Posted on 04/16/2010 8:24:31 AM PDT by Monitor
The fate of a Senate bill that would revamp the nations financial regulatory system could hinge on a Republican centrist from Maine.
Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) may end up being the deciding vote next week on a Democratic Wall Street reform plan touted by the White House.
While Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-Maine) attracted the spotlight during the healthcare reform debate, Collins is the one being wooed by Republicans and Democrats on financial regulatory reform.
A GOP aide said Collins is the only Republican senator who has not signed a letter promising to filibuster a motion to proceed to the bill unless Democrats reopen bipartisan negotiations. The letter has not been made public.
In order to torpedo the measure crafted by Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd (D-Conn.), Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) needs 41 votes.
Feeling the wind at their backs, Senate Democrats say they will vote next week on the legislation. But its unclear if they have the 60 votes necessary after an intense whipping effort this week by Senate GOP leaders.
The White House and Senate Democrats, tired of waiting for the GOP and sensing a political advantage, are rejecting Republican calls to engage in more bipartisan negotiations.
McConnell, who kept his conference united on healthcare reform, has faced a tougher test on Wall Street reform. Yet contrary to expectations earlier this week, he has most Senate Republicans behind him.
In recent days, McConnell has lashed out at the president and Democratic leaders for pushing what he calls a bailout bill and for not working in good faith with the GOP.
Collins said that she supports some of the provisions in the bill. However, she said she has concerns about Senate Democratic leaders cutting off bipartisan talks after White House officials intervened.
Collins has said that she would like bipartisan talks to continue, but she does not want to box herself in on the issue.
I oppose Sen. Dodds bill, Collins said Thursday. I am still talking with my colleagues about whether a letter is the most effective way to send the message, or whether there are better ways, and those discussions are still ongoing.
I agree with my colleagues that the Dodd bill is deeply flawed, Collins added. But, as a former financial regulator, I also feel strongly that the current system is very flawed. We need a financial regulatory bill, just not this one.
Snowe and Collins are not particularly close, but they usually vote the same way. Both Maine centrists backed the stimulus package and rejected the final healthcare reform bill, though Snowe backed the version that cleared the Finance Committee last year.
Snowes office did not comment for this article.
With 59 Democrats in the Senate, McConnell has little margin for error.
Democrats are optimistic they will have the votes. However, they are also working to persuade skeptical members on their side of the aisle.
Sen. Ben Nelson (Neb.), one of the upper chambers most conservative Democrats, has withheld support for the legislation because of concerns over new regulations it would place on insurance companies.
In addition to Nelson, Sens. Evan Bayh (D-Ind.) and Ted Kaufman (D-Del.) have reportely held back from endorsing the legislation, a high priority of President Barack Obamas.
Senate Democratic Whip Dick Durbin (Ill.) said Thursday he is not certain Democrats would have all 59 votes in their conference for a motion to proceed to the bill.
Its too soon to say, said Durbin.
Because of the chances of at least one defection, McConnell will not be able to force Democrats to withdraw the Dodd bill at least, not yet.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) told reporters Thursday the legislation would likely hit the floor sometime next week.
Were doing our best to get it on the floor as quickly as possible; we hope to get it on the floor next week, Reid said.
But the public opposition of 41 Republican senators, certified with a signed letter, would be enough to end the suspense and open Dodds bill to substantial revision.
A Republican senator told The Hill on Wednesday that 20 to 25 Republican senators would vote for the bill if Dodd made changes to provisions on new powers for the Treasury Department and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).
Some Democrats believe Republicans are just seeking more time to run out the clock in the 111th Congress.
And Obamas advisers believe Wall Street reform is a winning political argument for Democrats.
Democratic pollster Celinda Lake told reporters Wednesday that seniors who lost much of their savings in the 2008 financial meltdown are angry and could be mobilized on the issue.
Democrats have already begun to blast away at Republicans, accusing them of defending big banks that over-invested in mortgage-backed securities and other toxic assets.
Ive been very disappointed by the statements of some of my Republican colleagues opposing our efforts on Wall Street [reform], Reid told reporters Thursday. They seem clearly focused on protecting these big banks.
Durbin said, Republicans have decided its best for them to stand up for the biggest banks in America, for them to be the caucus that will defend financial institutions that brought us into this recession.
McConnell counters that the Dodd bill would put taxpayers at risk for having to pay for future bailouts.
The bill would create a $50 billion fund funded by financial institutions to wind down banks that pose a risk to the financial system.
Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.), who worked on the portion of the bill addressing institutions that become too big to fail, said Obama administration officials made changes to Dodds bill empowering the Treasury Department and FDIC to infuse additional federal funds to keep troubled banks on life support.
McConnell argues this could put taxpayers on the hook for future bailouts because if the $50 billion industry-supplied fund proved insufficient, Treasury and FDIC officials could spend billions of additional dollars to rescue banks.
Republicans note the rescue of AIG Inc. cost about $180 billion.
Its authors claim that the bill gives the government the authority to wind down failing firms with no exposure to the taxpayer, McConnell said in a speech Wednesday.
But as a factual matter, the bill creates bailout funds, authorizes bailouts, allows for backdoor bailouts from the FDIC, Treasury and the Fed, and even expands the scope of future bailouts.
Corker, however, said that lawmakers could easily close the loopholes empowering Treasury and FDIC to infuse additional funds into ailing banks to keep them afloat.
Sen. Charles Schumer (N.Y.), vice chairman of the Democratic Conference and a member of the Banking Committee, has dismissed McConnells critique, asserting taxpayer money would not be at risk.
Sen. Dodds bill explicitly says the money that will go for any future bailout for any large institution because it failed has to come from the large institution, not the taxpayer, Schumer said.
Snowe did not vote for health care reform.
She did vote for TARP and the stimulus (the two places she screwed us).
I suspect she would love to vote for this, but even she is feeling the heat form back home.
I am SO tired of left-wing Republicans being called ‘centrist’ or moderate. They are just as bad as Nancy Pelosi!
Easy decision.
It’s a democratic proposal, so it’s unworkable, inept, idiotic, has no chance of succeeding, was written by folks who’ve never had a real job, immoral, etc, etc. etc.
Kill it.
Democrats never have, and never will propose something that can be sustained.
I think a lot of "We'll take care of you" deals are happening
...and give Sor0bama the opportunity to take over any company desired, no?
They are scavengers, the lot of them.
Collins will roll over on her stomach for ‘more’.
Collins? We’re doomed!!!
Give me a break. She's so far out in left field even the ivy is cringing.
Leni
Grow a pair snowe...If Bachmann and Palin can stand up and be Patriots so can you! JUST SAY NO!
Her husband is CEO of a business that sucks off the teat of the Federal funding leviathon. I am sure that does not make her a fan of Smaller Government.
Another Vicy Republican sell-out.
Since when do democrats need 60 votes??
It's got nothing to do with anything except pushing it through before the alternative media can get the word out on what it is.
All our guys need to start pounding the reality of this government takeover into the public's head. No time to waste.
CENTRIST? ROFL
It wouldn’t surprise me that if Republicans take over the Senate this fall, either Snowe or Collins pulls a Specter and switches to a Dem to hand the Senate back to Obama. I think both are democrats at heart and wouldn’t trust either of them very far. I dream of the day that Republicans have enough conservative senators that they can afford to ignore the RINOs.
She is definitely NOT a Republican ‘centrist’.
No, we haven’t forgotten she and Collins are THE reason the health rationing bill moved forward!
We will remember as long as it takes....
Snowe’s “aye” voted helped get the bill out of committee.
I think everyone knows Collins is not the sharpest star in the picnic basket. But she did manage to learn from the examples of Landrieu, Nelson, Stupak and the other “undecideds.”
Watch for her to cave after token resistance.
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