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Upside Down Economics
TownHall ^ | February 18, 2009 | Thomas Sowell

Posted on 02/18/2009 6:01:00 AM PST by dbz77

From television specials to newspaper editorials, the media are pushing the idea that current economic problems were caused by the market and that only the government can rescue us.

What was lacking in the housing market, they say, was government regulation of the market's "greed." That makes great moral melodrama, but it turns the facts upside down.

It was precisely government intervention which turned a thriving industry into a basket case.

An economist specializing in financial markets gave a glimpse of the history of housing markets when he said: "Lending money to American homebuyers had been one of the least risky and most profitable businesses a bank could engage in for nearly a century."

That was what the market was like before the government intervened. Like many government interventions, it began small and later grew.

The Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 directed federal regulatory agencies to "encourage" banks and other lending institutions "to help meet the credit needs of the local communities in which they are chartered consistent with the safe and sound operation of such institutions."

That sounds pretty innocent and, in fact, it had little effect for more than a decade. However, its premise was that bureaucrats and politicians know where loans should go, better than people who are in the business of making loans.

The real potential of that premise became apparent in the 1990s, when the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) imposed a requirement that mortgage lenders demonstrate with hard data that they were meeting their responsibilities under the Community Reinvestment Act.

What HUD wanted were numbers showing that mortgage loans were being made to low-income and moderate-income people on a scale that HUD expected, even if this required "innovative or flexible" mortgage eligibility standards.

In other words, quotas were imposed-- and if some people didn't meet the standards, then the standards need to be changed.

Both HUD and the Department of Justice began bringing lawsuits against mortgage bakers when a higher percentage of minority applicants than white applicants were turned down for mortgage loans.

A substantial majority of both black and white mortgage loan applicants had their loans approved but a statistical difference was enough to get a bank sued.

It should also be noted that the same statistical sources from which data on blacks and whites were obtained usually contained data on Asian Americans as well. But those data on Asian Americans were almost never mentioned.

Whites were turned down for mortgage loans more often than Asian Americans. But saying that would undermine the reasoning on which the whole moral melodrama and political crusades were based.

Lawsuits were only part of the pressures put on lenders by government officials. Banks and other lenders are overseen by regulatory agencies and must go to those agencies for approval of many business decisions that other businesses make without needing anyone else's approval.

Government regulators refused to approve such decisions when a lender was under investigation for not producing satisfactory statistics on loans to low-income people or minorities.

Under growing pressures from both the Clinton administration and later the George W. Bush administration, banks began to lower their lending standards.

Mortgage loans with no down payment, no income verification and other "creative" financial arrangements abounded. Although this was done under pressures begun in the name of the poor and minorities, people who were neither could also get these mortgage loans.

With mortgage loans widely available to people with questionable prospects of being able to keep up the payments, it was an open invitation to financial disaster.

Those who warned of the dangers had their warnings dismissed. Now, apparently, we need more politicians intervening in more industries, if you believe the politicians and the media.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: business; economy; sowell; thomassowell
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To: jazusamo

Right on target as usual. These people really hate the thought that anyone can think.


21 posted on 02/18/2009 12:51:59 PM PST by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote.)
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To: dbz77
Anyone remember the young woman Obama fan who excitedly told the world that when Obama was elected she wouldn't have to pay her bills and she would have a house to live in etc?

And we all laughed at her?

Well, she's getting the last laugh...

22 posted on 02/18/2009 12:53:58 PM PST by GOPJ (The closer global warming is exposed as hoax, the more hysterical it's proponents become...)
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To: jazusamo
Thanks for the ping.

Sowell rules - liberals drool...

23 posted on 02/18/2009 12:55:52 PM PST by GOPJ (The closer global warming is exposed as hoax, the more hysterical it's proponents become...)
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To: dbz77

How in the hell are we going to stop this?

I don’t even know what else to say.


24 posted on 02/18/2009 12:59:17 PM PST by Yaelle
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To: SES1066

Exactly


25 posted on 02/18/2009 2:13:56 PM PST by CPT Clay (Drill ANWR, Personal Accounts NOW ,)
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To: the OlLine Rebel
Just wait till someone points out that the best schools in Howard County test-score-wise also happen to be the whitest...or at least the most Asian...and also have the lowest rates of fights, etc...

BTW how's the little one? We're expecting our first one very soon, in under a month!

26 posted on 02/18/2009 6:38:56 PM PST by RockinRight (Now it's my turn to have a psychotic, uncontrollable hatred for the President.)
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To: RockinRight

Hey there! Congrats on the baby - do you know? What is the expected date? Funny if it would be the 11th. George is good and he’s starting to walk. He is a good little boy, and he loves his(my) dog. LOL


27 posted on 02/18/2009 6:48:54 PM PST by the OlLine Rebel (Common sense is an uncommon virtue./Technological progress cannot be legislated.)
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To: dbz77

Dr. Sowell, for whom I have immense respect, is ignoring the real problem in this column.

Bad mortgages, while certainly the root of the problem, are not the major issue. The economy could absorb the total amount of such mortgages with not much more than a stutter.

The real problem is what the market did with these mortgages. It bundled them with good mortgages, sliced and diced the bundles, and turned them into “securities.”

In the process it increased the risk factor to the economy by one or perhaps two orders of magnitude. The BIG issue is that nobody is able to determine the “real” value of these “securities,” a misnomer if there ever was one. This uncertainty is what is causing the real problem.

The government didn’t force the market to do this.


28 posted on 02/19/2009 3:28:05 AM PST by Sherman Logan (Everyone has a right to his own opinion, but not to his own facts.)
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