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Scientists Refute Argument Of Climate Skeptics
Science Daily ^ | 10 Jan 09 | staff

Posted on 01/10/2009 5:13:45 PM PST by saganite

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To: ETL
the man-made global warming BS,

I was just been sarcastic and yes, to believe that the humans (...we are part of the Earth for the past 10 000 Years) have the power to alter Earth's 4 Billion Years climate, it is beyond comprehension, that we are bestowed with so much power to alter Earth's way of functioning.
We are a very little pimple on Earth's big butt and eventually we will fade away, while Earth is still doing his spiel for the next 4 Billion Years.

61 posted on 01/10/2009 7:56:07 PM PST by danmar (Reason obeys itself,and ignorance submits to whatever is dictated to it! Thomas Paine)
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To: sgtyork

All I know is, last month when our town was completely shut down with record snowfall, we were all secretly wishing for some greenhouse gases to warm things up!


62 posted on 01/10/2009 7:56:09 PM PST by Liberty Wins
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To: saganite
1. Their analysis is only based on 126 data points. This is a joke...
.Simulation studies using too few subjects as input may not be very robust, and the results should be interpreted with caution unless they are validated by subsequent observations.

Source (pdf)

Monte Carlo is also a sampling technique, and as such shares the same problems of sampling theory; namely the results are also subject to sampling errors. Generally, therefore, Monte Carlo solutions from finite samples are not "exact" (unless the sample size is infinitely large).

Source (pdf)

2. The accuracy of the surface temperature record is questionable. There are a myriad of reasons, ranging from the disappearance of rural stations, urbanization, poor siting and instrumentation, corrupt data adjustments by the official referees at GISS and Hadley, etc. Since 1979, we've got the far more objective satellite records, which call the credibility of GISS into question more and more each year. GIGO.

3. If temperature is rising (and I think it generally has since 1880, and cooled from WWII through the mid 70s, and has cooled since 1998), who's to say it's anthropogenic? The cause and effect relationship between CO2 and temperature is the inverse of what the enviromarxists claim. Physically, CO2 can't be causing warming due since it's influence is logarithmic and tailing off.

All of this said, it's rather ridiculous to expect people reading a political discussion board to refute a statistical analysis. Send it to Stephen McIntyre or someone qualified. All we have is opinions. Well, I've got them anyway.

63 posted on 01/10/2009 7:57:45 PM PST by Entrepreneur (The environmental movement is filled with watermelons - green on the outside, red on the inside)
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To: ETL

Your graph showing changes in C02 and temperature over the years does not refute what scientists are telling us now.

No climate scientist has ever said C02 was the trigger that caused warming at the end of past ice ages.

What climate scientists do say is that there’s a relationship between temperature and C02 that goes both ways.

The head-in-the-sand deniers choose not to recognize that.


64 posted on 01/10/2009 8:08:39 PM PST by nobama999
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To: Liberty Wins

Yeah, looking at sub-zero here for the next few nights, and our record snow fall.


65 posted on 01/10/2009 8:08:43 PM PST by sgtyork (The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom, courage. Thucydides)
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To: saganite
Wannabe-commie-dictator Hugo Chavez spells out the aim of the "global warming" alarmists (at least HE's honest about it!)...

Hugo Chavez on Global Warming, from GreenLeft.org

"The environment is suffering damage that could be irreversible — global warming, the greenhouse effect, the melting of the polar ice caps, the rising sea level, hurricanes — with terrible social occurrences that will shake life on this planet."

"I believe this idea has a strong connection with reality. I don't think we have much time. Fidel Castro said in one of his speeches I read not so long ago, 'tomorrow could be too late, let's do now what we need to do'."

"I believe it is time that we take up with courage and clarity a political, social, collective and ideological offensive across the world — a real offensive that permits us to move progressively, over the next years, the next decades, leaving behind the perverse, destructive, destroyer, capitalist model and go forward in constructing the socialist model to avoid barbarism and beyond that the annihilation of life on this planet."

--Hugo Chavez, at the 16th World Festival of Youth and Students, held in Caracas on August 8-15, 2005

http://www.greenleft.org.au/back/2005/640/640p16.htm

66 posted on 01/10/2009 8:10:26 PM PST by ETL (Smoking gun evidence on ALL the ObamaRat-commie connections at my newly revised FR Home/About page)
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To: saganite

Thanks. I’ll take a look.


67 posted on 01/10/2009 8:11:08 PM PST by ETL (Smoking gun evidence on ALL the ObamaRat-commie connections at my newly revised FR Home/About page)
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To: Finny

The thirteen warmest years ON RECORD have occurred since 1990.

That’s out of about 120 years.

Yes, it’s a blink of an eye in the earth’s history, and therefore easy for people who don’t want to accept reality to ignore, but it’s a significant trend.


68 posted on 01/10/2009 8:12:58 PM PST by nobama999
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To: sgtyork

[i]Oh, the global warming cheerleader is here! Lets stand up everybody, he knows it all![/i]

I know enough not to let stupid partisanship get in the way of facts.

Global warming deniers are a drain on our party. People like Inhofe make us look like idiots.

Somehow, somewhere along the way some PR group managed to convince too many people that global warming was a partisan issue. A socialist vs. free market Republican issue.


69 posted on 01/10/2009 8:17:20 PM PST by nobama999
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To: nobama999

As I posted to you before, the origination of Global Warming is Socialist.

Be proud Watermelon!


70 posted on 01/10/2009 8:19:28 PM PST by sgtyork (The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom, courage. Thucydides)
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To: sgtyork

I have a religion, thanks.

Is there something wrong with religion? You seem to imply there is. Sorry you feel that way.

And my Christian religion doesn’t mean I have to be a blind fool and ignore everything scientists report.


71 posted on 01/10/2009 8:19:28 PM PST by nobama999
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To: nobama999
Your graph showing changes in C02 and temperature over the years does not refute what scientists are telling us now.

Sure it does. It shows that, even after C02 levels rose due to warming oceans, no additional warming occurred as a result of the C02 increase. CO2 easily dissolves out of warm water like it does in a warm bottle of soda.

No climate scientist has ever said C02 was the trigger that caused warming at the end of past ice ages.

Al Gore certainly gave that impression in his blockbuster Sci-Fi film.

72 posted on 01/10/2009 8:21:01 PM PST by ETL (Smoking gun evidence on ALL the ObamaRat-commie connections at my newly revised FR Home/About page)
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To: sgtyork

Yeah, right.

Socialist scientists dreamed up global warming to redistribute wealth.

And little green men visit you every night and steel your soda crackers.

lol!


73 posted on 01/10/2009 8:21:07 PM PST by nobama999
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To: ETL

Who gives a f@#k that “Al Gore sure gave us that impression..”?

Al Gore is not a climate scientist. Al Gore is a fat maroon.

If you’re choosing to ignore science because of Al Gore, then I guess Al Gore is your master.


74 posted on 01/10/2009 8:23:17 PM PST by nobama999
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To: nobama999

but it’s a significant trend

You don’t know what “significant” nor “trend” means in this debate. How many degrees of freedom are in this sample?


75 posted on 01/10/2009 8:29:47 PM PST by sgtyork (The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom, courage. Thucydides)
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To: nobama999
Who gives a f@#k that “Al Gore sure gave us that impression..”?... If you’re choosing to ignore science because of Al Gore, then I guess Al Gore is your master.

Did you happen to catch the part about the CO2 released from warming waters NOT causing additional warming? Moreover, please show us the "science" which proves that C02 at such historically low levels like we have today can cause global warming.

76 posted on 01/10/2009 8:31:08 PM PST by ETL (Smoking gun evidence on ALL the ObamaRat-commie connections at my newly revised FR Home/About page)
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To: nobama999

And I’m a holocaust denier.

And a Pedophile Rapist.

Bishop Compares Global Warming Skeptics To Pedophile Rapist
Welcome to the rational face of climate cult alarmism

Smearing people who are skeptical about man-made causes of global warming as akin to Holocaust deniers was apparently not enough for the climate cult alarmists, who are now saying that if you disagree with them you’re no better than infamous Austrian pedophile and rapist Josef Fritzl.

http://www.prisonplanet.com/articles/june2008/060208_pedophile_rapist.htm

And the Sun has no influence on our atmosphere.

And there is a Huge Incontrovertable CONSENSUS that nobama999 loves like a red-haired step-child because it is his blanky.


77 posted on 01/10/2009 8:37:06 PM PST by sgtyork (The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom, courage. Thucydides)
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To: LibFreeOrDie

Even within one season the weather is so cyclical. Last week Alaska bitter cold, next week radical warm up. Next week the Alaskan cold invades the Eastern US. I’ll wager that W. Europe warms up too.

Talking about 18 years is anecdotal, anyway I only count 8 years using US data. This 10,000:1 number assumes that temperature is a random event when they are obviously attempting to prove it isn’t. In looking at the data it is easy to see that there are groups of years above and below the average.


78 posted on 01/10/2009 8:37:07 PM PST by Mike Darancette (Mail your shoes to CAIR)
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To: saganite
Scientists at the GKSS Research Centre of Geesthacht and the University of Bern have investigated the frequency of warmer than average years between 1880 and 2006 for the first time. The result: the observed increase of warm years after 1990 is not a statistical accident.

That's because we were in a positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. We are now entering the negative phase which means cooling for 20-30 years in the Northern Hemisphere (which is where most of the "global warming" was anyway).

The GKSS Research Centre asks: is it an accident that the warmest 13 years were observed after 1990, or does this increased frequency indicate an external influence?

This is not possible because there has been no warming since 1998 and since 2000 or so there has been a cooling trend. 2008 had more global cooling that there was global warming since the 1930s.
79 posted on 01/10/2009 8:46:54 PM PST by aruanan
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To: Always Right
Skeptics don't deny that the tempreture has risen since 1890, so the whole premise of this study is ridiculous and does not refute anything. Yes, there has been some rising in temps. What the skeptics refute is how much of it is caused by man-made CO2. Sometimes I can't believe scientist put their names on some of the global warming crap that is put out.

It was only 0.7C, most of which was lost last year. And we could have gone up another 1.2 degrees and still not be as warm as historically recent periods of warming.
80 posted on 01/10/2009 8:54:09 PM PST by aruanan
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