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"Precarious State": Stocks Fairly Valued But "Could Go Down a Lot," Shiller Says
Tech/Ticker-Yahoo Finance ^ | 7/10/09 | Aaron Task

Posted on 07/10/2009 12:33:13 PM PDT by Kartographer

That neutral valuation suggests the stock market is likely to resort to its long-term average of 7% annual gains, Shiller says. That sounds great, but the famed professor isn't forecasting that outcome due to one major caveat: The economy is in a "precarious state" and, should it stumble anew, the stock market "could go down a lot," he says.

Shiller is clearly dubious of the "green shoots" mentality and believes it will take a very long time for the economy to return to normal growth after the bursting of the housing and credit bubbles.

(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: greenshoots; stockmarket

1 posted on 07/10/2009 12:33:13 PM PDT by Kartographer
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To: Kartographer

“Precarious State”: Stocks Fairly Valued But “Could Go Down a Lot,” Shiller Says”

Fairly valued? What a load...


2 posted on 07/10/2009 12:34:08 PM PDT by WKUHilltopper
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To: Kartographer

If stocks go down a lot, then they are still fairly valued because that is what folks are willing to pay.


3 posted on 07/10/2009 12:35:32 PM PDT by pappyone (New to Freep, still working a tag line.)
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To: pappyone

Well said.


4 posted on 07/10/2009 12:40:33 PM PDT by agere_contra
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To: Kartographer
Actually... there are a lot of things to be said about the massive stock rally the past few months... and what can be said is this...

Insiders have been selling like there is no tomorrow... weak-a** volume... the best performing stocks are... financials... and the charts of the S&P shows bearish patterns...

Anybody with a brain KNOWS (including all Freepers of course!) that Obama and his minions only stimulated the mass media and loony leftist...

I'm sure I left somethings out but this is going to end badly...

5 posted on 07/10/2009 1:03:58 PM PDT by John123 (Turn on your teleprompter Obama and read your lips... "No New Taxes!!")
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To: John123

Isn’t it fairly basic that stock values are related to income and profits? With the cost of money(investment capital)going up due to the demands of paying for the deficits that are real and maybe(probably,since these guys haven’t gotten one estimate right yet,)higher than they project plus the inflation due to the enormus increase in the money supply naturally increasing rates plus increased “taxation” because of energy prices what makes anyone so positive about the US stock market?


6 posted on 07/10/2009 1:13:53 PM PDT by easttennesseejohn
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To: easttennesseejohn
Isn’t it fairly basic that stock values are related to income and profits?

Income statements are an accounting myth...

7 posted on 07/10/2009 1:20:39 PM PDT by John123 (Turn on your teleprompter Obama and read your lips... "No New Taxes!!")
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To: Kartographer
"Stocks could go up, but they could also go down."

"Thanks, Professor!"

8 posted on 07/10/2009 1:55:11 PM PDT by 6SJ7 (atlasShruggedInd: ON)
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To: John123

ok let’s give you the point that income statements are a myth, but revenue has to be generated somehow in order to have profits, would you concede that? Also, what about the other factors I mentioned. Won’t they have an impact on profitability?


9 posted on 07/11/2009 7:32:32 AM PDT by easttennesseejohn
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