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Contributions of Stratospheric Water Vapor to Decadal Changes in the Rate of Global Warming

Stratospheric water vapor concentrations decreased by about 10% after the year 2000. Here, we show that this acted to slow the rate of increase in global surface temperature over 2000 to 2009 by about 25% compared to that which would have occurred due only to carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. More limited data suggest that stratospheric water vapor probably increased between 1980 and 2000, which would have enhanced the decadal rate of surface warming during the 1990s by about 30% compared to estimates neglecting this change. These findings show that stratospheric water vapor represents an important driver of decadal global surface climate change.

The cat's out of the bag, so now these mutts are hedging their bets?

1 posted on 01/28/2010 9:46:21 PM PST by neverdem
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To: neverdem

This is obvioulsy not an apology for getting it wrong. This is a “We found something unexpected but Globul warming is still real” article.

It is only unexpected however if their models are not correct and/or don’t/can’t allow for miriade of possibilities and remedies that the planet and it’s atmosphere has!

Mel


2 posted on 01/28/2010 9:53:34 PM PST by melsec
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To: neverdem

How about that.

The element that most likely regulates the world’s temperature (allowing increases) may also allow decreases.

Who’da thunk it?

(All those who criticized climate models that do not allow for atmospheric moisture, since it is the least understood of climatic controllers, though recent evidence indicates that it also may be a very powerful temperature control.)


3 posted on 01/28/2010 9:55:46 PM PST by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (Prepare for survival.)
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To: neverdem
I guess the EPA is now going to have to regulate the amount of Water Vapor in the atmosphere.

Maybe they should just talk to Karl Rove. I heard he has a weather machine.

4 posted on 01/28/2010 9:59:06 PM PST by UCANSEE2
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bttt


5 posted on 01/28/2010 10:00:36 PM PST by Matchett-PI (Obama's mentor Saul Alinsky was the man who transformed politics in America into all-out war mode)
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To: neverdem

EPA will now declare water to be a pollutant. Thus if you pee, you will be taxed!!!! Along with exhaling of course.
To reduce your tax burden H&R Block will give bladder control courses. Pee less, pay less.


6 posted on 01/28/2010 10:03:57 PM PST by Fee (Peace, prosperity, jobs and common sense)
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To: neverdem

I believe nothing these prostitutes peddle. Liars and self-serving con-artists all!


7 posted on 01/28/2010 10:06:39 PM PST by J Edgar
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To: neverdem

They want to “create” a new way and don’t give a damn how they get there. Politicians are taking over the Teslas, Westinghouse’s, and Edisons of our age. The scientists should be quite alarmed.


8 posted on 01/28/2010 10:15:48 PM PST by eyedigress ( now.)
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To: neverdem

Basically, the people creating these models don’t have a clue what’s really going on.

The climate on earth is very complex. We don’t know all the factors that contribute, and we don’t know to what extent each contributes. So, none of the models could possibly be right.

Yet, these PhD’s want to spend billions of our dollars to try to control something that they don’t understand.

And this article repeats the nonsense that the past decade was the warmest in history. They completely ignore the medieval warming period, because it doesn’t fit with their world view that change is bad, and that man is causing the bad change.


9 posted on 01/28/2010 10:18:15 PM PST by Rocky (Obama's ego: The "I's" have it.)
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To: neverdem

“report a mysterious 10% drop in water vapour in the stratosphere since 2000 could have offset the expected warming”

Mysterious? This is science? “Mysterious” must mean that it was not specified by Al Gore, therefore how could we possibly have known?


10 posted on 01/28/2010 10:20:10 PM PST by baa39
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To: neverdem

This wouldn’t surprise me. The earth probably has wonderful buffering mechanisms to prevent wild swings in global temperatures. I mean, if that was not the case, we wouldn’t be here.

That is a huge fallacy of the warming “faithers” who believe in AGW without any scientific basis behind it. If CO2 really accerated planetary warming, and if warming releases CO2, the earth’s temperature would spiral ever upward with no intermediate cooling trend.

I’ve no clue the mechanisms, but that the earth has buffer mechanisms to prevent huge temperature swings in either direction, would not surprise me in the least.


12 posted on 01/28/2010 10:22:51 PM PST by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (Depression Countdown: 48... 47... 46...)
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To: neverdem

Perhaps that flaming ball of thermonuclear fire in the sky, also known as the sun, might have a bit to do with the temperature here on earth.


14 posted on 01/28/2010 10:32:05 PM PST by cpdiii (roughneck, oilfield trash and proud of it, geologist, pilot, pharmacist, iconoclast.)
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To: neverdem
All they have to do is keep saying stuff. They win.

15 posted on 01/28/2010 10:32:38 PM PST by I see my hands (_8(|)
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To: neverdem

Unexpected and unprecedented.


16 posted on 01/28/2010 10:47:08 PM PST by Paladin2
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To: neverdem

These warmists are like a cur dog shaking a rat. They just can’t let go of their dead ideas.


17 posted on 01/28/2010 10:49:42 PM PST by Mike Darancette (Obama's only 2012 hope; lose one or both houses of Congress in 2010.)
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To: neverdem

Let’s see, isn’t the “mysterious” aspect of this phenomenon quite enough to indicate that all the AGW models to date are b.s.???

b/c since *they* did not already predict and account for this effect (assuming it is being accurately described now, more or less), all of the AGW discussions and modeling to date have have been based upon a totally inadequate grasp of basic phenomena in the earth’s atmosphere..... and how does anyone think they NOW have a grasp on all of the myriad feedbacks, cycles, and complexities?


18 posted on 01/28/2010 10:52:52 PM PST by Enchante (Obamanation: Pour sunlight into all of YOUR illegal campaign donations! Release all records!)
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To: neverdem; All

Damn

Even in this article the author insists on using Junk Science....he continues to support the reality of warming when it doesn’t exist.

Someone is paying these folks off.....my wager.

And I bet they aren’t nice either.

;-)


20 posted on 01/28/2010 11:10:30 PM PST by Halgr (Once a Marine, always a Marine - Semper Fi)
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To: neverdem

Another good one from neverdem.


21 posted on 01/28/2010 11:33:40 PM PST by Bhoy
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To: wardaddy; Joe Brower; Cannoneer No. 4; Criminal Number 18F; Dan from Michigan; Eaker; Jeff Head; ...
Ignoring ‘Climategate’

Howard Zinn (1922–2010)

Law would approve showing gun

The Sun Also Flares - If we get hit with a once-in-a-century solar storm, we’re history. Check comment# 57's link.

Some noteworthy articles about politics, foreign or military affairs, IMHO, FReepmail me if you want on or off my list.

22 posted on 01/29/2010 12:02:24 AM PST by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
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To: steelyourfaith; Tolerance Sucks Rocks; SunkenCiv
A puzzling drop in the amount of water vapour high in the Earth's atmosphere is now on the list of possible culprits causing average global temperatures to flatten out over the past decade, despite ever-increasing greenhouse-gas emissions.

Odd that they should label a process that achieves their (fraudulently stated) goal of reducing rising temps, to "save the world as we know it" a culprit! LOL!

The monkey wrench in the money machine; the fly in the tube job lube; the sticking point on the way to the tipping point....

27 posted on 01/29/2010 1:35:42 AM PST by ApplegateRanch (I think not, therefore I don't exist!)
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To: neverdem

gasp!you don’t think God made the earth with the capacity to heal itself..


30 posted on 01/29/2010 1:49:40 AM PST by Ancient Drive (DRINK COFFEE! - Do Stupid Things Faster with More Energy!)
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