Posted on 10/19/2009 7:48:35 AM PDT by DanZanRyu
Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palins forthcoming autobiography has been at the top of the Amazon book charts for weeks, and it hasnt even been released yet. At least in the eyes of the political Left, she is now perhaps Americas most visible national Republican.
But new Rasmussen Reports national telephone surveying finds Palin losing handily in face-to-face march-ups with her two likeliest challengers for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.
Among likely Republican primary voters, Palin now trails former Arkansas governor-turned-Fox-TV-host Mike Huckabee by 20 points 55% to 35%.
When her opponent is ex-Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, Palin loses by 15 52% to 37%.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
When given a list of five candidates and asked who they would vote for in 2012, 29% of Republican voters nationwide say Huckabee, while 24% prefer Romney and 18% Palin.
In July, it was close to a three-way tie: 25% said Romney, 24% Palin and 22% Huckabee.
Its noteworthy that Huckabees gains since July are matched almost precisely by Palins decline. That suggests a large pool of voters are committed to choosing between two candidates routinely dismissed as unacceptable in the eyes of Republicans in Washington, DC. At the moment, 47% prefer either Huckabee or Palin while 42% prefer a candidate more acceptable to Republican political leaders. That divide is also reflected, with similar results, in a Huckabee-Romney head to head match-up.
Twenty-one percent (21%) of primary voters also say Palin is the GOP candidate they would least like to see win the partys presidential nomination. Just nine percent (9%) say the same of Romney, and eight percent (8%) feel that way about Huckabee.
Support for Huckabee and Romney against Palin is nearly the same among both men and women. Suggesting that Romneys Mormon faith may still be a problem among some Christian conservatives, Palin leads him by 14 points 52% to 38% - among GOP primary voters who describe themselves as Evangelical Christians. But Romney beats Palin by 26 points among other Protestants 58% to 32% - and holds similar winning margins among Catholic voters and those of other faiths.
On the other hand, Huckabee, an ordained Southern Baptist minister, beats Palin by 17 points among Evangelical Christians and 29 points among other Protestants. A similar spread is evident among Republican voters of other faiths, but Huckabee has just an eight-point edge over Palin among Catholic voters.
Earlier polling showed that Palin trails Hillary Clinton in a general election match-up.
In early July, 40% of Republican voters nationwide said Palins decision to resign as governor of Alaska hurt her chances of winning the partys presidential nomination in 2012.
You understand that there's a huge difference between an online poll - which is absolutely meaningless - and a poll conducted by professional pollsters using scientifically supported methods, right?
"How is Rass getting such drastically different numbers than these other polls?"
If you mean online polls by "other polls", it's for the above mentioned reason. But, the other scientific polls I've seen the last 4/5 months all complete support and concur with Rasmussen's poll - who, by the way, was one of the most reliably accurate polls throughout the 2008 campaign season.
“Thanks for the link. I had no idea. It’s sickening.”
You’re welcome, and you’re right - it is sickening.
I’m hoping for a strong conservative with a quick wit. I think that would be very helpful in knocking down the arrogance of Obama.
Yep...Romney talks real purty outta both sides of his face.
You are a demented bigot. Please go spew your nutcase bile elsewhere.
....Rasmussen is disgusting....
Maybe, but most everyone says his polling is the most accurate. Still, its awful early to worry about 2012 polls. Remember President Rudy and VP whats his name from Tennessee....they both peaked way too early.
Huckabee is an accomplished conservative & stellar Christian.
I know someone who is a stellar idiot.
I heard that argument quite a bit during last year's Presidential elections. Many people were saying that the polls had to be mistaken because there was no way the blue collar workers in Ohio and PA were going to vote for a black man. But alas, all the polls got it right, especially Rasmussen, who was closer than anyone else.
LOLOLOL!
Maybe Hucky can save Levi. LOL!
Huckabee, as pastor, saved several souls for Christ. Huckabee is fit to be the Christian President of America.
This is a Republic, not a Theocracy.
Continued service in the role of governor would have bankrupted the woman and her family, but beyond that, your observation, such as it is, is a total non sequitur.
The cretin we have occupying the White House right now gives lie to your thesis.
While a state senator, he was best known for voting “present". Elected (somehow) to the US Senate, he served a grand total of 140 days before determining he was Presidential timber, and felt the need to let the rest of the world know it, too. I believe he had one legislative initiative to his credit in that time span.
End of story? Hardly. It's just beginning for the Woman from Wasilla!
CA....
Same polls that gave us the most Popular McCain. Don’t believe it! Palin is far more popular and even the RHINOS are scared of her.
“Palin is a fresh new face.”
with plenty of baggage :/
We need an even fresher new face if we are to win.
I think a governor would be our strongest candidate, and my favorites are Mitch Daniels, John Hoeven, Bobby Jindal and Haley Barbour. Any of the 4 would be outstanding picks, but when it comes to raising money there is no question which Repub could match Bambi dollar for dollar (maybe even surpass him), that’s Haley Barbour. I’m not endorsing Barbour, I’m just saying he has a very powerful rolodex. Let the games begin.
DanZanRyu has been banned/suspended.
He’s been banned/suspended.
whatever the polls say i feel very strongly that any pubbie candidate must be supported by Palin or they have no chance.. She may not be the one at this time but many will be looking to see if she can back the candidate.
It would do the party and the current crop of pretenders to remember this for she will be the king maker.
“Palin is a failed conservative & failed Christian.”
Care to explain that???
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