[Clintonfatigued]

Here’s National Journal’s latest analysis on which 15 House seats are most likely to change parties in 2010. Election junkies will have much to look at.

[airborne]

Top 15 -

2 Republicans

10 Democrats

2 open seats

1 special election

[EGPWS]

The Hotline's Tim Sahd assesses which House seats are most likely to switch party control in 2010.

At this time.

Politically, November 2010 is quite a ways away.

[Tzimisce]

...they didn't factor in the ACORN cheat vote.

[dalebert]

I would like an audit of the all government agencies and the all public servants....just to remind them who they work for......

[dalebert]

whoever calls for stopping funding for acorn will get my vote

[iowamark]

1. Louisiana-02 Anh (Joseph) Cao (R)

2. Delaware-At Large Michael Castle (R)

3. Illinois-10 Open Seat

4. Pennsylvania-06 Open Seat

5. Virginia-05 Tom Perriello (D)

6. New Mexico-02 Harry Teague (D)

7. Alabama-02 Bobby Bright (D)

8. Idaho-01 Walt Minnick (D)

9. Florida-08 Alan Grayson (D)

10. Maryland-01 Frank Kratovil (D)

11. New York-23 Special Election

12. Ohio-01 Steve Driehaus (D)

13. Colorado-04 Betsy Markey (D)

14. Ohio-15 Mary Jo Kilroy (D)

15. (tie) Washington-08 Dave Reichert (R)

5. (tie) Mississippi-01 Travis Childers (D)

[iowamark]

The nauseating commentary is written from a leftist perspective. It is interesting to note that even many leftists see public opinion shifting against them.

[campaignPete R-CT]

NY#23, GOPer Dede is DOA. Never going to be elected! The list must be 90 Democrats long. And longer even.

[Impy]

They can’t resist making the top 4 all GOP-held seats.

Cao number 1 is a give in. He probably won’t get to 40%. Though of course I hope he does.

I would not place Reichart in the top 15. (Or call NY-23 “dem leaning” or Il-10 “heavily dem” as a different NJ article did).)

The rest of list appears accurate. Though not necessarily the order.

Several other rats could be on the list. The Walberg seat in MI. SHEA-PORTER in NH