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Dan Walters: California's economic future appears dim
Sacramento Bee ^ | 3/28/10 | Dan Walters

Posted on 03/28/2010 9:49:31 AM PDT by SmithL

Californians are very worried about the state's recession-wracked economy, recent polls have found – and with very good reason.

As the state's once-booming housing industry went bust, the recession hit here somewhat earlier and harder than in the rest of the country. The national economy shows some signs of recovery, but they're difficult to find in California.

The best one may conclude from forecasts by the state's leading economists is that we may have hit bottom and may see some weak signs of recovery later in the year, but full recovery – if it happens – will take years.

How many years? In the absence of some new explosive boom, even a strong recovery would create, at most, perhaps 300,000 new jobs a year.

That sounds great, but California is still seeing strong population growth, so its potential labor force is still growing. Most of those 300,000 jobs would be needed just to meet that growth.

California has lost 1.4 million jobs in the past two years, including 20,400 more in February. Unemployment is 12.5 percent. Cutting it in half could take a decade – assuming that strong, sustained economic growth will visit the state.

Bill Watkins, who runs an economic forecast unit at California Lutheran University, says in a new overview, "The short version of our forecast is that economic activity will slowly pick up in California, while job losses will continue, but at declining rates."

"The picture one gets is of a generally weak, jobless, recovery that will be geographically and sectorally uneven," Watkins adds. "Unfortunately for most Californians, 2010 is likely to be another challenging economic year."

(Excerpt) Read more at sacbee.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: budget; deficit; goldenstate; yourtaxdollarsatwork
Just raise taxes, that'll fix everything.
1 posted on 03/28/2010 9:49:32 AM PDT by SmithL
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To: SmithL

Dear California,

Just sell the state to Google.

Sincerely,

Disgruntled Taxpayer


2 posted on 03/28/2010 9:59:51 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: SmithL

California is what you get when Liberals take over......and if they stay in charge long enough, you get Detroit.


3 posted on 03/28/2010 10:02:48 AM PDT by Psycho_Bunny (Socialism is for people who've given up.)
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To: SmithL

...wow...this is from the Sacremento Bee the flagship paper of the McClatchey newspaper group...they are heavily Leftist and strongly pro-Obama...surprised they would print a story like this....check out their stock price sometimes(MNI)to see the fruits of their best thinking.


4 posted on 03/28/2010 10:04:05 AM PDT by STONEWALLS
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To: SmithL

The parasitic govt has overwhelmed the host.


5 posted on 03/28/2010 10:05:06 AM PDT by Seruzawa (If you agree with the French raise your hand - If you are French raise both hands.)
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To: SmithL
Californians are very worried about the state's recession-wracked economy, recent polls have found – and with very good reason.

Wadda' madder Sacramento, your little Marxist Utopia on the rocks and proved to be dysfunctional?

6 posted on 03/28/2010 10:07:55 AM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: Psycho_Bunny
and if they stay in charge long enough, you get Detroit.

But with better weather, hotter chicks.

7 posted on 03/28/2010 10:07:59 AM PDT by central_va ( http://www.15thvirginia.org)
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To: SmithL

Kalifornia's Future.

8 posted on 03/28/2010 10:10:22 AM PDT by central_va ( http://www.15thvirginia.org)
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To: SmithL

Certainly the courageous, bright and wise representative legislators in Sacto will do what is crucial and necessary for a sound fiscal solution. /sc


9 posted on 03/28/2010 10:14:07 AM PDT by tflabo (Restore the Republic)
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To: STONEWALLS
WE have the champagne on ice waiting for the day this
Obam front group dies and it looks like its real soon.
The company can;t sell off its real estate investments so its off to bankruptcy court real soon.

Sadly for the staff, the Obama Internet/media troll division seems to be fully staffed so its off work as a bar back or at a lefty coffee shop.

10 posted on 03/28/2010 10:15:08 AM PDT by ncalburt (e)
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To: SmithL

If it is any consolation to those in CA...Florida is catching up....over 12% unemployment now in FL

Its bad everywhere


11 posted on 03/28/2010 10:21:26 AM PDT by UCFRoadWarrior (National Security begins at the Border)
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To: SmithL

Kalifornia is what you get when a majority of the electorate votes for their “free stuff.” The rest of this nation is following just a couple years /months behind.


12 posted on 03/28/2010 10:47:26 AM PDT by OldMissileer (Atlas, Titan, Minuteman, PK. Winners of the Cold War)
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To: UCFRoadWarrior

OREGON’s on it’s way to CALIFORNICATION too....


13 posted on 03/28/2010 11:43:05 AM PDT by goodnesswins (My life. My fortune. My sacred honor. My family will not grow up in a communist country.)
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To: ncalburt

...this winter, one of the papers in the chain(Miami Herald, actually asked readers for charitable donations to stay afloat.


14 posted on 03/29/2010 6:23:39 AM PDT by STONEWALLS
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To: STONEWALLS

thankfully they invested poorly and maybe gone within a year.
they are now in the penny stock trade category.


15 posted on 03/29/2010 12:33:20 PM PDT by ncalburt (e)
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