[Star Traveler]

I heard from some other people (who have been listening to the weather news) that this is supposed to be a worse ice storm than the one that Oklahoma had two years ago (which was billed as the worst in Oklahoma history, at that time)... I guess we'll see...

[Star Traveler]

They are talking about ice accumulations of anywhere from 1/4 of an inch to one inch at the maximum. And then, the last I saw, it was anywhere from 4 to 8 inches of snow.

That’s what is supposed to be coming “down the pike” about two days or so from now.

And the “word is out on the street” — that’s it’s supposed to be worse than the worse ice storm in Oklahoma history, from two years ago... (but that is ‘on the street” type of talk, so I don’t know...).

We’ll see how the weathermen shape this one up in the coming two days...

[Cold Heart]

Just saw the special on TV about the Montreal, Canada ice storm. Take preparations. Good luck all.

[aragorn]

I was listening to KOTV (Tulsa) weather report last night. One comment made was that one of the models called for accumulations (of snow) up to three feet! Of course, the meteorologist said he didn't put a lot of stock in that prediction...

I can do without the ice though. The storm we had two years ago took out a huge, old oak tree in the back yard. It just missed the house and the power lines when it fell, and how it did so I'll never know.

[NormsRevenge]

Not good news, ouch.

radar looks tame now but folks best get ready for a chilly one.

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=TLX

—

Winter Storm Watch

Oklahoma

http://www.wunderground.com/US/OK/025.html

Statement as of 1:32 PM CST on January 26, 2010

... Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Thursday morning
through late Thursday night...

* a strong winter storm will take aim on the Southern Plains
Thursday into Friday. Cold air currently in place over western
Canada will move over the region late Wednesday behind a strong
cold front. A strong storm system will then approach from the
west early Thursday causing a variety of winter weather.

* Timing: the most likely time for hazardous winter weather will
be from early Thursday morning through early Friday morning.

* Main impacts: freezing rain will begin to accumulate on power
lines and elevated surfaces during the day Thursday. The most
likely area for significant ice accumulation is south or
Stillwater... El Reno... Hobart... Altus... and Quanah. In
particular... areas south of Seminole... Pauls
Valley... Walters... and Seymour may see 1/4 to 3/4 inch of ice
accumulation. Sleet and snow will also occur. Farther north... greater
sleet and snow accumulation will occur from west central to
north central Oklahoma where 6 to 12 inches of snow is expected.

* Other impacts: gusty north and northeast winds of 25 to 30 mph
will add additional stress to power lines that may have ice
accumulations. Blowing and drifting of snow will also be
possible.

* Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow... sleet... or ice accumulations that may impact travel and
Commerce. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

[MizSterious]

The latest I’m hearing makes me think it could be. Of course, it could all change and it could bypass us altogether. Oklahoma weather is quirky that way.

Meanwhile, we’re getting the generator ready, and laying in extra supplies. We’re out in the boonies, and usually the last ones to get the roads and power fixed. (They rightly concentrate on more populated areas.)

[Ruy Dias de Bivar]

*** this is supposed to be a worse ice storm than the one that Oklahoma had two years ago (which was billed as the worst in Oklahoma history, at that time)... I guess we’ll see..***.

I remember that storm! It was brutal for Oklahoma. It petered out just barely into Arkansas. Last January’s ice storm which hit both Oklahoma and Arkansas was worse!

Gearing up for another one now!

[Star Traveler]

Joe Lundberg's Weather Blog

Tuesday, January 26, 2010 11:40 AM

The Wayward Track of the Next Storm

The next storm... that's all anyone wants to talk about today! I'll bet if I were to get together with my cycling group today, or with the church choir, I would be bombarded with questions on it! And why? For several reasons, actually! One, there will be a storm! Two, it will dump snow on its north side! 3) Most people are interested in snow, whether they love it or hate it! 4) Many public forecasts are now talking about it, and some are even hyping it!

The Factors

There are several of them, actually. One is clearly the storm that will bring some rain into central and Southern California this afternoon and tonight. Another is the disturbance ahead of it that is bringing some rain and mountain snows through Oregon and southern Washington into Idaho now. A third will be the upper-level ridge migrating to the northwest Caribbean over the next 48 hours. A fourth is the strong upper-level low over northern Hudson Bay that will be rolling southward in the next 48 hours, then rolling east or east-southeastward thereafter.

You could throw in a couple of other things, such as the arctic air that will come in behind the disturbance now coming through the Northwest, and perhaps the large high that will build into the northern Plains and Midwest by Friday will play some minor role in what happens late in the week and the start of the weekend as well.

In watching the models twist and turn in the wind over the past couple of days, I still think there's plenty of wiggle room for how this will play out. I stated in yesterday's post that my concern would be for the model 'correction', if you will, would be more to the left. One of the reasons for that statement was the presence of that upper-level ridge in the northwest Caribbean, more or less forcing the storm forming in Texas Thursday to go around it to some degree.

I still believe that is a very viable option, but I also think another trend may be developing that may put the brakes on that idea. This trend is for a slower storm coming out of the Southwest and through the southern Plains. In short, a slower storm, in my opinion, would be more likely to take a southern track.

Why? The massive upper-level vortex rolling into Ontario Thursday then across Quebec into northern New England Friday. That pushes the confluence zone between the two branches of the stream down into Virginia. The air mass north of the confluence zone will be very cold and extremely dry on Friday. Most storms will tend to develop and track in such a way that they maintain a connection to their life blood, which is often the warm, moist air over the Gulf of Mexico.

On the other hand, the storms will also move along boundaries, and where will the true front be that separates the arctic air and the much milder air to the south of it? My hunch is that by Friday, that boundary will stretch from central Texas to southern Virginia or even into northern North Carolina. The farther north that boundary ends up, the farther north the storm almost has to go. The farther south, then vice versa.

At this stage, with still a fair degree of uncertainty, I am confident of a few things:

1) There WILL be a storm!

2) California won't be affected nearly as adversely with rain, flooding and mountain snow as with the storm the second half of last week.

3) The snow in the central and southern Rockies, will, on average, not be as prolific as last week.

4) Heavy snow is a lock north of the track of the storm. We're talking 1-2 feet in a fairly narrow band, but crippling nonetheless.

5) Severe thunderstorms are almost as certain. Just a classic winter storm with warm, moist air lying in wait to its south. The early season severe weather events are almost always from the western Gulf Coast eastward across the Deep South, and this should mirror those kinds of events.

6) Heavy rain and flooding are pretty likely, too. Much of the area from central Texas to the lower Mississippi Valley is at the greatest risk of flooding, with a lower concern farther east into the Southeast.

7) North side of the storm will not just be snowy, but a very cold snow at that. The arctic air will drill right to the storm center as it approaches, so I would think that in the heart and especially just north of the heavy snow band, it is going to be a good 20 degrees below normal.

Given what I'm seeing with the new 12z runs, the trend of the European and other models, and ensemble temperature forecasts, I'd have to lean now toward this being a big snowstorm for more southern locations than north. That would include places like Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Nashville, Asheville and Roanoke.

All that being said, I would not at all dismiss this option of the storm coming farther north at the last minute, and none of the models seeing it until it was too late. I'd lean more in that direction if I saw that surface high over New England Friday night, rather than over Minnesota. There's a fairly small window that will be open for this thing to be moving along at just the right speed to try and phase with any northern branch feature rolling along the backside of the upper-level vortex. And as they say, timing is everything.

[Star Traveler]

New California Storm Likely to Make East Icy by Week’s End

January 26, 2010, 09:53 AM EST
By Charlotte Porter

Jan. 26 (Bloomberg) -- A double-barreled storm heading to California today will spread snow and ice across the southern Plains, dumping as much as a foot of snow on parts of New Mexico, Texas and Oklahoma, before blasting the mid-Atlantic region by week’s end.

[ ... ]

By the time it reaches the Plains, as soon as tomorrow night, the storm will be “a significant snow and ice event,” and “substantial snow” Jan. 29 and 30 may snarl travel from Washington to Atlantic City, New Jersey, meteorologist Kristina Pydynowski said on the forecaster’s Web site.

[ ... ]

The storm will push into Arizona with rain, which will change to ice and then snow over eastern New Mexico and the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles on Jan. 28 and 29, Pydynowski said. Arctic air dropping down from Canada is forecast to spread snow from the Ohio and Tennessee valleys to Virginia, Delaware, Maryland, Washington, Pennsylvania and New Jersey, she said.

[ ... ]

[Star Traveler]

North Texas in for full gamut of weather

Times Record News
Posted January 26, 2010 at 4:39 p.m.

A graphical forecast released by the National Weather Service late Tuesday shows the northwestern portion of Wichita County could get 1/4 - inch coating of ice followed by 2 to 6 inches of snow.

The southwestern portion of the county was forecast to receive 1/4 to 3/4 - inch of ice followed by an inch of sleet and snow.

Portions of Jackson County, Okla., home of Altus, could get 12 inches of snow. The weather service will continue revising the forecast.

The Christmas Eve 2009 forecast was revised to include a blizzard warning just hours before the historic storm struck.

The coming weather event is forecast to begin with rain Wednesday night with possible thunderstorms after midnight.

The precipitation is expected to change to freezing, rain, sleet and snow through the day on Thursday. Winds could gust to 32 mph as the temperature Thursday night drops to 23 degrees.

[Star Traveler]

Crews Prepare For Major Winter Storm

KTUL - Tulsa Channel 8
Posted 01/26/10 3:42 pm
Producer: Kevin King

Department of Transportation crews are gearing up for the second major winter storm of the year.

Storage sheds that were plucked of thousands of tons of salt and sand during the Christmas blizzard have been re-stocked to capacity -- 130-thousand tons of sand and salt and 121 tons of magnesium chloride, an additional ice fighter.

There are five hundred trucks statewide that will be made available during the upcoming storm, which is expected to dump as much as eight to ten inches of snow in eastern Oklahoma.

The storm is expected to begin with cold rain late Wednesday and gradually transition to freezing rain, sleet and snow during the day Thursday.

The heaviest of the rain and freezing rain -- as much as a half an inch of ice accumulation -- could occur, especially along a path from Shawnee to Tahlequah to Fayetteville, Arkansas.

South of a Eufaula to Fort Smith line, mainly rain and isolated thunderstorms will be expected while north of a Chandler to Bixby to Jay line will see more in the way of rain, freezing rain and snow.

Temperatures behind the cold front will dip into the single digits early Saturday morning. Another chance of rain and snow will enter the picture early next week.

Stay tuned to NewsChannel 8 for the latest weather information.

[Star Traveler]

State Officials: Be Prepared To 'Hunker Down' If Winter Storm Hits

Posted: Jan 25, 2010 3:08 PM
Updated: Jan 26, 2010 9:35 PM

NewsOn6.com

TULSA, OK --  A major winter storm is heading to Oklahoma and will most likely hit the state Thursday and into Friday with significant amounts of ice, sleet and snow.  

"Total accumulations are still subject to change, but could be on the order of 12+ inches wherever that heaviest snow band sets up," said Dick Faurot, News On 6 Meteorologist.

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Thursday morning through Friday morning for almost the entire state. 

Oklahoma Governor Brad Henry, along with State Emergency Management Director Albert Ashwood, spoke at a news conference at the state capitol Tuesday afternoon. 

Governor Henry says residents need to be prepared if forecasters are right about this winter storm. 

Albert Ashwood says the state is getting prepared if the storm hits. He says they are pre-positioning resources across the state so they will be able to address emergencies when they happen.

ODOT crews are prepping salt and sand trucks and making any necessary tune-ups to vehicles, which they report will be loaded by Wednesday. There are 500 trucks available statewide during weather event operations. 

Following the Christmas blizzard in 2009, ODOT restocked storage sheds statewide, which are at capacity with 130,000 tons of sand and salt and 121 tons of magnesium chloride, an additional ice fighter.

The News On 6 WARN team is keeping an eye on the latest data as the storm moves off the Pacific into southern California. 

As the storm moves east and cold air from Canada moves south, there is a strong likelihood of freezing rain and ice that may lead to some power issues across portions of the state on Thursday morning. 

At this time, the exact track of the freezing rain and accumulating ice forecast is still not certain, but the potential for accumulation from a quarter to possibly a half an inch is moderate. 

Freezing rain will eventually transition into sleet Thursday afternoon and then to snow Thursday afternoon and evening before ending Friday morning.

"The best piece of advice I can give right now is to prepare for the worst and hope for the best.  This promises to be a very wet system with total precipitation amounts on the order of 2-4 inches by the time it is all said and done, the only question is how much is liquid, ice and snow," Dick Faurot said.

Early indications are areas of northern Oklahoma could see 12+ inches of snow. Snowfall near Tulsa could be from 8 inches to more than a foot.   

Areas south and east of Tulsa will have lesser amounts of snow.

The watch applies to the following counties:

In Oklahoma:

CHEROKEE, ADAIR, CREEK, OKFUSKEE, OKMULGEE, WAGONER, TULSA, ROGERS, MAYES, DELAWARE, SEQUOYAH, WASHINGTON, OSAGE, CRAIG, NOWATA, PAWNEE, OTTAWA, MCINTOSH AND MUSKOGEE

In Arkansas:

WASHINGTON, MADISON, BENTON AND CARROLL

[Mr. Blonde]

I really don’t care about the snow, but the ice sucks. Hard to do a marathon of The Wire with no power.

[TomGuy]

34-degrees this morning.

[Map updates every 15 minutes]

[Star Traveler]

Changed from Winter Storm Watch to Winter Storm Warning...

---

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
337 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ054>071-272100-
/O.UPG.KTSA.WS.A.0001.100128T1200Z-100129T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KTSA.WS.W.0001.100128T1200Z-100129T1800Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-
CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-
OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
337 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO NOON CST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO NOON CST FRIDAY...

FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
 * IN OKLAHOMA...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...
   WAGONER...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...PAWNEE...OTTAWA...
   WASHINGTON...OSAGE...CRAIG...NOWATA...MCINTOSH AND MUSKOGEE.

   IN ARKANSAS...WASHINGTON...MADISON...BENTON AND CARROLL.

 * THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
 * A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS
   NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AFTER SUNRISE
   THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF
   INTERSTATE 44 WITH SLEET MORE COMMON FURTHER NORTH TOWARD THE
   KANSAS BORDER. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME HEAVY LATE
   THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE SLEET
   TURNING TO HEAVY SNOW ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
   ALL LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO SNOW AFTER SUNRISE
   FRIDAY WITH THE RISK OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ENDING BY
   FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

 * DANGEROUS ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH ARE LIKELY
   ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM OKEMAH TO FAYETTEVILLE...WITH ICE AMOUNTS
   TAPERING OFF FURTHER NORTH. NORTH OF THE FREEZING RAIN
   CORRIDOR...SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
   WHICH WOULD IMPACT MUCH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. THE
   HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL BE FURTHER NORTH TOWARD THE KANSAS
   BORDER...WHERE 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
   AMOUNTS. FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE ALL
   PRECIPITATION TYPES GIVEN THE GREATER TERRAIN INFLUENCES.

IMPACTS...
 * TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. POWER OUTAGES
   ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE CORRIDOR OF HEAVIEST ICING. FURTHER
   NORTH...POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS
   IMPACT ICE COVERED POWER LINES. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR POWER
   OUTAGES OF ONE TO FIVE DAYS...WITH MORE RURAL AREAS POSSIBLY
   WITHOUT POWER FOR OVER A WEEK.

DEFINITION...
 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
   EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 * BE PREPARED FOR POWER OUTAGES WHICH MAY LAST SEVERAL DAYS. DO
   NOT TOUCH DOWNED LINES AND REPORT ANY POWER OUTAGES TO YOUR
   ELECTRIC COMPANY.

 * DELAY TRAVEL AND STAY HOME IF POSSIBLE UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

 * STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR
   TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS WEATHER
   EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT:
   WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.

&&

$$

---

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
350 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

OKZ004>031-033>038-TXZ083>085-272200-
/O.UPG.KOUN.WS.A.0001.100128T1200Z-100129T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KOUN.WS.W.0001.100128T1200Z-100129T1200Z/
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ALVA...CHEROKEE...MEDFORD...
PONCA CITY...ARNETT...WOODWARD...FAIRVIEW...ENID...PERRY...
CHEYENNE...TALOGA...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON...WATONGA...
KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...ELK CITY...SAYRE...CORDELL...
ANADARKO...YUKON...EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER...
CHICKASHA...PURCELL...NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE...
HOLLIS...MANGUM...HOBART...ALTUS...FREDERICK...LAWTON...QUANAH...
CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON
350 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR ICE... SLEET... AND SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6
AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY.

* TIMING: THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER WILL
  BE FROM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* MAIN IMPACTS: FREEZING RAIN WILL BEGIN TO ACCUMULATE ON POWER
  LINES AND ELEVATED SURFACES DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. THE MOST
  LIKELY AREA FOR SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION IS SOUTH OF
  STILLWATER... EL RENO...HOBART...ALTUS...AND QUANAH WHERE 1/4 TO
  1/2 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS LIKELY. SLEET AND SNOW WILL ALSO
  OCCUR. FARTHER NORTH... GREATER SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATION ARE
  LIKELY FROM WEST CENTRAL TO NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WHERE 6 TO
  12 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED.

* OTHER IMPACTS: GUSTY NORTH AND NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH
  WILL ADD ADDITIONAL STRESS TO POWER LINES THAT MAY HAVE ICE
  ACCUMULATIONS. BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WILL ALSO BE
  POSSIBLE.

* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

[Star Traveler]

Hazardous Weather Outlook

for several areas listed below...

---

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
516 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
516 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010


...SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER EVENT POISED TO IMPACT EASTERN
   OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
   AND THURSDAY...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WINTER WEATHER.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

ICE ACCUMULATION.
RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
        ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.


FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED...SPREADINDEX=30.
        AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
        ONSET...LATE MORNING.


DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARDS THE BAJA OF
CALIFORNIA WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AS THE SURFACE FEATURES SHARPEN IN
RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM. FINE DRY FUELS WILL
EASILY COMBUST...AND ANY FIRES THAT DO IGNITE WILL HAVE THE
ABILITY TO SPREAD QUICKLY AS SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE THIS
MORNING.

LATER TONIGHT... THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL FALL QUICKLY BEHIND THE FRONT. MOST OF
THE PRECIPITATION WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE
THURSDAY...THEREFORE ONLY LIMITED ICE AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
NORTHWEST OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS WIND CHILL POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...DANGEROUS WIND CHILL POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...DANGEROUS WIND CHILL POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE BRUNT OF THIS WINTER STORMS IMPACTS WILL BE FELT THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. SHALLOW COLD AIR WILL MAKE ITS WAY SOUTH ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA ON THURSDAY. THE COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN OVER NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND AFTER INTIALLY STARTING AS FREEZING RAIN BEHIND THE
FRONT...A CHANGE OVER TO SLEET AND THEN SNOW WILL OCCUR. FURTHER
SOUTH...MAINLY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...FREEZING RAIN WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION
TYPE THURSDAY. THERE IS A STRONG POTENTIAL FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD
OF FREEZING RAIN IN THOSE AREAS...AND WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. AT THAT TIME...SNOW AND
SLEET ARE EXPECTED AS THE FREEZING RAIN BAND SHIFTS FURTHER SOUTH
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOW FALL AMOUNTS APPROACHING 12 INCHES
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN LOCATIONS NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.  HIGHEST ICE ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL RANGE FROM ONE HALF
TO ONE INCH. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WINTER STORM WARNING //OKCWSWTSA//
FOR DETAILS. SNOW AND SLEET WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF ON FRIDAY AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST. LEFT IN ITS WAKE WILL BE BITTERLY COLD
TEMPERATURES AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS...WHICH WILL AFFECT THE
ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
ANTICIPATE RESPONSES RELATED TO SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATIONS. FURTHERMORE...UNDERSTAND THE IMPACTS MAY EXTEND WELL
INTO THE WEEKEND IF POWER GRIDS ARE HEAVILY DAMAGED.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

---

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
545 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-281145-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-
545 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE FOUR STATE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY INTO THURSDAY. IN
THE MEANTIME...COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE
REGION. AS A RESULT...LOCATIONS NORTH OF A PITTSBURG TEXAS TO
ATLANTA TEXAS TO EL DORADO ARKANSAS LINE COULD SEE A WINTRY MIX
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE EXISTS A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW QUICKLY THE COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE
INTO THE FOUR STATE REGION. THEREFORE...RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

---

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-281100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST OF ARKANSAS TODAY. A NORTHWEST
WIND FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING A COLD FRONT INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE
PLAINS TONIGHT. WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW THE
FRONT. MEANWHILE...A STORM SYSTEM TO THE SOUTHWEST WILL
APPROACH...AND WILL BE SURROUNDED BY ABUNDANT MOISTURE. AS THIS
MOISTURE ENCOUNTERS COLDER AIR IN ARKANSAS...WINTRY PRECIPITATION
WILL RESULT. RAIN WILL BEGIN IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
BUT WILL CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTH.
LITTLE ICE ACCUMULATION WILL BE NOTED TONIGHT. LIGHT RAIN IS
EXPECTED CENTRAL AND SOUTH OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE STATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. RAIN WILL BECOME FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET AS TEMPERATURES DROP. EVENTUALLY...THERE WILL BE A
CHANGEOVER TO SNOW...ESPECIALLY IN THE OZARK AND OUACHITA
MOUNTAINS...AND PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST.

THROUGH DAWN FRIDAY...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE
EXPECTED IN MOST AREAS NORTH OF LITTLE ROCK...AND A WINTER STORM
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

ON FRIDAY...A LIGHT WINTRY MIX WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
STATE BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS AND THE STORM SYSTEM EXITS TO THE
EAST.

MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE FORECAST FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION. LOW
TEMPERATURES SATURDAY MORNING WILL ONLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
TEENS IN MOST AREAS.

THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEPART ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WITH WINDS
BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY AND A SLOW WARMUP OCCURRING. CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE ONCE AGAIN...WITH SMALL CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS ANTICIPATED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

51

---

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
500 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-271800-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
500 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN WESTERN NORTH TEXAS LATE
TONIGHT. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO RETURN NORTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
AS SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO STRENGTHENING LOW
PRESSURE IN  SOUTHEAST COLORADO. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS LATE TONIGHT AS AN UPPER
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
HOWEVER...INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED AND NO SEVERE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED.


PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST WEDNESDAY JAN 27.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...20 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...5 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES FROM THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
THE THURSDAY STORM IS EXPECTED TO CREATE HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER.
UP TO A FOOT OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN WEST CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA BETWEEN SUNRISE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATING TO 6 INCHES WITH 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED
FROM SOUTHWEST TO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. LESS SNOW BUT MORE ICE IS LIKELY
IN SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. IN SHORT...ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS AND MUCH OF OKLAHOMA SOUTH OF I-44 IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE
SIGNIFICANT GLAZING ON EXPOSED SURFACES. GUSTY NORTH WIND WILL CAUSE
BLOWING SNOW IN WEST CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON
TODAY.

$$

[Star Traveler]

See also, another thread...

Less Than 24 Hours Until Winter Storm Arrives In NE Oklahoma

[Star Traveler]

Here are some posts from the Christmas Blizzard of 2009, in Oklahoma, just about one month ago...

• Transportation stalled; governor declares state of emergency [Oklahoma]

• Winter storm forces interstates, turnpikes closed in Oklahoma [Every highway closed]

• All interstates closed in Oklahoma City; H.E. Bailey and Turner turnpikes also closed

• White-out Christmas [Oklahoma Blizzard closes all highways]

[Star Traveler]

Some FReeper articles on the current Oklahoma Ice Storm, which is what is moving over to the East, through Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, southern Virginia and North Carolina...

Ice Storm Likely Across Oklahoma

Less Than 24 Hours Until Winter Storm Arrives In NE Oklahoma

Henry declares state of emergency in anticipation of storm [Oklahoma Governor]

Winter Storm Update [Tulsa, Oklahoma]

Tulsa activates Emergency Operations Center as winter storm intensifies [Oklahoma]

Many power lines remain down as Oklahoma deals with winter threats [OK Ice Storm]

Governor declares state of emergency in Arkansas as winter storm moves into the state