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Credit insurance hampers GM restructuring
FT ^ | 05/11/09 | Henny Sender

Posted on 05/11/2009 9:38:04 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster

Credit insurance hampers GM restructuring

By Henny Sender in New York

Published: May 11 2009 23:33 | Last updated: May 11 2009 23:33

Hedge funds and other investors stand to make billions of dollars on credit insurance contracts if GM de­clares bankruptcy, a prospect that is complicating efforts to persuade creditors to agree to a restructuring plan for the automaker, analysts say.

Holders of $27bn in GM bonds have until June 1 to decide whether to swap their debt for a 10 per cent equity stake in the company as part of an offer that would give the US government 50 per cent of the shares, a United Auto Workers union healthcare fund 39 per cent and existing shareholders 1 per cent.

However, analysts say the chances the proposal will be accepted have been diminished by the large number of credit default swap (CDS) contracts written on GM’s debt.

(Excerpt) Read more at ft.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: automakers; cds; default; generalmotors; gm; hedgefunds; restructuring

1 posted on 05/11/2009 9:38:05 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster; PAR35; AndyJackson; Thane_Banquo; nicksaunt; MadLibDisease; happygrl; ...

Ping!


2 posted on 05/11/2009 9:38:29 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (LUV DIC -- L,U,V-shaped recession, Depression, Inflation, Collapse)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

And who bakcs credit default swaps (CDS)? AIG. Which is now backed by the taxpayers...


3 posted on 05/11/2009 9:41:48 PM PDT by 2banana (My common ground with terrorists - they want to die for islam and we want to kill them)
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To: 2banana

Looking at what they did with Chrysler and it’s creditors, who would trust any government deal now?


4 posted on 05/11/2009 9:43:23 PM PDT by ltc8k6
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Heh...just who thinks that inverters other than government will provide the cash to continue...

GM is long gone...they just don’t know it yet!


5 posted on 05/11/2009 9:44:00 PM PDT by Deagle
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To: TigerLikesRooster
existing shareholders 1 per cent

What is wrong with this picture?!!!

6 posted on 05/11/2009 9:52:06 PM PDT by kcvl
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To: Deagle
GM is long gone...they just don’t know it yet!

Car buyers have already figured it out though.

One wonders who will buy the last GM car.

Liberals don't want a domestic car (it's a "statement" thing.)

Conservatives, many who've bought GMs and GMCs for generations, instinctively know better than to buy a car from Karl Marx Motors.

Sadly, I would sooner buy a used Yugo than a new GM (or Chrysler).

.

7 posted on 05/11/2009 9:54:58 PM PDT by Seaplaner (Never give in. Never give in. Never...except to convictions of honour and good sense. W. Churchill)
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To: Seaplaner

Well said! Unfortunately, our current government thinks that we the people are stupid and will continue to buy the GM brand. Oh well, either they know better and are just working for control (likely), or they are just stupid and trying to control the public...(not altogether unlikely since they seem to thing we are too stupid to know what is going on).

At any rate, most of us will go Galt...


8 posted on 05/11/2009 10:05:54 PM PDT by Deagle
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To: Deagle
Well said! Unfortunately, our current government thinks that we the people are stupid and will continue to buy the GM brand.

..... What do you mean "continue", Keemosabe?

9 posted on 05/11/2009 11:12:54 PM PDT by Wally_Kalbacken
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To: Wally_Kalbacken

Heh...can’t argue with your ‘continue” point...ha.


10 posted on 05/11/2009 11:44:11 PM PDT by Deagle
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To: 2banana

No, AIG is not involved here (certainly not in the way you think).

This article misses the point. Owners of CDS can easily trade out of the position now and monetize their gains — CDS is already worth more than 80 cents on the dollar. It’s the bondholders who are, at this point, thinking that they might as well gamble on getting more in bankruptcy court.


11 posted on 05/12/2009 2:41:31 AM PDT by boomstick (I really underestimated the creepiness.)
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To: kcvl

There’s nothing wrong with the existing shareholders getting only 1% - they’re lucky to be getting anything.

What’s wrong with this picture is that of bondholders, the gov’t (another class of debt holder) and the UAW, bondholders are being asked to give up the biggest claim and get the smallest slice of the company in exchange.

If I recall correctly, the plan on the table goes something like this:

Private bondholders write off $24 billion and get 10% of the company.
Gov’t writes off $10 billion in debt and gets 50% of the company.
UAW accepts 39% of the company in lieu of a $10 billion dollar payment to the pension plan.

Obama’s administration is even screwing the union in this deal.


12 posted on 05/12/2009 5:43:49 AM PDT by javachip (TARP - proof there is no situation so bad that government can't make it worse.)
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To: javachip

Yes, there is something wrong with that picture. The private bond holders are writing off twice as much as the government and UAW and getting the least in return.


13 posted on 05/12/2009 8:02:12 AM PDT by kcvl
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To: javachip
There’s nothing wrong with the existing shareholders getting only 1% - they’re lucky to be getting anything.

Yeah. Screw 'em. They knew they were taking a risk when they bought it. Dummies. Better they give much more to the UAW than the actual company owners.

14 posted on 05/12/2009 8:05:19 AM PDT by Glenn (Free Venezuela!)
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To: Glenn
Better they give much more to the UAW than the actual company owners.

In this case, the employees do deserve more than the company's owners. Shareholders are always last in line in any restructuring or bankruptcy when the company can't pay its bills.

The only thing wrong with the proposed restructuring is how badly the private bondholders get treated relative to the government and the union.
15 posted on 05/12/2009 9:57:11 AM PDT by javachip (TARP - proof there is no situation so bad that government can't make it worse.)
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