Posted on 03/15/2010 1:08:25 PM PDT by big black dog
http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/contractSearch/index.jsp?query=Will+%27Obamacare%27+health+care+reform+become+law+in+the+United+States%3F
Today I've called my Representative (Allyson Schwartz). She's a hopeless lefty, but I have to call from time to time to let her staff know I that I'm paying attention, and that I look forward to supporting her electoral opponent. (Her phone lines didn't appear to be busy).
I've also called Congressmen Stupak (MI), Altmire (PA) and Gordon (TN). All the staffers were very cordial and although the phones were busy, I got through. The woman in Cookeville TN told me they'd been hearing from all over the nation and welcomed my comments even though I told her I was from PA, with only family roots in her district. Congressman Altmire's phones were very busy, but I got through to one of the PA offices after 2 or 3 tries. I made sure I played up my connections with each of the districts in hopes they'd give a passing thought to my call.
Making a call doesn't seem like much, but I always think about my friend who used to work as a director of constituent services for one of our PA senators. She told me that every call was recorded on a tally sheet of pro/con positions on key issues. The numbers were communicated to DC daily or even more often in order to gauge public sentiment. She's always encouraged me to call, call, call, so I do, do, do!
What we don’t know is how many Democrats, if any, that Pelosi had in reserve back when they passed the original House bill. I suspect that several conservative Dems were ‘let out’ of the vote in the interests of preserving their seats. Bet that won’t happen this time around.
They may be short on votes — probably are — but it might be far less than the 10 votes stated in NRO.
If it fails to pass which it will, Obama will be gutted politically.
I agree. And that’s why I think they won’t hesitate to use every dirty trick in the book and some that aren’t to make sure it does pass.
No... he won’t be a lame duck. he’ll be politically hurt, for sure, but 2012 is a long way off. Clinton failed at his healthcare takeover too... and it didn’t make him a lame duck.
I’m kicking myself today because I almost bought a bunch of shares yesterday as an emotional hedge — if Obamacare passes, I make money & don’t feel so bad; if it fails, I just paid to seal its fate.
Instead, I don’t even have bragging rights.
I suppose if anyone “knows” for certain which way this will go, they’ll make money on it. It looks reasonably priced to me right now.
If the house passes the senate bill but reconciliation fails in the senate, the Dems lose the battle and win the war.
How can it NOT pass? The Obama administration has the wealth of the American taxpayers at their disposal to bribe as many congressmen as it takes.
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