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Where's the oil? Model suggests much may be gone (Rush was right!)
AP ^ | 5/14/2010 | CAIN BURDEAU

Posted on 05/14/2010 3:44:36 AM PDT by tobyhill

For a spill now nearly half the size of Exxon Valdez, the oil from the Deepwater Horizon disaster is pretty hard to pin down.

Satellite images show most of an estimated 4.6 million gallons of oil has pooled in a floating, shape-shifting blob off the Louisiana coast. Some has reached shore as a thin sheen, and gooey bits have washed up as far away as Alabama. But the spill is 23 days old since the Deepwater Horizon exploded April 20 and killed 11 workers, and the thickest stuff hasn't shown up on the coast.

So, where's the oil? Where's it going to end up?

Government scientists and others tracking the spill say much of the oil is lurking just below the surface. But there seems to be no consensus on whether it will arrive in black waves, mostly dissipate into the massive Gulf or gradually settle to the ocean floor, where it could seep into the ecosystem for years.

When it comes to deepwater spills, even top experts rely on some guesswork..............

Of that recovered mixture, at least 10 percent is oil, BP and NOAA said. Smaller amounts of oil also have been collected after washing ashore, and crews have burned a negligible quantity off the surface

(Excerpt) Read more at google.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: energy; oil; oilspill
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1 posted on 05/14/2010 3:44:36 AM PDT by tobyhill
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To: tobyhill

Oil floats, so how is it going to settle to the ocean floor?


2 posted on 05/14/2010 3:47:47 AM PDT by FreeAtlanta (Hey, Barack "Hubris" Obama, $10 is all it would take, why spend millions to cover it up?)
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To: tobyhill
So, where's the oil?

______

Where's the beef?

3 posted on 05/14/2010 3:52:25 AM PDT by ICAB9USA (I cut off part of my middle finger .......... it almost rendered me mute. -- Rahm Emanuel)
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To: FreeAtlanta

It’s very deep, so as it rises it separates into different components, some of which diffuse into the atmosphere, some of which float (but very widely dissipated due to mixing with all that water), and some of which sink (tar). At least I think that’s what they’re saying. So, a deep-water spill where it travels a mile to the surface is very different from a situation where it spills directly onto the surface.


4 posted on 05/14/2010 3:53:33 AM PDT by babble-on
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To: FreeAtlanta
Of all that's coming out, only about 10% is actually oil and of that there are fish, plankton and other micro-organisms that either eat the the oil or spread the silt on top.
5 posted on 05/14/2010 3:56:17 AM PDT by tobyhill
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To: tobyhill
I'm no chemical engineer, so I won't make any predictions. But BP is going to cap this thing fairly soon, I think.

Won't it be a hoot to watch the story disappear into a black hole when the environmental Armageddon fails to materialise? The Democrats will still rail against off-shore drilling, but everyone will know that nothing really bad happened.

At least, that's how I hope it all turns out.

6 posted on 05/14/2010 4:01:52 AM PDT by BfloGuy (It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we can expect . . .)
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To: FreeAtlanta

I watched a Prof. from Texas A & M on Fox, another professor from Miss. said to leave it alone, the oil is an organic material and nature will take care of itself. Shep even asked him if the hay would work. He said the hay does work in a smaller area. The Texas guy said that oil is mostly carbon and once it hits the surface, the toxic chemicals will evaporate almost immediately.

Instead of blowing the hay out in the gulf, why don’t they have the shrimp boats and other fishing boats set up the hay barriers closer to shore where they can control the oil before it gets inland, especially near the marshes? I would think that would be better than chemicals.


7 posted on 05/14/2010 4:01:57 AM PDT by panthermom
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To: tobyhill

dilution is the solution for pollution


8 posted on 05/14/2010 4:03:05 AM PDT by GeronL (Political Correctness Kills)
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To: tobyhill
It's the model OAR .....?


9 posted on 05/14/2010 4:09:39 AM PDT by Young Werther ("Quae cum ita sunt" Since these things are so!)
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To: tobyhill
or gradually settle to the ocean floor, where it could seep into the ecosystem for years.

Which it would have been doing anyway.
10 posted on 05/14/2010 4:11:25 AM PDT by aruanan
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To: panthermom

Eventually the Natural Gas pressure will all be released then natural elements will seal the pipe.


11 posted on 05/14/2010 4:11:37 AM PDT by tobyhill
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To: aruanan

Exactly! It’s been down there for years now and it’s returning to its natural place.


12 posted on 05/14/2010 4:12:54 AM PDT by tobyhill
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To: tobyhill
I surely wish they'd stop calling it a spill!
13 posted on 05/14/2010 4:15:00 AM PDT by Road Warrior ‘04 (I miss President Bush greatly! Palin in 2012! 2012 - The End Of An Error! (Oathkeeper))
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To: Bushbacker1

Me too. It’s what we use to call a blow out gusher, not a “spill”.


14 posted on 05/14/2010 4:17:21 AM PDT by tobyhill
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To: tobyhill


Now, if someone had discovered a hole on the bottom of the ocean gushing oil, it would have been called a natural wonder and a source of free oil just awaiting the technological ingenuity to harness it for our use.
15 posted on 05/14/2010 4:27:39 AM PDT by aruanan
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To: panthermom

My take on this comes from growing up on a dairy farm. Over time, raw milk sours, ferments and turns into a cheese and you can still consume it. My mother kept a jar of leftover milk on the counter all the time. I dont know how many sour milk pancakes I have eaten that have contained bits of this “cheese” that didnt get mixed in nor were fully cooked. Pastuerized milk on the other hand would just go bad. She would never put any of that in the jar. What is leaking is not refined oil that we think of like the motor oil we put in our cars.


16 posted on 05/14/2010 4:28:34 AM PDT by janipa
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To: tobyhill

The oceans heal themselves. Democrats create crises (is that the plural?).


17 posted on 05/14/2010 4:30:13 AM PDT by RoadTest (Religion is a substitute for the relationship God wants with you.)
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To: janipa

Wasn’t the Exxon Valdez refined oil? So it was thick. This oil is a natural substance. Aren’t there naturally occurring oil leaks all the time?


18 posted on 05/14/2010 4:41:40 AM PDT by panthermom
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To: RoadTest; aruanan

Imagine what blood looks like when a cut finger, for example, is under water. The blood diffuses so quickly that the entire body of water that the bleeding is in begins to appear to be bloody. This gusher in the Gulf is sending material into a massive body of water. No one knows how many gallons or barrels of actual oil are rising out of the earth at that spot.


19 posted on 05/14/2010 4:45:54 AM PDT by maica (Freedom consists not in doing what we like,but in having the right to do what we ought. John Paul II)
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To: tobyhill

There just lying again.


20 posted on 05/14/2010 4:46:34 AM PDT by VastRWCon
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