I fully agree with you.
The rebound in Clinton’s ratings was due to the Oklahoma City bombing.
When did this kind of polling begin?
With ACORN all things are possible.
What the article forgot to mention was that Clinton also won with a plurality in 1996. 2010’s senate elections seem analog to 1994. 2012’s election’s analog seems to be 1980’s analog. We all know what happened both times ;).
Good analysis!
The big question is who do the Republicans run? Despite all the blather about Zero's popularity, if the Republicans had run a decent candidate, they would have won. Clinton ran first against a wounded GHWBush. Bush was bloodied by Buchanan in the primaries and Ross Perot ran on a platform specifically designed to steal the most votes from Bush. In Clinton's second election, he ran against Bob Dole, who's campaign slogan was, "It's my turn."
Republicans cannot run lackluster aging party insiders who have no fire or vision. Six months in, there are plenty of reasons to vote against Zero. Can the Republicans give voters a reason to vote for them?
I am thinking that the Republicans had better come up with a reason to vote FOR them, otherwise what is the difference? If we have Obama care, cap and trade and a left wing “volunteer” army, they won’t have the guts to do anything about them.
What about the House?
Do you have any polls, predictions for that?
Clinton may have been reelected but the Dems lost control of Congress and he was impeached. I’ll take an Obama reelection under those conditions.
He fortunately got a Republican congress who kept him from being himself and doing every sort of liberal Utopian scheme obama is doing.
And then much like this last election, Republicans ran one of the worst possible candidates: Bob Dole. God bless the man for his service to our country, but he was a horrible candidate.
obama's re-election is a very long way off and obama isn't getting off to a very good start, while doing a lot of damage. Voters will be feeling the results from obama, Reid and Pelosi's bohica treatment of America by 2010. That election could save obama just like the midterm saved Clinton.
For him to win again the GOP has to run a Bob Dole or John McCain. We are doomed!
While that would have been true if one were to forecast this last year, recent changes, including Specter's conversion and Clinton's and Biden's departures, now puts the numbers as 18 current Republican and 18 current Democratic seats to be contested in 2012.
The low approval ratings of President Clinton were partly due to an American public withholding judgment on his presidency. Unlike President Obama, Clinton had been elected with a mere plurality (43%) of the vote. Clinton’s disapproval ratings peaked at 49%. In 1996, he was again elected with a mere plurality (49%) of the vote.FDR got a majority of the popular vote in 1944. LBJ did it in 1964. Obama got just over a majority of votes cast (the minor party candidates pooled just over 1.2 per cent of the popular vote), a slightly better showing than Jimmy Carter, who (it sez here) got a shade over 50 per cent in 1976 (the counts vary, but the most complete I could find shows "Clean Gene" McCarthy with over 700K votes, and 810K to all other minor candidates combined; LaRouche for example polled a little over 40K; also, this more complete info shaves 16K votes off McCarthy). JFK didn't quite get there, and Clinton of course enjoyed Perot's major (millions of votes) showings in 1992 and 1996, which greatly helped him reach his two minority terms as president.
I think what is most alarming for Obama and Democrat’s is that he won the marjority of Independent votes getting elected and now a very large majority of Independents strongly disapprove of him. He’s doomed.