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Is the dKos/R2K poll systematically undercounting seniors?
Patterico's Pontifications ^ | 4-5-10 | Karl

Posted on 04/15/2010 7:05:36 AM PDT by Til I am the last man standing

The dKos/R2K poll of the 2009 Virginia election had predicted the 18-29 bloc would be 16% and the 60+ bloc would be 15% of the electorate. As a result, dKos/R2K came up with a 10% margin of victory for Bob McDonnell, when the actual margin turned out to be a 17.5% blowout. (The dKos/R2K poll also underestimated the margin of Chris Christie’s win in NJ and was the worst poll in the closing days for Scott Brown in MA.)

Dems have tended to rationalize these recent losses by saying that Creigh Deeds was a bad candidate in Virginia, Martha Coakley was a bad candidate in Massachusetts, and Jon Corzine was an unpopular incumbent. Such rationalizations — even if true — run contrary to the apparent dKos/R2K hypothesis that off-year post-Obama elections will nevertheless have a turnout model resembling the 2008 election. To the contrary, the real world data so far tends to suggest that Pres. Obama’s support does not save otherwise vulnerable Dems.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polling; seniors; undercounting
Very good article on the tunnel vision the dems have developed
1 posted on 04/15/2010 7:05:36 AM PDT by Til I am the last man standing
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To: Til I am the last man standing

Do ya think Zero’s DeathCare is his premeditated “final solution” signed off on by this Congress for America’s seniors/elderly? They will define senior down to whatever age they care to eliminate the non-producers. Duh!


2 posted on 04/15/2010 7:09:52 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead (Clean the RAT/RINO Sewer in 2010 and 2012)
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To: Til I am the last man standing

....Martha Coakley was a bad candidate in Massachusetts...

People in MA did not vote against Coakley. They voted against obama.

They did not vote against Coakley “because she’s a woman”, as many feminazis say:

http://thenewagenda.net/2010/01/25/was-there-gender-bias-in-coakleys-defeat/

They did not vote against a woman. They voted against a man (although a very poor excuse for a man), obama.

God bless Scott Brown, and GOP winners for the governorships of Virginia and New Jersey!!! Let’s vote ALL the ‘Rats out, and take no prisoners!!!!


3 posted on 04/15/2010 7:30:32 AM PDT by Honorary Serb (Kosovo is Serbia! Free Srpska! Abolish ICTY!)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

Might as well not count them.
They’ll be “eliminated” under Healthcare Control soon enough.


4 posted on 04/15/2010 7:31:50 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a humanist and a Satanist is that the latter knows who he's working for.)
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To: Til I am the last man standing

I believe this is the same DitzyKooks polling that had Juan Hussein McCain up by 15 points over JD Hayworth....when the last Rasmussen poll had JD only 7 points behind....while another poll (according to what I was told...cant confirm yet) that JD was within 4 points of McCain.

DKooks always will favor liberals


5 posted on 04/15/2010 7:38:01 AM PDT by UCFRoadWarrior (JD Hayworth for Senate ..... jdforsenate.com)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

Many seniors ARE producers, and pay taxes. In fact, an increasing number of seniors are producers, given current economic realities that preclude retirement.

The commuNazi obama regime has decreed death for seniors not because they are non-producers, but because they are mainly Euro-Americans who know what American culture really is, and what a free America is really like. The evil commuNazis want to replace them with a Third World population as fast as possible. That Third World population will bow down to the One and accept dictatorship and slavery!

DeathCare and Amnesty are two sides of the same coin!!!!


6 posted on 04/15/2010 7:39:09 AM PDT by Honorary Serb (Kosovo is Serbia! Free Srpska! Abolish ICTY!)
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To: Til I am the last man standing

Kos has an agenda. Therefore, don’t expect objectivity or honesty.


7 posted on 04/15/2010 8:02:09 AM PDT by popdonnelly (I'm so old, I remember when free enterprise was praised, and communism was shunned.)
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To: Til I am the last man standing

what, dKos takes a poll on Twitter and Facebook and ends up undercounting Seniors?? /sarc


8 posted on 04/15/2010 8:37:24 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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