Posted on 10/19/2009 7:48:35 AM PDT by DanZanRyu
Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin’s forthcoming autobiography has been at the top of the Amazon book charts for weeks, and it hasn’t even been released yet. At least in the eyes of the political Left, she is now perhaps America’s most visible national Republican.
But new Rasmussen Reports national telephone surveying finds Palin losing handily in face-to-face march-ups with her two likeliest challengers for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.
Among likely Republican primary voters, Palin now trails former Arkansas governor-turned-Fox-TV-host Mike Huckabee by 20 points – 55% to 35%.
When her opponent is ex-Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, Palin loses by 15 – 52% to 37%.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
When given a list of five candidates and asked who they would vote for in 2012, 29% of Republican voters nationwide say Huckabee, while 24% prefer Romney and 18% Palin.
In July, it was close to a three-way tie: 25% said Romney, 24% Palin and 22% Huckabee.
It’s noteworthy that Huckabee’s gains since July are matched almost precisely by Palin’s decline. That suggests a large pool of voters are committed to choosing between two candidates routinely dismissed as unacceptable in the eyes of Republicans in Washington, DC. At the moment, 47% prefer either Huckabee or Palin while 42% prefer a candidate more acceptable to Republican political leaders. That divide is also reflected, with similar results, in a Huckabee-Romney head to head match-up.
Twenty-one percent (21%) of primary voters also say Palin is the GOP candidate they would least like to see win the party’s presidential nomination. Just nine percent (9%) say the same of Romney, and eight percent (8%) feel that way about Huckabee.
Support for Huckabee and Romney against Palin is nearly the same among both men and women. Suggesting that Romney’s Mormon faith may still be a problem among some Christian conservatives, Palin leads him by 14 points – 52% to 38% - among GOP primary voters who describe themselves as Evangelical Christians. But Romney beats Palin by 26 points among other Protestants – 58% to 32% - and holds similar winning margins among Catholic voters and those of other faiths.
On the other hand, Huckabee, an ordained Southern Baptist minister, beats Palin by 17 points among Evangelical Christians and 29 points among other Protestants. A similar spread is evident among Republican voters of other faiths, but Huckabee has just an eight-point edge over Palin among Catholic voters.
Earlier polling showed that Palin trails Hillary Clinton in a general election match-up.
In early July, 40% of Republican voters nationwide said Palin’s decision to resign as governor of Alaska hurt her chances of winning the party’s presidential nomination in 2012.
Ask the Boss:
38"Teacher," said John, "we saw a man driving out demons in your name and we told him to stop, because he was not one of us." 39"Do not stop him," Jesus said. "No one who does a miracle in my name can in the next moment say anything bad about me, 40for whoever is not against us is for us. 41I tell you the truth, anyone who gives you a cup of water in my name because you belong to Christ will certainly not lose his reward.
Obviously we strongly disagree. Who do you support in 2012?
Pawlenty:
Pro Life
Cut Taxes
Cut Spending
Strong Supporter of the 2nd Amendment
How can you credibly claim he’s a so called RINO?
your funny too.
Learn to spell.
Yeah, and Rush wanted Hillary to be inaugurated in January of 2009.
Dude...Go back and read the context...you’re responding to something JimRob wrote in January of 2008.
Has it not occured to you that this is exactly what the supporters of the candidates I've listed were saying? Why did people consider Perot? Dems were disgusted or underwhelmed by Clinton, and conservative Republicans were ticked off over "Read my lips" and other stupidity on G.H.W.Bush's part.
I am as confident as I can be three years out that if Palin is the GOP nominee she will win going away and if she (or any other credible conservative) starts a third party meant to replace the GOP she will lose badly and so will the GOP candidate. In over 50 presidential elections since 1800, there is not one--not one!--where the plan you're talking about worked. People think it happened with Lincoln, but the GOP had already replaced the Whigs by the 1856 election.
We win when the GOP is a broad coalition between conservatives and moderates with conservatives holding the reins. If they leave that model aside (McCain) or the conservatives go elsewhere, the vote will split and the largest voting bloc will be committed Democrats.
Dealing with that reality and using it to our advantage does not require compromising a single principle.
I’m still hoping that Palin does run.
She’s the only truly credible candidate that has strong executive experience. There are people in congress that have the right attitudes, but it’s rare for a jump from congress to the White House to materialize.
I disagree, the moderates ARE the problem and not many conservatives desire any kind of coalition with them. As long as there are moderates in the GOP, the GOP is doomed to it's current minority status. I will stay out and there are enough folks like me that can and will influence elections - fool me once, shame on you, there will be no second time.
>She was picked by McCain
Yes, but then again, maybe he picked her exactly because she was a conservative. After all, conservative support for Johnny was probably luke warm.
>and supported most of his RINO views including the bailout and gave really fuzzy responses on amnesty. You don’t do that if you are a real conservative.
Or if you want to risk rocking the boat and dividing the ticket.
>I don’t think resigning was a conservative thing...she just doesn’t know how to defend herself against the media.
Considering the way the MSM (Marxist Stalinist Media) went after her, I don’t think that anyone would have known how to defend themselves against that. But I think that she stepped down for more than one reason, some being conservative.
Thanks for your reply, but I was specifically asking DanZanRyu for his thoughts.
Sounds reasonable to me. I’ll buy her book, but I’m not about to vote for her.
Yes.
I guess we’re talking about you getting fooled by Reagan, too, because the coalition he built is what I’m yalking about.
Reagan built his landslides on a three-legged stool, but topday many conservatives believe a two-legged stool (or even one leg on its own) will work better.
LOL - not at all my friend - I was fooled by the term “moderate”.
:-)
Come 2012,
We’re out to make a fuss.
Romney makes you happy,
Ain’t no use to us.
Let me guess: After realizing you fail miserably at political prognostication, you’ve decided to take up rap instead? Good choice.
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