Posted on 01/14/2010 9:33:21 PM PST by bitt
.."Riding a wave of opposition to Democratic health-care reform, GOP upstart Scott Brown is leading in the U.S. Senate race, raising the odds of a historic upset that would reverberate all the way to the White House, a new poll shows.
Although Brown’s 4-point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley is within the Suffolk University/7News survey’s margin of error, the underdog’s position at the top of the results stunned even pollster David Paleologos.
“It’s a Brown-out,” said Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center. “It’s a massive change in the political landscape.”
The poll shows Brown, a state senator from Wrentham, besting Coakley, the state’s attorney general, by 50 percent to 46 percent, the first major survey to show Brown in the lead. Unenrolled long-shot Joseph L. Kennedy, an information technology executive with no relation to the famous family, gets 3 percent of the vote. Only 1 percent of voters were undecided.
Paleologos said bellweather models show high numbers of independent voters turning out on election day, which benefits Brown, who has 65 percent of that bloc compared to Coakley’s 30 percent. Kennedy earns just 3 percent of the independent vote, and 1 percent are undecided.
Given the 4.4-point margin of error, the poll shows Coakley could win the race, Paleologos said. But if Brown’s momentum holds, he is poised to succeed the late Sen. Edward M. Kennedy - and to halt health-care reform, the issue the late senator dubbed “the cause of my life.”...
(Excerpt) Read more at bostonherald.com ...
I’m in no position to laugh—I spelled repeat “repeate”. :P
Another thing to keep in mind the SEIU has arrived in Boston. Ballot boxes will be stuffed in favor of Coakly.
++++++++++++++++++++
If it’s close, and it looks like they stole it, this will be a legal circus of the utmost proportions...it may rival FL in 2000. Hanging chads anyone?
Darkwolf - I concer, I live in Norwood - Brown signs everywhere - no Coakley signs at all - NONE. Today I travelled down to Scituate and didn’t see one Coakley sign in the 10 or so miles off the RT3 to my destination - tons of Brown signs. Same with overpasses - Brown signs no Coakley, same with bumper sticker - seriously if we don’t win it was stolen.
http://www.bostonherald.com/news/columnists/view.bg?articleid=1225744
Scott Brown present in absentee voters’ minds
By Howie Carr
Friday, January 15, 2010 - Updated 32m ago
Boston Herald Columnist
Oh yes, the “stalkers” are out there. Just ask Martha Coakley, the wrinkly attorney general who is not “privy” to the facts of the assault on the reporter on Capitol Hill, or so she says.
Yes, the stalkers are out there, and what they are stalking is the state’s city and town halls, taking absentee ballots. Let’s go straight to the numbers, as of closing time Wednesday afternoon.
We can begin with my own hometown, Wellesley. In one business day, Wednesday, the number of absentee ballots cast went from 741 to 869. Next door, in Weston, the number went from 341 to 437.
Are these Scott Brown voters, or are these moonbats who are voting for Martha Coakley because they’re wondering where the heck did she get that accent, coming from “struggling” North Adams and all?
I’m not saying Scott Brown is going to win Tuesday. All I want to do here is pass on some of the numbers of absentee ballots in various towns over the past 48 hours:
Newton, 1158 as of 5 p.m. Tuesday, to 1490 Wednesday
Plymouth, 787 to 921
Scituate, 407 to 509
Weston, 341 to 437
Weymouth, 537 to 661
It becomes increasingly clear, Scott Brown is winning among the people who work for a living, as opposed to Democrats, who are Martha’s voters.
You want some more absentee numbers, and how they increased from Tuesday until Wednesday?
......
“I’m in no position to laugh—I spelled repeat “repeate”. :P”
Big deal...Dan Quayle spelled potato with an extra e and no one noticed! :0
Your firsthand observations are interesting. Just from what little I’ve seen from a distance, she doesn’t seem like a real likable person. Cool and kind of high-strung, not the kind of person that you instinctively want to trust.
I’ve also noticed that liberal females can be pretty catty toward OTHER liberal females, almost like an “Alpha female” thing. Bottom line is the Independent vote, which is heavily in Browns favor. Living in Illinois, I know all about being stuck in a Blue State, but there are a lot of disenchanted Democrats out there too. Unemployment, financial worries, and the future of children and grandchildren don’t follow party lines.
Good luck Scott Brown!
I have alot of family in RI and an Aunt and Uncle who live in Needham (just outide of Boston) and they say the same thing you do about the campaign. But still they say they will be stunned if MA puts a Republican in the Senate.
My fear is the SEIU arriving in Boston. I fear their fraud will turn a close race in Coaklys favor.
Is this the first poll by this company for this race? If not, what were the results last time?
“I bet Obama shows up.”
Coakley and Coke-ly?
“Anyone know if Doug Hoffman ever polled in the lead in NY23?”
Yes PPP had Hoffman in the lead a couple days before the election.
Yes, Hoffman polled ahead in the PPP poll done the weekend before the election.
“My fear is the SEIU arriving in Boston. I fear their fraud will turn a close race in Coaklys favor.”
++++++++++++++++
And so, we must ‘hit them back HARD.’
I saw only TWO Coakley signs...both in Northampton, right down the street from Smith College.
I see more Kerry/Edwards bumper stickers than Obama or Coakley. Only in Massachusettes. (sic) /s
Obama’s announcement about taxing the big bad banks will not help her. AND the cushy deal for the UNION’S health care not to be taxed as cadillac plans till 2018 will put the icing on the cake, IMO.
A Brown win could tell everyone in this country, you CAN stop this dem machine. It will have people whipped up to toss the dems out in November, and more importantly, may even get the knuckleheads in DC to realize conservatism is where most real Americans are. They seem to have forgotten that Obama was untouchable just a year ago--what will it take to convince them of the need for a genuinely conservative party?
Beat meby 32 seconds.
” PPP poll “
dem poll...maybe they were trying to be disrupters.
Suffolk University/7News should have a better track record...wish we could see a Rasmussen poll!
We have to beat the people that was polled, the dead, the ballots in the trunk of someone’s car, ACORN, SEIU.....
Great news! I’m actually quite surprised that Kennedy isn’t geting a lot more than 3% in the polls given the brain-dead name association.
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