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Fear of the dragon (China’s export prospects)
The Economist ^ | January 7, 2010 | unattributed

Posted on 01/10/2010 7:22:50 AM PST by 1rudeboy

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To: ex-snook; hedgetrimmer; Clintonfatigued; Willie Green

“Amen. What is called ‘free trade’ is government to government lobbyist agreements.

Trade is we buy product from you and you buy product from us. It is not we buy product from you and trade you jobs, factories and Treasuries in return. That’s the loony deals that have caused economic misery.”

Bears repeating!!


21 posted on 01/10/2010 9:44:49 AM PST by AuntB (If Al Qaeda grew drugs & burned our forests instead of armed Mexican Cartels would anyone notice?)
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To: 1rudeboy

It is knee jerk bigotry. They still worship at the polished black shoes of Pat Buchanan


22 posted on 01/10/2010 9:48:35 AM PST by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 . What ever I do is what shall bean the production line than to operate the equipm)
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To: AuntB

The term “Free Trade” is rather misleading.


23 posted on 01/10/2010 9:49:33 AM PST by Clintonfatigued (Liberal sacred cows make great hamburger)
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To: Toddsterpatriot
What's the relationship? Is it a formula? Plug in one and you'll get the other?

Lol, just to be clear, it is your contention that there is no relationship between US budget deficits and national debt, and the US trade deficits???

24 posted on 01/10/2010 9:55:03 AM PST by Will88
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To: Clintonfatigued

“The term “Free Trade” is rather misleading.”

One among many...the worst is ‘reform’...run like hell when you hear that one.


25 posted on 01/10/2010 9:56:38 AM PST by AuntB (If Al Qaeda grew drugs & burned our forests instead of armed Mexican Cartels would anyone notice?)
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To: Clintonfatigued
We do have people bending over backwards trying to redefine it here. For those of you who don't know, or pretend [chuckle] you don't know:

Free trade: you tax my products 0%, and I'll tax your products 0%.

26 posted on 01/10/2010 9:57:41 AM PST by 1rudeboy
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To: 1rudeboy
Actually, we have free trade agreements with zero European countries.

And, actually, I made no mention of free trade agreements with European nations. I said we have something approaching actual free trade, due to long historical relationships that evolved into pretty open trade.

It's when the US enters all these "free trade" agreements that we end up with enormous trade deficits. NAFTA took us from a $1 billion surplus with Mexico to a $40 - $50 trade deficit.

27 posted on 01/10/2010 9:59:37 AM PST by Will88
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To: 1rudeboy
Me: And, demanding equal access to markets, or fair trade, is not protectionism.

You: That's what is called "free trade," silly.

No, silly, demanding equal access is NOT free trade. HAVING equal access is free trade. We seldom get beyond the demanding stage with all too many nations.

Free trade simply does not exist between the US and most nations. We've agreed on that. And the US is giving away far too much while waiting for others to open their markets, and the wait is decades old in all too many cases.

The Asian model for growth lives, and thrives, and is making inroads into South American and other areas.

28 posted on 01/10/2010 10:07:52 AM PST by Will88
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To: Will88
Lol, just to be clear, it is your contention that there is no relationship between US budget deficits and national debt, and the US trade deficits???

LOL! Just to be clear, you claimed there was a relationship. A close relationship. What does my contention have to do with your claim?

29 posted on 01/10/2010 10:12:09 AM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: ex-snook
Trade is we buy product from you and you buy product from us. It is not we buy product from you and trade you jobs, factories and Treasuries in return. That's the loony deals that have caused economic misery.

All true, and that cute little, ancient word "trade" is now used to encompass all sorts of practices that have little to do with "trade": transfer of manufacturing facilities, job exports, capital exports, technology transfer, and buying next to nothing that is an authentic product created by the people of the nation we are "trading" with.

Actually, our so-called "trade" policy is by far our biggest foreign aide program. All sorts of motives are behind which is euphemistically called "trade" policy.

30 posted on 01/10/2010 10:16:18 AM PST by Will88
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To: 1rudeboy

It would be interesting to see how india, brazil, russia, mexico, Skorea, and italy look on that graph.

Looks to me like The world is a changin real fast. I’m guessing the world is about to be steamrollered by china and india.


31 posted on 01/10/2010 10:24:11 AM PST by mamelukesabre (Veni, Vidi, Vicki: "I came, I saw, and I'm like, Omigod!")
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To: Toddsterpatriot
LOL! Just to be clear, you claimed there was a relationship. A close relationship. What does my contention have to do with your claim?

Lol, because if you can't even discern an opinion about two aspects of our economy that are so large, and the subject of so much discussion, there's no reason to think you'd be able to understand any discussion of the relationship:

Again: Do you contend there is no relationship between our budget deficits and national debt, and our ever growing trade deficits?

That's a simple question. Someone with your great interest in these matters should already have put your thoughts to this question and derived an answer.

And, another simple question: Do you believe if we produced more energy from domestic sources, and reduced imports, that it would improve our economy? Lots of conservatives seem to think so. What about you?

32 posted on 01/10/2010 10:25:53 AM PST by Will88
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To: Will88
Lol, because if you can't even discern an opinion

I don't think that word means what you think it means.

Again: Do you contend there is no relationship between our budget deficits and national debt, and our ever growing trade deficits?

There is no relationship between the budget deficit and the trade deficit.

Please ping me when you post your formula proving me wrong.

Do you believe if we produced more energy from domestic sources, and reduced imports, that it would improve our economy?

Producing more energy here would improve our economy, whether it reduced imports or not.

33 posted on 01/10/2010 10:34:56 AM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot
Producing more energy here would improve our economy, whether it reduced imports or not.

Lol, so, how would it improve the economy?

More jobs? That means more income and more income taxes.

More oil company profits? That means more corporate income taxes.

So, more jobs, and more tax revenue for the feds, and therefore, a reduction in the federal deficit (no matter how large or small the deficit is, a marginal increase in revenue decreases the deficit).

And, any significant increase in domestic crude production, particularly in the continental US, will reduce imports, whether or not domestic demand increased significantly. Still, we'd need lesser imports, and the greater world crude production would lower the price, whatever the supply and demand situation might be, and that lowers cost for business, and increases profits for business. And that domestic production would reduce the trade deficit by that incremental amount, and also reduce the budget deficit as long as oil producers were paying taxes.

And, your demand for a formula is as silly as are most all your posts concerning economics. From now on, you provide formulas to prove every assertion you make.

And discern means to recognize or detect or comprehend: that the budget deficit and national debt, and the trade deficits, are related. - But anyone with any knowledge of economics already knows that. But many do have political reasons for denying it.

Time for other things this afternoon.

34 posted on 01/10/2010 1:26:42 PM PST by Will88
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To: Will88; Mase; expat_panama; 1rudeboy
Producing more energy here would improve our economy, whether it reduced imports or not.

Lol, so, how would it improve the economy?

You really need me to explain how an increase in Gross Domestic Product improves the economy? LOL!

So, more jobs, and more tax revenue for the feds, and therefore, a reduction in the federal deficit

Because spending remains the same when revenues increase? LOL!

And, your demand for a formula is as silly

I only demand a formula when someone makes a silly claim that can be refuted in 10 seconds.

And discern means to recognize or detect or comprehend

Like when I detected your claim was an opinion, not based in fact?

Here's a question for you, did the budget deficit increase from 2008 to 2009? Here's another one, did the trade deficit increase from 2008 to 2009?

Let me know if you ever figure those out.

Time for other things this afternoon.

Writing more jokes?

35 posted on 01/10/2010 2:39:20 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Will88; Toddsterpatriot
the budget deficit and national debt, and the trade deficits,

So many deficits.  We got the budget deficit plus all those trade defiicits --must at least seven of those buggers--   In the mean time we got one hell of nice capital surplus.

OK, this is a bit past my bed time but I just had to take issue with the budg/trade deficit mix-up.   Hey Will, any chance you might want to say what you know about the trade deficit.  Like, are you talking about exports-imports or something?

36 posted on 01/10/2010 5:06:57 PM PST by expat_panama
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Can you really be as hopelessly ignorant as you seem?

Increased domestic energy production creates all sorts of economic activity: jobs, crude oil sales, royalties to mineral rights owners, profits, and taxes and revenue too government at all levels. Increased tax revenues decrease the budget deficits.

And increased domestic crude oil production decreases imports when that production is used rather than imports. And, if that increased production is exported, the amount exported will be netted against imports, thereby decreasing crude oil imports and deceasing the trade deficit. And that goes for many other products that might be produced domestically or imported. But, since crude oil is often almost half our trade deficit, it’s the best example around.

So, once again, trade deficits and budget deficits are very often related, whether you can understand it or not.


37 posted on 01/10/2010 6:48:54 PM PST by Will88
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To: expat_panama
Hey Will, any chance you might want to say what you know about the trade deficit. Like, are you talking about exports-imports or something?

If you knew what the trade deficit was, you certainly wouldn't be asking that question. The trade deficit exists because our imports are perpetually greater than our exports, at least for the past several decades.

38 posted on 01/10/2010 6:52:20 PM PST by Will88
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To: Will88
Can you really be as hopelessly ignorant as you seem?

Because I don't believe your claim? LOL!

Increased domestic energy production creates all sorts of economic activity

Increased domestic oil production is a great idea. It will grow our economy and increase government tax revenue. If you want to claim that, I don't think anyone will disagree.

So, once again, trade deficits and budget deficits are very often related

Very often related? Changing your claim already?

If you are correct, you should be able to show that when budget deficits rise, trade deficits rise. Or is that causation backwards? Maybe when trade deficits rise, budget deficits rise?

whether you can understand it or not.

Just waiting for you to prove it.

39 posted on 01/10/2010 7:02:30 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot
Just waiting for you to prove it.

I don't have to prove it. Anyone with a rudimentary understanding of economic activity and trade already knows it. And, as usual, you are going off on tangents and trying to create confusion and generally making your self look foolish.

If you can't look at the crude oil example and understand how more domestic crude production can reduce our budget deficit and also reduce our trade deficit, then you are truly hopeless.

40 posted on 01/10/2010 7:21:10 PM PST by Will88
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