06/06/2010 9:57:57 AM PDT by Oceander (The Price of Freedom is Eternal Vigilance -- Thos. Jefferson)
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To: MNJohnnie
All they are doing is prolonging the pain.

Yep! And, increasing its intensity. The longer this snowballs, the worse it will get.

34 posted on 06/06/2010 10:05:53 AM PDT by meyer (Big government is the enemy of freedom.)
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To: blam
Washed up speechwriter/poser extraordinaire Peggy Noonan is two miles behind the bandwagon. The lefty nobel prizewinning economist/goon Krugman is five miles behind the bandwagon.


35 posted on 06/06/2010 10:07:05 AM PDT by dr_who
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To: Oceander

If you blow up the debt and waste trillions of dollars when times are good, then you won’t have it to spend when times are bad. Paul doesn’t get that.


36 posted on 06/06/2010 10:08:43 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: blam
in Wyoming's defense, i think it's more a function of a sparse population that still requires the same number of govt offices no matter the population vs more than avg govt workers...
37 posted on 06/06/2010 10:42:38 AM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: Brilliant
Paul doesn't get a lot of things, not least of all the fact that a Nobel in one specialized area of economics does not, ipso facto, make you an automatic expert in any other specialized area of economics. But then, it's just like a liberal to think that he or she is a godlike genius - that's what comes from having given up the capacity for rational thought.


38 posted on 06/06/2010 10:46:13 AM PDT by Oceander (The Price of Freedom is Eternal Vigilance -- Thos. Jefferson)
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To: newfreep

Hey Paul, they were in the red before this crisis.

I could have agreed with you if the fact that they were already deep in debt before this crisis. Let’s face it, we had a Government Spending Bubble.


39 posted on 06/06/2010 10:47:39 AM PDT by dila813
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To: Chode
"in Wyoming's defense, i think it's more a function of a sparse population that still requires the same number of govt offices no matter the population vs more than avg govt workers..."

You're probably correct...there's only 544,270 people in Wyoming.

40 posted on 06/06/2010 10:53:05 AM PDT by blam
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