Posted on 06/16/2009 2:35:41 PM PDT by Abakumov
The uprising in Iran can only succeed if there are fundamental shifts within the clerical power structure that runs the country. There are now signs that an opposition group is crystallizing within the religious leadership.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...
0bama will send in our military to help the status quo, not assist the uprising.
I don't think there's much evidence for this. It does seem likely that English speaking Iranians and students want more freedom from theocracy, but that is far from a majority of the country.
I think the mullahs could give them Mousavi as president tomorrow, and nothing of substance would change.
The only way there's a real revolution against the theo-facists is by arms and those would have to come from outside support.
It is a ripe situation for regime change in Iran, but Obama thinks he shouldn't "interfere".
“Hopefully, this type of CHANGE can continue throughout the islamic world.”
This was the vision of the Bush Admin, putting two democracies on either side of the main terrorist instigator for the past 30 years. Maybe its time for another carrier landing for W under the “Mission Accomplished” banner. God Bless Him. His reputation and character were sacrificed to lay the groundwork for freedom and stability in the middle east. Hopefully Obama’s outreach projects are too little too late.
Yes, sadly, you just know this isn't going to be without a lot of bloodshed.
It'll be interesting to watch Obama duck the issue for months more like he has the last few days.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2270252/posts?page=10#10
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2272960/posts?page=79#79
In the old Soviet Union, things were run by an inner circle of the Party called the Nomenklatura, who occupied the key positions, and retained for themselves a high standard of living relative to the rest of the USSR. Iran seems to have its own version, consisting of the upper clergy and the senior members of the Revolutionary Guard.
This unrest follows the collapse in oil prices from 12 months ago, which reduced oil revenues used to support the standard of living of the Iranian inner circle and the thugs they use to keep the rest in line. Faced with declining revenues, they have two main choices: reduce their standards of living, or trim the size of the privileged class. Either choice is likely to be unpalatable.
Mousavi seems to have wanted to trim the size of the control apparatus, disbanding the "morality police" and loosening restrictions (and thus the expense of maintaining the kind of internal force that would be needed to maintain it).
Ahmadinejad, OTOH, is in bed with the Revolutionary Guard and the Basij (who seem to be the ones performing the "morality police" function) and has their support. It could be we are seeing a situation where the Iranian security forces may want to reduce expenses by reducing the number of "inner circle" clerics.
RT CNN & BBC, We have NUMEROUS eye witness accounts that the Basij militia are ransacking the city of Tehran, where are you? #iranelection
2 minutes ago from Tweetie
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From Anonymous Doctor in Iran: 94 wounded persons were brought to the Hospital. 50 were shot and 9 of them died. #iranelection #gr88
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Fake “CHANGE” as usual Mr.O !
Only fools can believe in being fooled again
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Apparently the mullah’s fear of Mousavi’s willingness to loosen the leash a bit on the population causing then end of their control caused them to insure that Ahmadinejad would win. Mousavi was vetted by the mullahs and is just a bit less vocal than Ahmadinejad in his dictatorial desires.
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