Posted on 08/20/2009 2:17:07 PM PDT by SonOfDarkSkies
Charlie Cook, one of the best political handicappers in the business, sent out a special update to Cook Political Report subscribers Thursday that should send shivers down Democratic spines.
Reviewing recent polling and the 2010 election landscape, Cook can envision a scenario in which Democratic House losses could exceed 20 seats.
"These data confirm anecdotal evidence, and our own view, that the situation this summer has slipped completely out of control for President Obama and Congressional Democrats. Today, The Cook Political Report’s Congressional election model, based on individual races, is pointing toward a net Democratic loss of between six and 12 seats, but our sense, factoring in macro-political dynamics is that this is far too low," he wrote.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
“”In other words we will return to the Dark Ages as a highly technical society collapses in on if self -—it will be mob rule””
I think you are painting a darker picture than I intended.
I think it will be hard in the next 5 years - improving in 5-10 years
The socialists will be out - Necessity is the mother of all invention if a system is unsustainable it will be replaced with one that actually works. I am an optimist, I believe that there are enough good people left in the USA to guide things in the right direction. Global Warming and other liberal cocktail happy talk will disappear because individual/family basic needs will take priority over popular political manipulations.
I think you are looking at these numbers incorrectly.
To gain a majority in the House you need 218- that’s the magic number. There are 435 seats in the House and since it is basically a zero sum game (every seat the Dems lose the GOP picks up- discounting any potential independent members of the House), the GOP only needs to gain 40 seats exactly to gain a majority.
This is still alot- but less than they gained in the 1994 election (54).
I think the rats, and the pubes for that matter, have to look at public anger and ask themselves, it this one year anger, or two year anger. If it’s one year anger, we’re cool, we’ll all get reelected. But if it’s two year anger, there will be changes. I see churn happening. You can’t really vote all the bums out at one time, but it may be that thee is a lot of churn in the memberships for the next 10 years or so as the public tries to find representatives that will represent them. Or not.
And you strike me as one who is in need of education about our Government. No thanks needed.
And you strike me as one who is in need of education about our Government. No thanks needed.
I’m Israeli. We have a parlamentary system.
I believe the Blue Dog Caucus has 52 members.
And with the right candidates who have yet to emerge Arkansas, Hawaii, and North Dakota could be placed in play.
The ground really is shifting.
How about losing all the RAT seats in 2010? I think 20 is minimal considering the war that has been declared upon the American people by these traitors. The GOP must find candidates now; document the RAT tyranny; and go door to door and get all of these creeps neutered and packing.
Keep this in mind: everyone’s taxes are going up because the Bush tax cuts will not be renewed. People who haven’t paid Federal Income Tax for the past few years are going to be socked hard with both taxes and inflationary prices on food.
I expect a really, REALLY pissed off group of voters next November 2010.
“Ghostbusters” fan, huh ?
I wonder if we are going to have an election.
People are bringing guns to Protest’s.
If there is Marshall Law will there be elections?
“Which means Pelousy will still be the speaker. What a bummer.”
I wouldn’t be so sure. I think a more likely number of losses is in the 35 to 45 range. If that happens I think she is likely to be removed by the Democrats. There are two people responsible for the current Dem implosion, Obama and Pelosi.
No, I’m looking at them right, I just don’t see a 40 seat swing happening.
In 1994, we gained 54 seats after having been out of power in the House since January of 1955. A 40 year stretch of being out in the wilderness and Republicans made a national effort with their “Contract with America”. At the beginning it looked like it would work, the first bill introduced, and passed by the House, was the Balanced Budget Amendment.
But within 10 years, it was a Republican majority that passed bill after bill that kept increasing the budget. Yes, Bush should have used that veto pen, yes the Senate should have been putting a stop to it, but the Constitution is specific that all spending must start in the House.
It took 50 years to convince people that Republicans would be better at managing the finances of the country, and in less than 10 years that was thrown to the wayside.
So now after 4 years we are going to convince voters that we are going to handle their money better?
Obama and the Democrats are spending much worse than any group in history, but Republicans have ruined their own chances by their spending habits.
I think if we get 30 seats we will have a great night. 40 would be miraculous. I do believe in miracles, but there is a reason that they are called “miracles”.
It’s a 50 seat flip in the House giving Republicans a 20 seat majority.
The Senate will only flip 5 seats. With the RINO votes not enough to block most bad bills.
I want to see a loss, but not loss of control. Remember the 1994 Republican tsunami insured a Bill Clinton re-election 2 years later. Let’s get the numbers down keeping in mind that the moonbats on the Left will still be in control of all the committees and be the face of the Democratic Party in 2012. That will be an epic election as everyone who is not voting for the One will be labled a racist or worse. This could be the undoing of the Republic with all kinds of things we have never in our lifetimes seen in this country.
One final thought.... if the Dems pass this thing they guarantee a jobless recovery because of the added taxes which means small business owners refrain from hiring wherever possible.
...
But even with the Democrats collapsing right now, it seems unlikely that the Republicans can recapture the House in 2010.
In 1993, the Democrats held a 258-176 seat advantage.
In 1994, the voters threw them out, and gave the GOP a 230-204 advantage.
Maybe it's a long shot, but it's happened before.
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