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Economic Misery Is Driving Voters Right
Investors.com ^ | December 1, 2009 | J.T. YOUNG

Posted on 12/01/2009 7:32:35 PM PST by Kaslin

It seems simple to write off the four elections that got much of the attention last month in New Jersey, Virginia, New York and California. Democrats and Republicans each won two, so what really changed?

They weren't indicative nationally and represented no more than local issues playing out locally, right? Wrong. They represented a conservative groundswell — ideologically and personally.

The table below shows the four races. The first two columns indicate the percentages of the vote total gained by each party in the 2008 presidential election and the 2009 state and congressional elections. The third column shows the difference between the two elections, while the fourth totals the differences from the 2008 Democratic baseline.

The difference is dramatic in three of the races — including the special election in California's 10th congressional district where the Democrat won by double digits. Even factoring in the NY-23 special election, where the official Republican candidate finished third, all four races show an improvement for conservatives.

Assuming Republicans are the more conservative alternative, a Gallup Poll taken Nov. 5-8 gave a national scope to the November sample. Its survey of 2010 generic congressional preferences produced a 46% to 44% lead for Republicans (48% to 44% among registered voters — reversing a 6% Democratic lead in July).

So how do we explain the conservative surge? Exit polling in the New Jersey and Virginia races provided a detailed voter breakdown.

In New Jersey, the breakdown by gender and race showed little change. The Democratic advantage in voter participation fell three percentage points (to 41%), while the Republicans gained the same amount (to 31%). By ideology, liberals remained at 25%, while moderates fell to 45% from 50% and conservatives climbed to 30% from 25%.


(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2009polls; bhoeconomy; nj2009; va2009; zotorama
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1 posted on 12/01/2009 7:32:35 PM PST by Kaslin
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To: alrea; bareford101; BerniesFriend; blaveda; Bookwoman; Celeste732; dsc; fanfan; Faux_Pas; ...

2 posted on 12/01/2009 7:33:30 PM PST by Kaslin (Acronym for 0bama: One Big Ass Mistake America)
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To: Kaslin

To get the economy going, they WILL have to cut taxes, and cut spending. I guess this is right.


3 posted on 12/01/2009 7:36:40 PM PST by rovenstinez (All)
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To: rovenstinez

No way Democrats will do that.


4 posted on 12/01/2009 7:39:30 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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Comment #5 Removed by Moderator

To: rovenstinez

The only way to stimulate economic growth is to cut taxes and cut spending … basic econ 101. Works ever time it is tried.


6 posted on 12/01/2009 7:41:05 PM PST by doc1019 (Obama, not so much.)
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To: shaft29

I know you don’t mean, but please clarify


7 posted on 12/01/2009 7:42:57 PM PST by Kaslin (Acronym for 0bama: One Big Ass Mistake America)
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To: Kaslin

Voters are finally starting to recollect ...that economic misery commenced under the start of the Democratic Congress elected in 2006( when..according to the bright lights in the MSM..we had the “worst economy ever since the Great Depression”).....


8 posted on 12/01/2009 7:43:16 PM PST by mo
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To: Kaslin

That was supposed to be I know you don’t mean me


9 posted on 12/01/2009 7:44:05 PM PST by Kaslin (Acronym for 0bama: One Big Ass Mistake America)
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To: Kaslin

I have always been a big admirer of IBD editorials. Feel free to put me on the ping list


10 posted on 12/01/2009 7:46:31 PM PST by BOBTHENAILER ( long?)
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To: mo
Voters are finally starting to recollect ...that economic misery commenced under the start of the Democratic Congress elected in 2006(

Yep. They were in charge of spending, and it all went down hill from there.

11 posted on 12/01/2009 7:51:11 PM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: Kaslin

Look at the post history. Dubious at best.


12 posted on 12/01/2009 7:53:28 PM PST by eyedigress
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To: mo

Ask a liberal when the liberals took charge. 80% will get it wrong.


13 posted on 12/01/2009 7:54:53 PM PST by eyedigress
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To: Kaslin
Assuming Republicans are the more conservative alternative

"Assuming" is the key word here. If the Republicans were to go back to their conservative roots, we could take Washington in a landslide. It's Regan 101.

14 posted on 12/01/2009 7:55:05 PM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: Kaslin

I’d want an explanation of that remark too, if I were you. Kinda came outta nowhere (I think).


15 posted on 12/01/2009 7:56:32 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Kaslin

I think Party affiliation is past it. People want change, Conservative change, and I think will vote for whoever is the Conservative person regardless of Party.


16 posted on 12/01/2009 7:58:42 PM PST by Captain Peter Blood
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To: Kaslin

Odd...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2398155/posts?page=3#3


17 posted on 12/01/2009 8:03:35 PM PST by stormer
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To: Windflier; Kaslin; steelyourfaith

Seems to be moving around. To attack without clarification over and over seems to be on purpose.


18 posted on 12/01/2009 8:07:10 PM PST by eyedigress
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To: Kaslin

Hmmm. I’ve been wondering if our Republican “leaders” have been so weak in their efforts to stop the Democrats because they are hoping all the things the socialists are doing will wake America up and cause them to vote Republican.

Of course, it is disgusting to a lot of Republicans. But our leadership takes us for granted.

What if this whole Obama debacle is the result of careful planning by Rove?

I still can’t get over the party putting McCain up as our great hope.


19 posted on 12/01/2009 8:07:28 PM PST by Melian ("Here's the moral of the story: Catholic witness has a cost." ~Archbishop Charles Chaput)
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To: eyedigress

It’s rather cartoonish, eh? I suspect an exit stage left momentarily. Can you dig it?


20 posted on 12/01/2009 8:14:30 PM PST by steelyourfaith (Time to prosecute Al Gore now that fellow scam artist Bernie Madoff is in stir.)
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