Posted on 03/25/2010 1:16:33 PM PDT by dangus
The latest polls suggest the Republicans could pull off a sweep of unprecedented porportion in statehouse races, virtually wiping out the Democrat party. The following data come from the latest Rasmussen poll, if available. Otherwise, the poll source is noted. Results shown compare the Republican who performs best against the Democrats, versus the Democrat who performs best against Republicans. This may bias selection towards well-established candidates, and is not meant to suggest that the selected candidate is more electable or the best candidate. The party indicated is the party of the current leader, who is listed first. Further analysis follows the table.
| Open Democratic Seats | |
| Colorado: | R: McInnis 48, Hickenlooper 42 |
| Kansas: | R: Brownback 55, Tolland 33 |
| Maine: | R: Mills 43, Mitchell 31 |
| Michigan: | R: Hoesktra 41, Dillon 34 |
| New Mexico: | D: Denish 45, Domenici 40 |
| New York: | No announced Democratic candidate (Likely D if Atty Gen. Cuomo Runs) |
| Oklahoma: | R: Fallin 51, Edmonson 36 |
| Oregon: | D: Kitzhaber 40, Lim 38 (R favored: Kitzhaber is former Governor; Lim is largely unknown.) |
| Pennsylvania | R: Corbett 46, Onorato 29 |
| Tennessee | R: Haslam 45, McWherter 27 |
| Wisconsin | R: Walker 48, Barret 42 |
| Democrats for Re-election | |
| Arkansas | D: Beebe (unopposed, so far) |
| Illinois | R: Brady 47, Quinn 37 |
| Iowa | R: Brandstad 52, Culver 36 |
| Maryland | D: O'Malley 49, Erlich 43 |
| Massachusetts | D: Patrick 35, Baker 32, Cahill (Ind.) 19 (Tossup: 3rd part voters likely to break towards an opponent of Patrick's) |
| New Hampshire | D: Lynch 51, Kimball 32 |
| Ohio | R: Kasich 49, Strickland 38 |
| Open Republican Seats | |
| Alabama | R: No polling, but Republicans are heavily favored. |
| California | R: Whitman 45, Brown 39 (PPIC) |
| Connecticut | D: Lamont 40, Foley 37 (R favored: Lamont is former Senator candidate, whereas Foley is unknown.) |
| Florida | R: McCollum 48, Sink 36 |
| Georgia | R: Handel 42, Barnes 39 |
| Hawaii | D: Abercrombie 43, Aiona 34 |
| Minnesota | R: Seifert 41, Dayton 39 |
| South Carolina | R: Barrett 40, Rex 31 |
| South Dakota | R: Daugaard 41, Heindepreim 32 |
| Vermont | R: Dubie 46, Markowitz 39 |
| Republican Incumbent Facing Difficult Primary | |
| Arizona | R: Martin 43, Goddard 38 (Brewer, who replaced Democratic Governor Napolitano, is losing) |
| Idaho | R: (Challenger Rammell or Incumbent Governor Butch Otter would be heavily favored to win general election) |
| Nevada | R: Sandoval 53, Reid 35 (Gibbons, rocked by sex scandal, is losing) |
| Unelected Republican Incumbent | |
| Alaska | R: Parnell widely expected to win easily. |
| Utah | R: Herbert 55, Corroon 32 |
| Republicans for Re-election | |
| Nebraska | R: Heineman 61, Lakers 23 |
| Texas | R: Perry 49, White 43 |
| Already won in 2009 | |
| Virginia | R: McDonnell 59, Deeds 41 |
| New Jersey | R: Christie 49, Corzine 45 |
If the latest Rasmussen poll results were used as ballots, the Democrats would win only eight statehouses. But its worse than that:
John Kitzhaber.
Sweet. Maybe this will lead to the death of the Democrat Party. Couldn’t happen to a more appropriate bunch of leftist thugs.
Too bad Haslam here in Tennessee appears to be the most RINO of the GOP candidates. He also has the most money.
They're about two months away from blowing up their own rural campaign buildings, secretaries inside.
Just in time for ACORN to roll themselves out under a new name.
A more important battle will be for state legislatures this year since that will determine redistricting and affect the US House of Reps for the next 10 years.
That’s funny—I love it!
Let’s just get some good ones in there.
Alabama is not guaranteed by any means. Gambling has become the biggest issue of the year and if I were to vote on gambling and gambling alone I’d be voting Democrat given my position on it.
Now of course, I am neither a one-issue voter nor a complete dolt and moron so I’ll be voting Republican. But I’m not so sure about the average voter in this state. I could see them electing a good ole boy Dem like Ron Sparks if he hadn’t run a shoddy campaign.
Conventional wisdom says Davis is unelectable. Yes and No. Against a Republican candidate who doesn’t alienate the party’s metropolitan base the answer to that is absolutely yes. He will be unelectable. Now, if it is someone like Roy Moore, who is hated in the cities, or Kay Ivey, who failed at the one actual responsibility her office had, then I could say Davis actually pulling it off.
On our side Kay Ivey is wholly unelectable unless there was a huge showing from rural lower class (normally Dem) women voting for her because of her gender. Moore I view as unelectable in a partisan election but with him you never know because he could alter voter turnout in ways we don’t know.
Let the CONSERVATIVE Republican leadership know that we support Sen Jim DeMint by signing his Repeal ObamaCare Pledge.
Don’t let the RINO’S define us.
159,000 folks have made the pledge!!!!
How about you????
...7 months of non-stop stories ...
Then it’s time for the “We Won’t Buy Your Newspaper, Watch Your TV Station, or Visit Your Website” campaign.
With the potential destruction of the Democratic Party, we could also destroy their voice(s).
A Two-Fer, if you will...
This is no surprise.
Dan Onorato is:
A) A flaming lefty
B) A complete lightweight
C) A blithering idiot
D) All of the above
The correct answer is, of course, D.
LOL.........I remember that......too funny!
And I bring up gambling to make a point. There are many Republicans in the state like me who tend to agree with the general position advocated by the Democrats in the state that gambling should be legal. Having said that, I oppose the efforts by the Democrats in the legislature that aren’t about gambling being legal but about creating a monopoly for one Birmingham businessman.
On the other hand, there are many Democrats out in the country who oppose gambling being legal, in general agreement with most legislative Republicans.
That’s why gambling could really mess up this election.
Why is Domenici listed here? He's polling at 5%. It should be Susana Martinez.
South Carolina R: Barrett 40, Rex 31
Barrett? Meh. I prefer Nikki Haley for Governor.
Arizona R: Martin 43, Goddard 38 (Brewer, who replaced Democratic Governor Napolitano, is losing)
Mr. Joe Arpaio - your nation calls you to step up to the plate!
We have to control the statehouses so we can ensure free and fair elections!
They can call it Obozogeddon: the death of the Democratic Party.
Domenici is not going to be the nominee by a long shot. It will likely be Alan Weh or Susanah Martinez... both of whom are more conservative.
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