Posted on 12/21/2009 8:51:44 AM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
When only 30% of a state’s likely voters support the one piece of legislation on which the incumbent has worked for most of the year, they tend to get a little chippy about the idea of sending him back to Washington. When paired up with Republican Governor John Hoeven in a 2010 midterm election, Democratic Senator Byron Dorgan trails by 22 points, 58%-36%:
Incumbent Democratic Senator Byron Dorgan may have a serious problem on his hands if Republicans recruit Governor John Hoeven to run for the U.S. Senate in North Dakota next year.
The first Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 telephone survey of likely voters in North Dakota finds the popular Republican governor leading Dorgan by 22 points – 58% to 36%. Just six percent (6%) are undecided in that senatorial contest.
Part of the challenge for Dorgan is the health care legislation working its way through Congress. Dorgan, along with every Democrat in the Senate, has voted to move the legislation forward and is expected to vote for final approval of the reform later this week. That’s not likely to be well received in North Dakota where just 30% favor the proposed health care reform plan and 64% are opposed.
Thus far, Hoeven has not declared an intent to run for Dorgan’s seat — but these poll results can’t hurt. When Dorgan gets matched against the one Republican who has declared, Duane Sand, Dorgan easily bests him by almost the same margin that he loses to Hoeven. Hoeven beats Dorgan by 15 points among women, a rather shocking prospect for Democrats, who rely on the gender gap each election.
Dorgan’s poor showing indicates a big problem for a man who won his last election by over 30 points. Like most Democratic Senators from red states, Dorgan has tried arguing that he represents common-sense moderation over partisan agendas. His participation in passing ObamaCare makes a mockery of that claim, and North Dakota voters see him now as a man who carries water for Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, and Barack Obama.
Still, if Hoeven doesn’t jump into the race, Dorgan may be able to get past his midterm trial, unless Duane Sand can make an impression in a hurry. Expect the North Dakota GOP to be making a beeline to Governor Hoeven’s office with this poll in hand.
Bayh, Evan - (D - IN) Bennet, Michael F. - (D - CO) Dorgan, Byron L. - (D - ND) Lincoln, Blanche L. - (D - AR) Reid, Harry - (D - NV) Specter, Arlen - (D - PA)
Boxer, Barbara - (D - CA) Burris, Roland W. - (D - IL) Dodd, Christopher J. - (D - CT) Feingold, Russell D. - (D - WI) Inouye, Daniel K. - (D - HI) Leahy, Patrick J. - (D - VT) Mikulski, Barbara A. - (D - MD) Murray, Patty - (D - WA) Schumer, Charles E. - (D - NY) Wyden, Ron - (D - OR)
Send this to North Dakota family, friends, newspapers.
Do the same when similar news is posted on the other Dem. Senators who are up for election—
Bayh, Evan - (D - IN)
Bennet, Michael F. - (D - CO)
Dorgan, Byron L. - (D - ND)
Lincoln, Blanche L. - (D - AR)
Reid, Harry - (D - NV)
Specter, Arlen - (D - PA)
Boxer, Barbara - (D - CA)
Burris, Roland W. - (D - IL)
Dodd, Christopher J. - (D - CT)
Feingold, Russell D. - (D - WI)
Inouye, Daniel K. - (D - HI)
Leahy, Patrick J. - (D - VT)
Mikulski, Barbara A. - (D - MD)
Murray, Patty - (D - WA)
Schumer, Charles E. - (D - NY)
Wyden, Ron - (D - OR)
This all very good but, isnt it a little late?
Bookmark
Once this is passed we can hope but it’s prolly not gonna get repealed
Of the ones you list below, I would only count Reid, Dorgan and Specter as endangered, perhaps Burris. So maximum gain of 4, if we retain all our seats, which is not a given.
Me too Bookmark
Dodd is in trouble, but I am guessing he hangs it up instead of facing defeat.
Isn’t one of the Florida seats up as well? It was held by a “republican” but is the one Crist is slobbering after.
Why bother fighting. There’s way too many good things on TV. And football playoffs are coming up. And there is no guarantee of success. Let’s just accept the inevitable.
The United States Government has just declared war on the American people. Already some big battles have been lost. However we must not quit until we have won the war. It won’t happen fast and it won’t happen at all of we retreat. In the words of Churchill, “never, never, never, never give up”. Gear up and keep fighting!
get them all...especially Dorgan, Specter, Boxer, leaky leahy, Chucky Cheese and Reid.....
Perhaps,
But no one expected the Republicans to take over the Senate in 1980 or 1994. If Obama keeps dropping in the polls and the Republicans get their act together (possible but only 50-50),it could be a sweep.
What happens if Obama is -20 or -25 and not minus -17.
Blaming Bush may not work in 2010.
Bayh, Evan - Safe
Bennet, Michael F. - Goner
Dorgan, Byron L. - Goner
Lincoln, Blanche L. - Goner
Reid, Harry - Goner
Specter, Arlen - Goner
Boxer, Barbara - Probably safe, but some indicators suggest Fiornia has at least an outside chance
Burris, Roland W. - Possible GOP pickup
Dodd, Christopher J. - Goner
Feingold, Russell D. - Safe, most likely
Inouye, Daniel K. - Poss Goner vs. Lingle
Leahy, Patrick J. - Vermont is stupid so he’ll stay
Mikulski, Barbara A. - Very unlikely to be defeated, although I’m gonna work hard to try
Murray, Patty - Safe
Schumer, Charles E. - Rudy may well knock him off
Wyden, Ron - Unsure...
It’s well past time that the voters of red states such as North and South Dakota, Montana, Nebraska, Louisiana and especially Arkansas stop sending these Dims to the Senate and House. What will it take for them to learn? They can find conservatives who will also take care of their unique interests, whether it’s farm subsidies or something else.
But stop sending these phony ‘conservative’ Rats to Congress because they are ruining this nation by providing the winning margins for the socialists.
That’s nine pickups best-case if we hold on to all GOP seats (which right now actually looks possible.)
If by some miracle we could get one of the others, we’d have a tie.
My guess is the GOP picks up 7 Senate seats.
I agree. All red states RATS should go. Look at that fool that won Ted Stephen’s seat in Alaska. He has voted straight Commie sense he stole that seat.
Yes, Vermont is 97% clueless, guilt-ridden white leftists. They even send the nation's only avowed Socialist senator to Congress.
Can’t we trade with Canada and flip Vermont for one of the western Provinces?
I'm thinking of Gillebrand (sp?) here...
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.