Posted on 06/13/2009 10:18:55 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report noted there is a flip side to Kosmas’s situation, though.
In Nevada, another freshman congresswoman, Titus, won a fast-changing swing district in Las Vegas-based Clark County and is a top GOP target. But Wasserman said that any would-be comers could also wait two years and pursue what is likely to be a new Republican- leaning district nearby.
“Why do that and get beaten up when there will be a new seat in Clark County in 2012?” he said. “That is something that could really discourage Republicans from taking on Dina Titus.”
Since redistricting often aims to shore up incumbents, it’s rare that it leads to better takeover opportunities. But that could be the case with members like Reps. Dennis Moore (D-Kan.), Peter King (R-N.Y.) or any number of vulnerable Illinois Republicans.
King and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-Ill.), who are weighing Senate runs, could actually be encouraged to run for statewide office because of the upcoming changes to their tenuous districts, which are likely to be handled by Democrats.
And King isn’t the only New Yorker feeling the pressure of redistricting.
In perhaps the weirdest redistricting conundrum in the country, state Sen. Darrel Aubertine is a Democratic favorite to run in the upcoming special election for Army Secretary-designate Rep. John McHugh’s (R) upstate seat. But Aubertine could be risking his party’s control over redistricting by giving up his state Senate seat to run for Congress.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
This is an aspect of the upcoming elections that many don’t know about. A number of potential candidates may decide to wait until out this election cycle and see what the post 2010 redistricting produces.
I tell ya, what’s going to be interesting (to me, anyway) is watching the population numbers DROP in a state like CA and watch them go UP in places like TX. CA has been losing population for a number of years. I believe that it is now the leading state as far as the population fleeing!
Wow, that's a punch in the gut of freedom.
Not quite correct. CA isn’t losing population as such, it just isn’t growing like it once was and could possibly lose a House seat because its rate of growth is lower than that of the nation at large. It’s not necessarily a good thing TX is growing at a faster rate, because that also potentially means more NON-Republican seats will have to be drawn there, in which case, we could lose on both ends, with the Dems shrinking us even further in CA and gaining nothing in TX.
California won’t lose anything. ACORN is in charge of the Census. What you can expect to see is some pretty fancy map/demographic work happening to dilute strong Republican districts or scattered and isolated pocket districts to consolidate minorities. Hell, ACORN is probably just gonna go back to the old 3/5 rule except in this case, the 3/5 will apply to white people.
Consolidating minority voters is generally to the political benefit of the GOP, since it leads to super strong Dem districts, reducing the percentage of Dems in other districts.
“CA has been losing population for a number of years.”
If they count the illegals, we have still gained population.
Only productive tax paying citizens have been moving out.
I doubt it. They now have a GPS location of every home. Couple that with voter registration and they can gerrymander with greater accuracy. They will attempt to create districts based on registration to limit the number of GOP districts.
That requires them to create more districts which are not minority majority. That would be illegal under the civil rights laws, which requires the maximization of the number of minority majority districts which are heavily democrat. The more heavily democrat districts, the fewer moderately democrat districts. They are hoist by their own petards.
This is how they will keep control. The republican districts will be redistricted to include democratic areas which will dilute the republican block and more Dems will get in.
Not when they deliberately undercount the heavily conservative districts it doesn’t. ACORN is officially a “trusted partner” to the US Census Bureau. They have been given virtual total responsibility to execute the next census taking/canvassing. Traditional conceptions about districting, redistricting, etc. are off the table now. Republican districts will be undercounted and areas where they want to gain control minorities will be OVERCOUNTED, pure and simple.
Well, here is where I say just about everything Zer0 has done so far is illegal. Is that stopping him? No.
You have to realize that although something is illegal, there's usually a US District Attorney or Justice Department determination of illegality in there somewhere AND the commitment to prosecute. With the Zer0 administration there will be none of this pesky nonsense...
Redistricting of the US House of Representatives will be done in the state legislatures who will pass bills that have to be signed by the respective governors. This goes to the utmost importance of the 2010 elections at the state level (as well as the federal).
Most states will be electing new legislatures and governors in 2010, and a few this year. The GOP, by doing well in these 2009 and 2010 state legislative and gubernatorial elections, can partially negate the effect of the Obama census data on the congressional redistricting process.
Thanks for the ping!
Let us pray it happens, that more Obama supporters become disillusioned and start thinking! New York was a pleasant surprise.
The Obamatons have made many mistakes in these few short months.
IMHO, the biggest mistake is naming the racist Sotomayor to the USSC.
CASE IN POINT Amnesty went down twice in the Congress b/c it is a rare consensus issue-----Americans on both sides of the aisle oppose amnesty. Hillary endorsed licenses for illegals and lost a primary she was a shoo-in to win.
Americans will be appalled when agenda-driven Soto is seated on the court (and proceeds to jeopardize American freedoms).
Americans will take their anger to the polls.
[Americans will take their anger to the polls.]
From your lips to God’s ears!
I think it IS slowly starting to happen.
Unfortunately we are in a climate of PC where white voters are afraid to be misconscued as “racists” if they disagree with “persons of color”
That includes voting in the secret ballot...
When they go to the polls next year...
Will their hearts fail them and they give in to the popular trends ???
Or will they stand up for the truth...and their country ???
“IMHO, the biggest mistake is naming the racist Sotomayor to the USSC.”
It still looks like she’ll get through. Ironically, one of the reasons she was chosen was because she had very little of a paper trail on abortion (the public is becoming more pro-life).
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.