Posted on 03/24/2010 11:48:18 AM PDT by OldDeckHand
According to models by statistician Nate Silver, Republicans will pick up five Senate seats in the midterm elections under the most likely scenario, for a total of 46 seats. That is a net gain of one seat from the last time Silver ran the model two weeks ago. Silver's projections also show a ten percent chance that the GOP will takeover the majority in the upper body.
If JD beats McCain, you can all it six.
True....JD winning the GOP primary in AZ over McCain will be like picking up a Dem seat.
If you aren’t voting for JD....you definitely will be voting for a liberal.....
We came back from WDW Feb 9th many of the passengers on the plane were discussing their discontent. People are finally starting to pay attention.
Somehow I don’t see us winning every Democrat seat and keeping every Republican seat, no matter how unpopular the Democrat “brand” may be in November. 25 of the 36 races include incumbents, and those races are going to have a lot more to do with the popularity of the incumbent than with national partisan politics.
For instance, here in North Carolina, I don’t like Richard Burr’s chances at re-election no matter how effective a national campaign the Republicans run. He isn’t particularly popular, and having an (R) behind your name isn’t enough by itself (even in years when the national mood favors Republicans),to win over the Jessecrats who hold the balance of power here.
National politics will weigh more heavily in the 11 open seat elections, and I think Republicans will do well there, but we can’t make any general, national assumptions about the incumbent races - they’re too heavily dependent on state politics.
Senate seats 20
House seats 100
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.