Posted on 05/21/2010 2:35:06 PM PDT by TitansAFC
According to the poll, DeVore is now within seven points of Campbell in the CA GOP Senate Primary Race.
Or another way to put it is he is in 3rd place in a 3 way race.
Still doesn’t look like any R’s have a chance against M’ammy Barb.
So he’s losing to a RINO and a liberal.
When is voting day?
June 8th.
Ping
Okay. He’s going to come in third.
“Still doesn’t look like any R’s have a chance against M’ammy Barb.”
How in the world can you justify this comment? Are you basing it squarely on PPIC and Daily Kos/Research 2000? In Rasmussen’s latest poll Boxer leads Campbell by 1, Devore by 3 and Fiorina by 4. I’d say Barbara is in deep doo doo. Lastly, how in the world could Boxer be leading with Independents, from the latest PPIC:
“But independents’ preferences have shifted (January: 42% Boxer, 37% Campbell; March: 32% Boxer, 48% Campbell). Today they prefer Boxer by 13 points (48% to 35%).”
Campbell (R) 23.0%
DeVore (R) 16.0%
Fiorina (R) 25.0%
So, Carly is leading now.
Chuck is on the rise. He gets my vote. The other two are way out there with Campbell the worse.
The way I see it, there are 36% undecided voters in this race. I suspect DeVore has the most enthusiastic voters and has a chance to still win this thing...turnout is the key. I don’t think Fiorina or Campbell are inspiring many folks to get out to the polls.
Campbell (R) 23.0%
DeVore (R) 16.0%
Fiorina (R) 25.0%
I haven’t seen the poll, but if those are the numbers, then it means that a third of republican voters haven’t decided on a candidate yet. We’ve got a log jam that needs to be busted up. I like DeVore personally.
So he’s losing to a RINO and a liberal.
When is voting day?
People have already been voting, for about a couple of weeks, thus far. About 25% of the voting electorate have the ballots already, from what I've read.
The way it's going to turn out is the the vote is being split, three ways for the GOP ticket, which will probably put Tom Campbell in place as the candidate for election against Boxer. And most likely Boxer will get in again.
BUT, here's the thing -- let's say Tom Campbell does beat Boxer, then this means that by splitting the vote for the GOP Primary, you end up with the worst of the three candidates for the GOP runner -- Tom Campbell. And he might end up being the candidate who could beat Boxer. The NRA is really against Campbell being in there, for sure ...
Chuck is on the rise. He gets my vote. The other two are way out there with Campbell the worse.
As for me, I back Sarah Palin's endorsement of Carly Fiorina and also back my own two US Senators, James Inhofe and Tom Coburn (Oklahoma) who endorse Fiorina.
Here's a useful chart, too, for a comparison of some positions of the candidates ...
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contests/2010-ca-sen-r
Public Policy Institute - 5/16/2010
Fiorina -- 25% Campbell -- 23% DeVore -- 16%
“The NRA is really against Campbell being in there, for sure ...”
NRA is alright. I guess. I prefer GOA though.
NRA is alright. I guess. I prefer GOA though.
I got this from Post #87 in the another thread ...
I replied and included the article in the thread and also, I'll include it here, too ...
Thanks for the reference link. It's a good article, and makes a good point about why you don't want Tom Campbell and that DeVore can't beat him, but Carly Fiorina can beat Campbell ... so here it is ...
The National Rifle Association sent California Republican members a mailer endorsing Carly Fiorina for the GOP nomination in the California Senate race. To be fair they also gave Chuck DeVore a 'thumbs up' for his defense of the Second Amendment. However, as Ben Smith from Politico states it, they made their "preference" of Fiorina clear. He writes:
The National Rifle Association sent this postcard to its California Republican members, making it the latest conservative force, along with Sarah Palin and much of the organized pro-life movement, to swing behind Carly Fiorina.
The card describes Fiorina and Chuck Devote as strong pro-gun candidates, but makes its preference clear, writing effusively of Fiorina, "a gun owner, proud NRA Member, and strong Second Amendment Supporter."
The mailer attacks the third candidate, Tom Campbell, at length as having cast "anti-gun votes."
The NRA issues ratings for candidates like a school grading system. They handed out an "A" to both Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore. Based on Tom Campbell's voting record and current positions on Second Amendment issues, he received the rating of "F."
During the last debate between these three candidates, Tom Campbell had another episode that should make any Second Amendment advocate cringe.
Like Carly Fiorina, I too know somebody that is currently on the federal government "no-fly" list. That person is about the last person I would expect to be a danger to any flight. Whatever criteria they are using is bogus, considering Faisal Shahzad, the Time Square wannabe bomber actually made it on to a flight after his attempted terrorist attack. For Tom Campbell to put his faith into this broken bureaucracy and be so willing to take away a person's Constitutional rights, is frightening. But there are a lot of things about Tom Campbell that are frightening.
Both Fiorina and DeVore deserve accolades from the NRA for their Second Amendment record, membership, and political stance. By displaying a preference to Fiorina, it's clear that the NRA sees the writing on the wall. To them, Tom Campbell is unacceptable and they are making their opposition to him known.
DeVore supporters have been trotting out poll numbers that show him gaining on Barbara Boxer. Everyone is gaining on Babara Boxer. The trouble for Chuck DeVore and his supporters is that he cannot beat Tom Campbell. On the other hand, Carly Fiorina can. So it's pretty clear why the NRA is displaying a preference for Fiorina.
The National Rifle Association endorsement is a high mark for any Conservative candidate. Being a member myself, I trust this group to watch out for our Constitutional right to bear arms. A right that I believe, fundamentally keep us a free people. The NRA understands what is going on in the GOP Primary as well. They know what the score is, so to speak.
It should also be obvious to anyone paying attention that Sarah Palin would never endorse a candidate that is squishy on Second Amendment rights. She, herself being a strong advocate and taking her fair share of lumps from the anti-gun, ultra-left for doing so.
Carly Fiorina scores an "A" with gun owners and Second Amendment activists. She will do a great job as Senator and give California dramatically different representation than what we are currently getting from the ultra-left's own, Barbara Boxer.
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