Five would be a very conservative estimate. I’d say at least 5 are practically guaranteed. I’d put the over/under at about 7 1/2 or 8 and bet the over. If we get a real wave of voter rebellion, and some strong GOP candidates (though not necessarily strong Senators) like Tommy Thompson and George Pataki stepping up, I could see 11 or 12.
How many do we need to get in the House? Let’s see. There were 34 Dems who voted against HC. It lost by 4. That totals 38. So we need 20 to take over? Is that right?