I think you are looking at these numbers incorrectly.
To gain a majority in the House you need 218- that’s the magic number. There are 435 seats in the House and since it is basically a zero sum game (every seat the Dems lose the GOP picks up- discounting any potential independent members of the House), the GOP only needs to gain 40 seats exactly to gain a majority.
This is still alot- but less than they gained in the 1994 election (54).
No, I’m looking at them right, I just don’t see a 40 seat swing happening.
In 1994, we gained 54 seats after having been out of power in the House since January of 1955. A 40 year stretch of being out in the wilderness and Republicans made a national effort with their “Contract with America”. At the beginning it looked like it would work, the first bill introduced, and passed by the House, was the Balanced Budget Amendment.
But within 10 years, it was a Republican majority that passed bill after bill that kept increasing the budget. Yes, Bush should have used that veto pen, yes the Senate should have been putting a stop to it, but the Constitution is specific that all spending must start in the House.
It took 50 years to convince people that Republicans would be better at managing the finances of the country, and in less than 10 years that was thrown to the wayside.
So now after 4 years we are going to convince voters that we are going to handle their money better?
Obama and the Democrats are spending much worse than any group in history, but Republicans have ruined their own chances by their spending habits.
I think if we get 30 seats we will have a great night. 40 would be miraculous. I do believe in miracles, but there is a reason that they are called “miracles”.