[OldDeckHand]

Five pick-ups is pretty good, especially consdidering that the GOP has to defend five or six seats being vacated by retiring Senators in states that went for Obama in the last election.

The "10% chance" of retaking the majority in the House seems low. Michael Barrone had a more optimistic outlook just a week ago.

[oh8eleven]

I think a Dem blood bath is coming, from the local level all the way to DC.

[QualityMan]

I think he is saying there is a 10% chance that GOP takes control of Senate...instead of just a 5 seat pickuo. they upper chamber is the “Sinate”, not the house of horrors

[IL Republican]

Isn’t the Senate the upper body? I think he means there is a 10% chance they win enough seats to be the majority in the senate.

[Red Steel]

The last time I looked, and not too long ago, it was 7 low hanging fruit Dem Senators that were toast.

[DarthVader]

I think most pundits and analysts are going to be conservative in their analysis of Dem losses. If the current political climate continues on its current course the Rat losses will be historic for any party in US history.

[wk4bush2004]

ONLY FIVE?????

We’ve got the Socialists taking over our country and these people can say that the GOP will ONLY get five seats??? Give me a break! I think we’ll get waaaaaaaay more than that.

[TJC]

This would be a disaster and the death care bill will live forever. We need to and should pick up a lot more that this.

[brownsfan]

The Republicans are in as good of a position as they can possibly be, very little of it was their own doing. It’s as if they woke up, and someone had given them a winning lottery ticket.

If anyone can screw it up, Republicans are up to that challenge.

[Old Teufel Hunden]

I think its more like 6 or 7 personally. I’m looking at about 47 or 48 pubbie Senators in the next Congress. One of them being Dingy Harry. It will be interesting to see if the Dingy one is defeated who will become the Dem leader of the Senate. Could it be Dick Durbin?

[KarlInOhio]

This is the toughest Senate class to pick up ten seats in because the Republicans already hold the majority.

Class I, 2012 election, 21 D - 10 R - 2 I (but vote with the Dems)

Class II, 2014 election, 20 D - 13 R

Class III, 2010 election, 16 D - 18 R

[HiTech RedNeck]

The upper body is Senate, lower body House.

[Crichton]

Nate Silver is not a bad statistician, but neither is he particularly good. He does try, however, and many other estimates are driveling nonsense.

[ksm1]

California is in play this year. Anything is possible.

[Ol' Sparky]

Seven or eight is more likely at this point.

[ConservativeDude]

if that Obama worshipping little f*g&ot Nate Silver predicts five, then ten is within reach....

[HiTech RedNeck]

Oh man, both houses possible?

Bummer will get NOTHING done, and Bummercare will be strangled for lack of funding.

[ConjunctionJunction]

Larry Sabato is currently predicting pickups for the GOP:

Senate +7
House +27
Governors +7

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/

[Above My Pay Grade]

Five would be a very conservative estimate. I’d say at least 5 are practically guaranteed. I’d put the over/under at about 7 1/2 or 8 and bet the over. If we get a real wave of voter rebellion, and some strong GOP candidates (though not necessarily strong Senators) like Tommy Thompson and George Pataki stepping up, I could see 11 or 12.

[TomGuy]

5 new seats vs. McCain, Graham, Snowe, Collins, and a few others

Might not be much of a gain.

[DM1]

Real Clear Politics has GOP net gain of 7