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Physicist Howard Hayden's one-letter disproof of global warming claims [pre-Climategate]
Mises Economic Blog ^ | 10/29/2009 | Stephan Kinsella

Posted on 11/27/2009 2:01:23 PM PST by sionnsar

Physicist Howard Hayden, a staunch advocate of sound energy policy, sent me a copy of his letter to the EPA about global warming. The text is also appended below, with permission.

As noted in my post Access to Energy, Hayden helped the late, great Petr Beckmann found the dissident physics journal Galilean Electrodynamics (brochures and further Beckmann info here; further dissident physics links). Hayden later began to publish his own pro-energy newsletter, The Energy Advocate, following in the footsteps of Beckmann's own journal Access to Energy

I love Hayden's email sign-off, "People will do anything to save the world ... except take a course in science." Here's the letter:

***

Howard C. Hayden
785 S. McCoy Drive
Pueblo West, CO 81007

October 27, 2009

The Honorable Lisa P. Jackson, Administrator
Environmental Protection Agency
1200 Pennsylvania Ave., NW Washington, DC 20460

Dear Administrator Jackson:

I write in regard to the Proposed Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for Greenhouse Gases Under Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act, Proposed Rule, 74 Fed. Reg. 18,886 (Apr. 24, 2009), the so-called "Endangerment Finding."

It has been often said that the "science is settled" on the issue of CO2 and climate. Let me put this claim to rest with a simple one-letter proof that it is false.

The letter is s, the one that changes model into models. If the science were settled, there would be precisely one model, and it would be in agreement with measurements.

Alternatively, one may ask which one of the twenty-some models settled the science so that all the rest could be discarded along with the research funds that have kept those models alive.

We can take this further. Not a single climate model predicted the current cooling phase. If the science were settled, the model (singular) would have predicted it.

Let me next address the horror story that we are approaching (or have passed) a "tipping point." Anybody who has worked with amplifiers knows about tipping points. The output "goes to the rail." Not only that, but it stays there. That's the official worry coming from the likes of James Hansen (of NASA­GISS) and Al Gore.

But therein lies the proof that we are nowhere near a tipping point. The earth, it seems, has seen times when the CO2 concentration was up to 8,000 ppm, and that did not lead to a tipping point. If it did, we would not be here talking about it. In fact, seen on the long scale, the CO2 concentration in the present cycle of glacials (ca. 200 ppm) and interglacials (ca. 300-400 ppm) is lower than it has been for the last 300 million years.

Global-warming alarmists tell us that the rising CO2 concentration is (A) anthropogenic and (B) leading to global warming.

(A) CO2 concentration has risen and fallen in the past with no help from mankind. The present rise began in the 1700s, long before humans could have made a meaningful contribution. Alarmists have failed to ask, let alone answer, what the CO2 level would be today if we had never burned any fuels. They simply assume that it would be the "pre-industrial" value.

(B) The first principle of causality is that the cause has to come before the effect. The historical record shows that climate changes precede CO2 changes. How, then, can one conclude that CO2 is responsible for the current warming?

Nobody doubts that CO2 has some greenhouse effect, and nobody doubts that CO2 concentration is increasing. But what would we have to fear if CO2 and temperature actually increased?


Consider the change in vocabulary that has occurred. The term global warming has given way to the term climate change, because the former is not supported by the data. The latter term, climate change, admits of all kinds of illogical attributions. If it warms up, that's climate change. If it cools down, ditto. Any change whatsoever can be said by alarmists to be proof of climate change.

In a way, we have been here before. Lord Kelvin "proved" that the earth could not possibly be as old as the geologists said. He "proved" it using the conservation of energy. What he didn't know was that nuclear energy, not gravitation, provides the internal heat of the sun and the earth.

Similarly, the global-warming alarmists have "proved" that CO2 causes global warming.

Except when it doesn't.

To put it fairly but bluntly, the global-warming alarmists have relied on a pathetic version of science in which computer models take precedence over data, and numerical averages of computer outputs are believed to be able to predict the future climate. It would be a travesty if the EPA were to countenance such nonsense.

Best Regards,

Howard C. Hayden

Professor Emeritus of Physics, UConn


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; US: Connecticut
KEYWORDS: agw; climatechange; climategate; co2; epa; globaltax; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; gore; hoax; howardhayden; lordkelvin; plantfood; popefrancis; romancatholicism; scam
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To: tarator; maine-iac7

Cretans vs cretins — I saw that too. LOL.


41 posted on 11/27/2009 7:25:30 PM PST by sionnsar (IranAzadi|5yst3m 0wn3d-it's N0t Y0ur5:SONY|Remember Neda Agha-Soltan|TV--it's NOT news you can trust)
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To: sionnsar
As stated, CO2 is preceded by temp increase. Now for the simple soda pop experiment. Get one can cold soda one can warm. Open both carefully, which one releases the most CO2 gas? The warm one. The earth surface is 70% water. The temperature of the ocean has the greatest influence on CO2 in the atmosphere.

The basic hydrologic cycle is a negative feedback loop, not a positive feedback loop like the IPCC climate models. The warmer the surface of the earth, the more water vapor is absorbed into the air. The more water vapor, the more cloud cover. The more cloud cover the more sunlight is reflected back into space, thus the more the earth cools.

42 posted on 11/27/2009 7:33:12 PM PST by D Rider
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To: sionnsar; tarator

43 posted on 11/27/2009 8:01:26 PM PST by maine-iac7 ("He has the right to criticize who has the heart to help" Lincoln)
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To: maine-iac7

Such things... “machts nichts” in German.


44 posted on 11/27/2009 8:44:02 PM PST by sionnsar (IranAzadi|5yst3m 0wn3d-it's N0t Y0ur5:SONY|Remember Neda Agha-Soltan|TV--it's NOT news you can trust)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Let us hope our bros down in the far south English speaking countries put up such a howl against this criminal offense it will bring more in Europe, USA, South American, and Canada, Russian, China, Japan to follow suit.
Now is time for each nation to join together and throw off this yoke of AGW bad science once and for all.
Face the facts squarely. Do go after those things that are legit, such as real known air pollutions that do harm humans as well as animal life. But in a responsible way that does not break the piggy banks of nations.
Now is the time perhaps as never before a entry level common goal could set back the one world elitist from having their way any time soon. End goal, subjugation of the world's populations. IMHO this later, is as evil as the world of Islamic Jihadist hell bent on cutting off the heads of the infidels. The carefully craft how they can control nations and extract wealth and control how they want things to proceed, wars, peace, industrial growth, otherwise.
45 posted on 11/27/2009 10:17:21 PM PST by Marine_Uncle (Honor must be earned....)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; STARWISE

I just added an article I wrote-East Valley Tribune published and would like to keep some balanced comments on. Please see,

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2396108/posts


46 posted on 11/28/2009 6:14:42 PM PST by azkathy (OBAMA IS WEARING OUT MY CAPS LOCK!!!)
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To: sionnsar

Just sent that to our daughter, who is an Economics major.


47 posted on 11/29/2009 7:49:44 PM PST by SuziQ
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To: steelyourfaith; sionnsar
I usually make note in a thread when I think it is so excellent that I bookmark it - but in this case I didn’t. I just happened to review it now, and I marvel at how concise a refutation it is.

But it doesn’t treat of the Climategate emails/computer programs. I wonder if by any chance you have a link to a good survey article on that?

48 posted on 11/28/2012 11:41:33 AM PST by conservatism_IS_compassion (The idea around which “liberalism" coheres is that NOTHING actually matters except PR.)
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To: sionnsar

This man is a liar!! It took about 2.25 pages to print mine out so I could show to rational people I run into.


49 posted on 11/28/2012 11:54:42 AM PST by NCLaw441
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To: NCLaw441

It took 2.25 pages to print the letter “s”?


50 posted on 11/28/2012 12:02:07 PM PST by MileHi ( "It's coming down to patriots vs the politicians." - ovrtaxt)
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To: MileHi

Bookmark.


51 posted on 02/12/2015 10:05:12 PM PST by publius911 (Formerly Publius6961)
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To: sionnsar

great post


52 posted on 02/12/2015 10:11:37 PM PST by GeronL
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To: MileHi; NCLaw441

And it took 6 years too!


53 posted on 02/12/2015 10:23:42 PM PST by 21twelve (http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2185147/posts 2013 is 1933 REBORN)
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To: SpaceBar
According to Ed Begley he's only a physicist so has no professional credentials to criticize global warming.

As opposed to the chief wizards of the "catastrophic alarmists," Al Gore and James Hansen, and the East Anglia data faking and manipulating criminal fraudsters?

54 posted on 02/12/2015 10:26:01 PM PST by publius911 (Formerly Publius6961)
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To: publius911
Of course, Dr. Hayden made no impression with his convincing scientific argument -- because the EPAs Lisa Jackson and her ilk aren't driven by science.

The left may call climate change "settled science", but what it really is is "settled politics".

55 posted on 02/12/2015 10:37:53 PM PST by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA: Ignorance on Parade)
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To: sionnsar

I was just pining this for future reference ... and I saw who originally posted it. Sionnsar, you are missed my friend ...


56 posted on 04/19/2016 12:16:59 PM PDT by RainMan (Liberals are first and foremost, jealous little losers who resent anyone who has anything they dont)
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To: sionnsar; TigersEye; All

Bump!


57 posted on 11/27/2017 3:03:35 PM PST by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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