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Climate change odds much worse than thought
MIT News ^ | 19 May 2009 | David Chandler,

Posted on 05/26/2009 1:55:35 PM PDT by Sgt_Schultze

The most comprehensive modeling yet carried out on the likelihood of how much hotter the Earth's climate will get in this century shows that without rapid and massive action, the problem will be about twice as severe as previously estimated six years ago - and could be even worse than that.

The study uses the MIT Integrated Global Systems Model, a detailed computer simulation of global economic activity and climate processes that has been developed and refined by the Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change since the early 1990s. ... the MIT model is the only one that interactively includes detailed treatment of possible changes in human activities as well - such as the degree of economic growth, with its associated energy use, in different countries.

Study co-author Ronald Prinn, the co-director of the Joint Program and director of MIT's Center for Global Change Science, says that, regarding global warming, it is important "to base our opinions and policies on the peer-reviewed science," he says. And in the peer-reviewed literature, the MIT model, unlike any other, looks in great detail at the effects of economic activity coupled with the effects of atmospheric, oceanic and biological systems. "In that sense, our work is unique," he says.

The new projections, published this month in the American Meteorological Society's Journal of Climate, indicate a median probability of surface warming of 5.2 degrees Celsius by 2100, with a 90% probability range of 3.5 to 7.4 degrees. This can be compared to a median projected increase in the 2003 study of just 2.4 degrees.

(Excerpt) Read more at web.mit.edu ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: globaloney; globalwanking; warmmongering
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Apparently, if you continue to tweak the "models" you can heighten the severity and the alarm.

We are so freaking screwed (and doomed).

1 posted on 05/26/2009 1:55:36 PM PDT by Sgt_Schultze
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To: Sgt_Schultze

Whose data are they using to further falsify this junk science?


2 posted on 05/26/2009 1:57:09 PM PDT by TommyDale (Independent - I already left the GOP because they were too liberal)
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To: Sgt_Schultze

And yet not one of these climate models replicates the glacial periods and thaws that are the overwhelming bulk of the last million years.... Anyone who buys into this crap needs their heads examined.


3 posted on 05/26/2009 1:57:17 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Sgt_Schultze

The fewer people who believe in Global Warming the more the fear mongers ratchet up the fear.


4 posted on 05/26/2009 1:58:44 PM PDT by yazoo (Conservatives believe what they see. Liberals see what they believe.)
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To: Sgt_Schultze
The situation is a hundred million times worse that I imagined! We're all going to die! Horribly! AAAGGGGHHHH

Geez, these people are caricatures of themselves.

5 posted on 05/26/2009 1:58:48 PM PDT by lafroste (gravity is not a force. See my profile to read my novel absolutely free (I know, beyond shameless))
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To: Sgt_Schultze

So it’s going to be twice as bad as nothing ... that means, umm, just working this out, bear with me ...

NOTHING

so I say relax.


6 posted on 05/26/2009 1:59:07 PM PDT by Peter ODonnell
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To: Sgt_Schultze

...i watched a part of that documentary last night on my lemur ancestor and it said Germany used to be rain forests...


7 posted on 05/26/2009 1:59:08 PM PDT by Winstons Julia (doubleplusungood)
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To: Sgt_Schultze
It's an academic research program that needs to keep the red flags flying to keep the money coming in for support. There is no reason to be objective. That would just kill the money tree. Their pecuniary motive kills their credibility.
8 posted on 05/26/2009 1:59:18 PM PDT by Myrddin
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To: Sgt_Schultze

Hey, if the models say so it musts be true, after all, there is no way models can be manipulated to a deliver particular result.


9 posted on 05/26/2009 1:59:28 PM PDT by HerrBlucher
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To: HamiltonJay
The fact that globull warming is bull can be summed up in one image, the most current one (but basically the same for the last year or more):


10 posted on 05/26/2009 1:59:41 PM PDT by C210N (A patriot for a Conservative Renaissance!)
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To: TommyDale
Whose data are they using

Data? We don't need no steenkin' data!

We got models!

11 posted on 05/26/2009 1:59:47 PM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: lafroste

But it does keep the money flowing to the “research” universities


12 posted on 05/26/2009 2:00:10 PM PDT by Sgt_Schultze (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
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To: Sgt_Schultze
Another “model” that is devoid of actual Data.

What a crock.

By my model my 401K should be 11.8% higher this year than last. Actual data may prove different.

13 posted on 05/26/2009 2:00:12 PM PDT by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affirmative Action President)
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To: Sgt_Schultze
indicate a median probability of surface warming of 5.2 degrees Celsius by 2100, with a 90% probability range of 3.5 to 7.4 degrees.

Except for the pesky fact that the planet has been static since 2002, and has recently been cooling.

14 posted on 05/26/2009 2:00:24 PM PDT by lafroste (gravity is not a force. See my profile to read my novel absolutely free (I know, beyond shameless))
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To: Sgt_Schultze

15 posted on 05/26/2009 2:00:43 PM PDT by dfwgator (1996 2006 2008 - Good Things Come in Threes)
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To: Sgt_Schultze

Lets just cut to the chase and say its one trillion times worse than we ever believed.


16 posted on 05/26/2009 2:00:57 PM PDT by cripplecreek (The poor bastards have us surrounded.)
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To: Izzy Dunne

We don’t need no stinkin’ models.


17 posted on 05/26/2009 2:01:24 PM PDT by unkus
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To: C210N

Now THAT’S a blank sun.


18 posted on 05/26/2009 2:01:59 PM PDT by lafroste (gravity is not a force. See my profile to read my novel absolutely free (I know, beyond shameless))
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To: Sgt_Schultze

I would be impressed if we fed the past 50 years data into the MIT model and it accurately predicted last year’s weather worldwide.

Did it do that?


19 posted on 05/26/2009 2:02:07 PM PDT by FroggyTheGremlim
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To: C210N
Not the Cause
20 posted on 05/26/2009 2:02:15 PM PDT by Sgt_Schultze (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
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